Top CONCACAF Nations League Best Bets: Can Honduras Break the First-Half Jinx?

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Honduras' forward Luis Palma celebrates after scoring a goal during the CONCACAF Nations League group B football match against Grenada on September 12, 2023. Orlando SIERRA / AFP.

Soccer Pick: Honduras-Cuba Under 2.5 Goals (-105) at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)

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Following a deep dive into the statistics, current form, and betting odds of the CONCACAF soccer betting markets, we’ve found the best betting picks from this weekend’s fixtures involving Suriname vs. Grenada and Honduras vs. Cuba.

Continue reading for this weekend’s top CONCACAF Nations League soccer betting predictions from across the North/Central American and Caribbean international schedule set to take place on October 15.

Suriname vs. Grenada


  • When: Sunday, October 15 – 08:00 PM EDT
  • Where: Franklin Essed Stadion
  • Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Suriname W/L/D/L/D – Grenada D/D/L/D/L

Uneventful Beginnings

After struggling in the CONCACAF Nations League last season, where they only earned one point in a challenging group with Mexico and Jamaica, Suriname is determined to show improvement this year.

Their journey began with a short June stint in the CONCACAF Gold Cup. Suriname kicked off their new campaign by traveling to Grenada last month. They secured a point in a 1-1 draw against their upcoming opponents. However, their visit to Cuba ended in disappointment as they suffered a 0-1 defeat.

To recover from their slow start and keep their chances of progression alive, Aron Winter’s team returned to their home turf to face Haiti last Thursday, hoping to secure their first victory. But again, settled for another point and continued a winless streak in the competition.

Abysmal Campaign

Like their hosts on Sunday, the Spice Boys only achieved a single point in the 2022 CONCACAF Nations League. In addition, they failed to make an impact in the Gold Cup qualifying in June under new management by Terry Connor, extending a miserable tenure in major tournaments.

In their match against Grenada, they lost in a penalty shootout after a 1-1 draw in regular time. Now, to keep their hopes of finishing in the top two alive, Connor’s team recently faced a challenging test at home against Jamaica on Thursday. Despite Trevon Williams narrowing the score to 2-1 in the first half, they could not defy the odds and suffered a 4-1 defeat.

With just one point and no chance of advancing further in this year’s CONCACAF Nations League, the Spice Boys currently sit at the bottom of the group. They aim to secure a victory on Sunday and surpass their opponents in the standings.

CONCACAF Nations League Group A Betting Odds & Predictions

Unsurprisingly, the best sportsbooks have placed the home side with a lopsided moneyline price, but the straight-wager approach doesn’t spark my interest.

Both teams are no longer in the running for qualification and will aim to end the competition on a high note. However, I anticipate the two nations will neutralize each other’s efforts, just like in their previous match last month, thus making the under 2.5 goals at -125 a viable betting position.

Under 2.5 goals has landed in Suriname’s previous three Nations League games. Although large scorelines have punished Grenada in recent history, the home side doesn’t possess the attacking quality to emulate those results.

Score Prediction: Suriname 0 – Grenada 0

Soccer Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-125) [1.25u wager returns 1u of profit] at Everygame

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Honduras vs. Cuba


  • When: Sunday, October 15 – 08:00 PM EDT
  • Where: Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés
  • Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Honduras D/W/D/L/W – Cuba L/L/L/D/W

The Hammers or the Nail

Honduras has won all five group-stage matches at the Nations League when scoring in the first half, but they have never emerged victorious in this phase of the competition when conceding a goal in the first 45 minutes.

During this tournament, Honduras has only managed to secure one point when conceding the first goal (a 1-1 draw against Martinique in 2019). However, they have shown resilience in two of their previous three competitive games by coming from behind and obtaining a positive outcome after trailing 1-0.

An encouraging fact for Los Catrachos going into their final group match is that they have not let in any goals in their last five encounters against Cuba. If they secure a win on Sunday, it will be the second time in three appearances that they advance beyond the group stage of this tournament.

A Must-Win London Derby

The quality and creativity of the Cubans’ gameplay may not be the most captivating we’ve seen. Still, their dedication to defense and patience has put them on the brink of a significant accomplishment.

In this tournament, they have experienced five defeats in both League A and B, all of which occurred when they conceded a goal before halftime. On the other hand, they have secured victories in matches where they held a lead after the first 45 minutes.

Cuba has never won any matches against Honduras, but they must change that on Sunday to advance. A triumph would guarantee them a spot in the quarter-finals, but even a draw could be sufficient as it would bring their points tally to six, putting pressure on Haiti to defeat Jamaica by a margin of at least two goals.

Nations League Group B Betting Odds & Predictions

The Nations League betting odds have placed Honduras as the favorable side, and rightfully so. However, backing a tight 90 minutes is showing greater value.

Under 2.5 goals has landed in three consecutive games for Cuba, and one of those meetings was a 0-0 clash with their Sunday opponents. And for this reason, backing a similar outcome for an excellent price of -105 just cannot be ignored.

Score Prediction: Honduras 1 – Cuba 0

Soccer Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-105) [1.71u wager returns 1u of profit] at Everygame

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.