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European Soccer Best Bets: Premier League Locks & Bundesliga Betting Value You Can’t Ignore

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Bayer Leverkusen's Nigerian forward #22 Victor Boniface (L) and Cologne's German defender #04 Timo Huebers vie for the ball during the German first division Bundesliga football match between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Cologne in Leverkusen. INA FASSBENDER / AFP

Soccer Pick: VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen Over 3 Goals (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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After scanning the English and German soccer betting markets at the top sportsbooks, we’ve discovered some amazing betting value from this weekend’s fixtures involving Aston Villa vs. West Ham, VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen, and more.

Continue reading for this Saturday and Sunday’s top European soccer betting predictions throughout the Premier League and Bundesliga schedule set to take place on October 21 & 22.


Aston Villa vs. West Ham

  • When: Sunday, October 22, 2023 - 11:30 AM EDT
  • Where: Villa Park  
  • Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Villa D/W/W/L/W – West Ham D/W/W/W/L 

Aston Villa vs. West Ham Stats, Odds, & Prediction

  • Aston Villa are unbeaten at Villa Park this season
  • Aston Villa have won 5 of their 8 EPL meetings this term
  • West Ham’s four wins this season involve 3 of the bottom 5 clubs 

The Villains Redemption        

The Hammers will attempt to extend their unbeaten streak to seven consecutive matches across all competitions as they face the Villains at Villa Park. And after losing five of their last six meetings with West Ham, redemption could be looming.

However, that’s easier said than done when Aston Villa enters the ninth round in impressive form, having remained unbeaten in their last four league matches. During this four-game stretch, the Villains secured three victories and one draw.

Emery's team enters the ninth round just four points behind league leaders Tottenham. With eight games played, the Premier League title race remains wide open. Villa demonstrates a formidable record at home, having achieved a flawless three wins out of three matches at Villa Park, boasting a goal difference of +11. Villa has conceded only two goals this season on their home turf.

The Hammers Keep Hammering       

West Ham will commence the round positioned seventh in the table. The team managed by David Moyes has successfully avoided defeat in their last two matches in the Premier League. Their first victory was a 2-0 triumph against Sheffield United in their home stadium, followed by a 2-2 draw with Newcastle at the London Stadium.

Currently, West Ham is trailing by six points from the top spot. West Ham has accumulated seven points from their first four fixtures on the road. Their only setback was a 3-1 loss to Liverpool at Anfield.

Away from home, West Ham has a slight advantage in goals, with seven scored and six conceded. Jarrod Bowen, who recently inked a new contract, has notably contributed five goals to West Ham's tally in the Premier League. Bowen's goals account for 33% of West Ham's total goals in the first eight games.

Premier League Matchday 9 Betting Odds & Predictions

Unsurprisingly, the EPL betting odds are closely matched, with a slight probability favoring the home side. I believe Aston Villa is poised to continue their impressive performance at home by securing a fourth consecutive victory on their turf; they’ve already won 5 of their 8 domestic meetings this term and have notably improved under Unai Emery.

Score Prediction: Villa 2 – West Ham 1

Soccer Pick: Aston Villa ML (-101) [1.01u wager returns 1u of profit] at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen

  • When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 - 09:30 AM EDT
  • Where: Volkswagen Arena  
  • Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Wolfsburg L/W/L/W/L – Leverkusen W/W/W/W/D 

Wolfsburg vs. Leverkusen Stats, Odds, & Prediction

  • Leverkusen has netted 18 goals in their previous 6 games combined
  • Wolfsburg has scored 6 goals in their previous 3 Bundesliga home meetings  

Inconsistency in Wolfsburg           

The Wolves have experienced some inconsistency in their performance this season in the Bundesliga. Currently, they are placed seventh in the league standings with 12 points from seven matches.

There has been a noticeable pattern for Wolfsburg this season, where they have excelled in their home matches but faced difficulties in away games. Interestingly, they have managed to win all three of their league home matches, scoring at least two goals in each victory.

The Danish player, Jonas Wind, has been particularly impressive at the Volkswagen Arena, scoring in every home win. He has netted an impressive total of five goals in their three league matches this season.

The Title Charge Continues   

Die Werkself, the leading team in the Bundesliga this season, currently occupies the top spot in the table. They have emerged victorious in six out of their last seven matches in the German top-flight, showcasing their dominance.

Their exceptional league performance this season was only marred by a 2-2 draw against reigning champions Bayern, which can be considered a commendable outcome. One of the key factors contributing to Xabi Alonso's team's ascent to the top is their remarkable goal-scoring ability.

Bayer has scored at least two goals in all seven of their league games this season. Furthermore, Leverkusen has proven to be a formidable force on their away fixtures, having suffered only a single defeat in their last 11 Bundesliga away matches since last season.

Bundesliga Matchday 8 Betting Odds & Predictions

Despite their season success, the Bundesliga betting odds have placed the visitors with a respectable moneyline price tag of -150. However, I’m not accepting the bait, as the goals market is too tempting to pass up.

Combined, Wolfsburg and Leverkusen have netted 26 goals across their previous six games. We can snatch the over 3 for -110, and I expect this to be one of the safest wagers this matchup offers.

Score Prediction: Wolfsburg 2 – Leverkusen 3

Soccer Pick: Over 3 Goals (-110) [1.10u wager returns 1u of profit] at BetOnline 


Extra European Soccer Bets to Beat the Bookie

Freiburg vs. VfL Bochum

Saturday, October 21, 2023 - 09:30 AM EDT

Nottingham Forest vs. Luton

Saturday, October 21, 2023 - 10:00 AM EDT

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.