MLB Pick: Tigers ML (+121) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Top-rated sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s game between the Tigers and Twins.
For your best bets, I will recommend investing in the Tigers.
If you’re considering placing bets on these matchups, continue reading for a detailed analysis.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins
Saturday, April 20, 2024 – 02:10 PM ET at Target Field
Detroit’s Starter
Reese Olson starts for the Tigers today. Olson’s ERA is as high as it is (3.86) because he had one bad start, which was on April 8 in Pittsburgh. An unfortunately high BABIP (batting average of balls in play) made his performance look worse than it was in reality. His 3.86 ERA thus masks a very solid 2.96 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding), which shows how well he is actually performing on the season.
In his other two starts, he shut out the Mets in 5.2 innings in New York and held the Rangers to one run in 6.1 innings in Detroit.
Olson History vs. Twins
Olson is likable today given his history against his opponent. Last year, in his first professional season, he held Minnesota to a combined total of one run in 11.1 innings in his first two starts against this team. Then, he was roughed up because he yielded a .667 BABIP (batting average of balls in pay) despite doing a good job of minimizing hard contact.
He could have delivered another strong performance against the Twins in his third start, as his FIP was 2.13 when he exited the game in the third inning.
Matchup
Olson throws a fastball, changeup, slider, sinker and curveball. As a righty, he matches up superbly against the Twins.
They rank dead last with a .313 slugging rate against these pitches from righties.
Minnesota’s Starter
Bailey Ober starts for the Twins today. Ober is at a disadvantage because the Tigers’ lineup just saw him. While Ober did well in that start, it is hard for any pitcher to do well twice in a row against the same lineup.
Ober’s FIP in rematches, historically speaking, suggests that he will perform worse today, yet he won’t have much of a margin of error given Olson’s quality and the quality of Detroit’s MLB-leading bullpen.
MLB Pick: Tigers ML (+121) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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