San Diego State vs. Boise State College Football Week 10 Picks: Expect Fireworks on Friday
- Eduardo Solano
- October 28, 2024
College Football Pick: Over 57 (-110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)
The San Diego State Aztecs look to get back on track when they visit the Boise State Broncos on Friday. Let’s analyze the current college football odds available at the top sportsbooks and go over all you need to know about this game.
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San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos
Friday, November 01, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Albertsons Stadium
San Diego State Struggles Late
Washington State entered halftime with a slim two-point edge, but San Diego State seized control by scoring 20 unanswered points, taking a commanding 26-14 lead with just over 13 minutes remaining. Washington State, however, mounted a comeback, scoring the final 15 points to secure a 29-26 victory over the Aztecs on Saturday night.
San Diego State’s Danny O’Neil threw for 195 yards, completing 22 of 34 passes with one interception. Running back Marquez Cooper contributed with 78 yards on 18 carries and scored two touchdowns, while Ja’Shaun Poke led the receiving corps with 10 catches for 80 yards.
The Aztecs capitalized on a key turnover in the third quarter when wide receiver Jordan Napier, a freshman, connected on a 27-yard touchdown pass to Nate Bennett. This play followed a crucial fumble by Washington State’s Tony Freeman, recovered by Jelani Whitmore at the Cougars’ 43-yard line, putting San Diego State up 19-14.
Boise State’s Massive Win at UNLV
Boise State edged UNLV 29-24 on Friday night in a game with potential playoff implications, thanks to Ashton Jeanty, the nation’s top rusher. Jeanty, though limited, managed 128 yards and scored the game-winning one-yard touchdown on a 4th and goal with 12:38 left.
Quarterback Maddux Madsen threw for 209 yards and a touchdown, helping Boise State keep its College Football Playoff hopes alive. This win marked Boise State’s 27th consecutive season of bowl eligibility, trailing only Georgia’s 28-year streak. The Broncos also extended their record to 28-1 following off weeks since 2001.
Jeanty’s yardage was his second-lowest of the season, narrowly surpassing his 127-yard game against Portland State on September 21. While he averaged over 7 yards per carry in previous games, UNLV’s defense held him to 3.9 yards per attempt.
Key Matchups
San Diego State’s resilience was evident in their close loss to Washington State, with the Aztecs showing grit in both the passing and ground game. Boise State, meanwhile, is riding high after a hard-fought win over UNLV, keeping their bowl eligibility streak alive.
Jeanty, the nation’s leading rusher, remains central to Boise’s attack, while San Diego State’s balanced offense could provide a tough challenge for the Broncos’ defense. The game may hinge on which team can execute in high-pressure situations, especially if it comes down to the final minutes.
San Diego State Passing Game vs. Boise State Secondary
O’Neil has shown consistency in the pocket, completing 22 of 34 passes with just one interception against Washington State. If he can continue to avoid mistakes and make use of his reliable target, Poke, who pulled down 10 receptions for 80 yards on Saturday, San Diego State’s passing game could keep Boise State’s defense on its heels.
Boise State, though experienced, will need to focus on containing O’Neil’s rhythm, as a consistent Aztec passing game could open up opportunities on the ground.
Marquez Cooper vs. Boise State Defensive Line
Cooper’s two-touchdown performance against Washington State demonstrated his effectiveness as a reliable back. His power and ability to find gaps in the line could spell trouble for Boise State if they struggle to contain him early.
However, Boise’s defense has shown an ability to step up in high-stakes situations, and their focus will be on limiting Cooper’s yardage to prevent San Diego State from establishing a run-heavy approach.
Ashton Jeanty vs. San Diego State Run Defense
Jeanty, despite a slightly off night against UNLV, remains the Broncos’ most reliable offensive weapon, and his ability to gain tough yardage has been critical to Boise State’s success.
San Diego State’s defense will need to stay disciplined in their gap assignments to limit Jeanty’s impact, especially on third downs and in red zone situations. Should they contain Jeanty effectively, Boise State may be forced to turn to their passing game more than they prefer, which could disrupt their offensive flow.
Special Teams and Turnovers
San Diego State capitalized on a key turnover against Washington State, but a costly muffed punt nearly derailed their momentum. Both teams will need to stay focused on special teams, where a single mistake could shift momentum in a close game. Boise State’s disciplined special teams play has been solid, and their ability to avoid costly errors could prove decisive.
The Pick
This game promises to be close, with both teams showing the potential for strong defensive stands and well-timed offensive plays. San Diego State’s balanced approach may keep Boise State’s defense on its toes, especially if O’Neil and Cooper can find their rhythm.
However, Boise State’s experience and Jeanty’s ability to secure tough yards could give them the edge, especially in critical moments of what should be a high-scoring game.
College Football Pick: Over 57 (-110) at Bovada
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