UFC Vegas 75 Hot Prospect of the Week: A Huge Favorite Will Cash the KO Prop

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In this UFC handout, Arman Tsarukyan of Georgia poses on the scale during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in. Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC/AFP.

UFC Vegas 75 Hot Prospect Betting Pick

Arman Tsarukyan by KO/TKO -130 at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Arman Tsarukyan by KO/TKO -130
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It’s that time of the week, and we’re back with another hot prospect betting pick. The UFC returns to Las Vegas for a stacked Fight Night event, and we’ve located the ideal wager.

Continue reading for our UFC Vegas 75 betting guide and best bets, taking a first look at Arman Tsarukyan and his opponent, Joaquim Silva.

UFC Vegas 75 Information

  • Date & Time: Saturday, June 17, 2023 – 10:50 PM EDT
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Scheduled Fights: 14
  • Main Event: Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier (UFC Middleweight Bout)

UFC Vegas 75 Hot Prospect Profile: Arman Tsarukyan

  • Pro MMA Record: 19-3-0 (7 KO/TKOs, 5 submissions, 7 decisions)
  • UFC Record: 6-2 (2 KO/TKO, 4 decisions)

Tsarukyan, 26, is one of the UFC lightweight division’s youngest bright prospects. Incredibly, he made his promotional debut at the tender fighting age of 22 versus the current 145lb champion Islam Majáchev. He notably made a great account of himself despite losing the bout.

Four years and eight fights later, Tsarukyan is the top-ranked UFC lightweight, and his only other loss, against Mateusz Gamrot, was a questionable judge’s decision that most MMA media outlets and critics scored in his favor.

Arguably, Tsarukyan has years remaining before reaching his prime, and he’s currently sat in the No.8 position of the lightweight rankings. It’s scary to think of the potential he possesses and don’t be surprised if he finds a path to warrant a rematch with Makhachev in the near future.

Tsarukyan vs. Silva: The Fight Tape

The UFC’s matchmaking skills can be questioned, as they’re feeding Joaquim Silva to the wolves this weekend. The Brazilian competitor is no slouch, but he’s inexperienced versus an elite level of competition, and the offensive wrestling talents of Tsarukyan alone, are more than most can handle.

Tsarukyan has displayed moments of greatness with his takedown offense and top control, but he’s notably evolving in the striking realm from fight to fight. He can deliver a beautiful sequence of punches and kicks, mix in his takedowns, and control where Saturday’s co-main event should be contested.

UFC Vegas 75 Hot Prospect Best Bet

The available UFC odds have positioned Tsarukyan as the most expensive betting favorite on the UFC Vegas 75 card, currently sitting around -1000. This forces us to delve into the prop markets, which isn’t problematic when dealing with such a skill discrepancy.

Tsarukyan finishing this fight inside the distance feels like a foregone conclusion. Silva has noteworthy BJJ defense and has never been submitted during his career. However, after two KO/TKO losses in the UFC, he’ll face a top-ranked opponent that’s finished his previous two bouts versus fighters outside of the top-15 rankings by the same method.

I expect Tsarukyan to test his ever-evolving kickboxing game, which could provide the knockout; however, he’ll be cautious of Silva’s talents on the feet and drag him into deep waters on the ground. Once there, it’ll only be a matter of time before a cumulative number of unanswered strikes will force the referee to stop the fight, thus awarding the Armenian a TKO victory.

UFC Pick: Arman Tsarukyan by KO/TKO -130 at BetOnline [1.30u to win 1u]

UFC Vegas 75 Main Card & Odds

UFC Vegas 75 Preliminary Card & Odds

The pick reflects the line when the writer made the play; the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, do not forget to refer to our live odds.

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.