Going through an analysis of the EPL betting markets at the top offshore sportsbooks, we’ve formulated the best betting picks for this weekend’s fixtures involving Manchester City vs. Liverpool, Newcastle vs. Chelsea, and more.
Continue reading for this weekend’s top soccer betting picks from across the Premier League fixtures set to occur on November 25 & 26.
Manchester City vs. Liverpool FC
- When: Saturday, November 25, 2023 - 07:30 AM ET
- Where: Etihad Stadium
- Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Man City D/W/W/W/L – Liverpool W/D/W/W/D
Manchester City vs. Liverpool Trends, Odds, & Prediction
- Man City are unbeaten at the Etihad this season.
- Man City has won 15 of 15 top-flight home fixtures in 2023.
- Liverpool hasn’t won an away fixture versus Man City since 2015.
The Main Event Showdown
Despite scoring four times (two goals from Erling Haaland, a Manuel Akanji header, and one deflection from Rodri Hernández), Guardiola's squad ended their five-game winning streak in a captivating 4-4 stalemate against Chelsea last time out. This resulted in them entering their third international break of the season, remaining only one point ahead at the top of the table.
The reigning champions are in close proximity to upcoming opponents Liverpool and Arsenal. Depending on the outcome of their intriguing match on Sunday, Tottenham Hotspur or Aston Villa could also catch them. However, with four goals at Stamford Bridge, the Citizens have now scored a minimum of three times in each of their last five matches.
Moreover, it is worth noting that no English team that has visited the Etihad Stadium in the Premier League this year has left without preserving their honor. In fact, Manchester City has amassed an astounding 15 victories from 15 top-flight home matches in 2023. Furthermore, their overall streak of victories in front of the home crowd spans 23 games across all competitions.
A Tough Ask For Jurgen Klopp
The Reds returned to their finest form this season following a period of stagnation. They entered the international break on the heels of a resolute 3-0 victory over Brentford, which extended their unblemished streak to five league contests.
Nevertheless, they have encountered difficulties while traveling, with a loss at Toulouse on their most recent away journey and a single victory in their last five away days.
Liverpool has exhibited defensive vulnerabilities in their recent visits to the Etihad Stadium. In December, they suffered a 3-2 defeat, resulting in the loss of their EFL Cup title. Furthermore, in April, they were heavily defeated by a score of 4-1. It is worth noting that the last time Liverpool secured a Premier League victory at the Etihad Stadium was in November 2015, during Jurgen Klopp's eighth game as manager.
EPL Matchday 13 Betting Odds & Predictions
Unsurprisingly, the EPL betting odds aren’t heavily swayed for either side, as two elite teams go head-to-head. The good news is we’re receiving one of the best Manchester City moneyline prices of the season behind an unstoppable home record that’s worth backing.
Due to new concerns that have emerged for both teams during the international break and key players attempting to overcome jet lag to demonstrate their fitness, neither team may be at its most fluid. However, the men in red might anticipate another miserable afternoon in Manchester.
Klopp's squad is accustomed to breaching opposing backlines regardless of the surface they are on, but no Premier League opponent has ever stopped Man City at the Etihad in 2023. Haaland is expected to be given the go-ahead to terrorize a Reds defense that has yet to record a clean sheet on the road in the league this season. Therefore, we are siding with the champions in this instance.
Score Prediction: Manchester City 3 – Liverpool 1
Soccer Pick: Manchester City ML (-136) [1.36u wager returns 1u of profit] at Heritage Sports
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC
- When: Saturday, November 25, 2023 - 10:00 AM ET
- Where: St James' Park
- Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Newcastle L/L/W/W/D – Chelsea D/W/W/L/D
Newcastle vs. Chelsea Stats, Odds, & Prediction
- Newcastle have lost two consecutive games in all competitions.
- Chelsea are unbeaten in 8 straight games in all competitions.
A Beaten & Bruised Newcastle Squad
Newcastle is currently dealing with a concerning injury crisis. Matt Targett, Jacob Murphy, Dan Burn, Callum Wilson, Harvey Barnes, and Sven Botman are all expected to miss time with the Magpies this weekend.
It appears that Eddie Howe's squad is beginning to sense the strain of juggling Champions League and Premier League obligations, and fatigue may be setting in.
Following their most recent defeat to Bournemouth, they fell to seventh in the standings, trailing Aston Villa and Manchester United, while ahead of Brighton by a mere point.
The Blues Turn a New Leaf
After a slow start to the season, Chelsea are beginning to put the pieces back together and will travel to Newcastle on Saturday to continue their revival.
This season, the Blues have secured three of their four Premier League victories since the beginning of October.
And this month in specifically, they have appeared especially threatening, cruising to an initial 4-1 victory away at Tottenham before struggling to a 4-4 stalemate away at champions Manchester City in their most recent match.
They are progressing toward challenging for European positions and beyond, but a victory away at Newcastle would serve as an additional significant declaration.
EPL Matchday 13 Betting Odds & Predictions
The EPL betting odds are torn as both squads can be had for plus-money value in Saturday’s morning clash.
This Newcastle squad undoubtedly can score, as evidenced by their 27 goals in 12 league contests, and the international break should have been beneficial for the group.
However, due to the accumulation of injuries and low morale, they chose the in-form Chelsea in the PK market (where wagers are returned in the event of a draw).
Score Prediction: Newcastle 1 – Chelsea 2
Extra Premier League Bets to Beat the Bookie
Saturday, November 25, 2023 - 12:30 PM ET
- Arsenal ML (-125) at Heritage Sports
Sunday, November 26, 2023 - 09:00 AM ET
- Draw (+295) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.