Top Soccer Pick: Newcastle-Arsenal Draw (+245) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)
With an intense title chase underway, we’ve completed another week of studying the EPL betting markets to formulate the best picks for this weekend’s fixtures involving Newcastle vs. Arsenal, Sheffield United vs. Wolverhampton, and more.
Continue reading for this weekend’s top soccer betting picks from across the Premier League fixtures for November 4 and 5.
Newcastle United FC vs. Arsenal FC
Match Info
- When: Saturday, November 4, 2023 - 1:30 PM EDT
- Where: St James' Park
- Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Newcastle D/W/D/W/W – Arsenal W/D/W/W/D
Newcastle vs. Arsenal Stats, Odds, & Prediction
- Newcastle have won 3 consecutive Premier League home games
- Arsenal are one of two teams that remain undefeated this season
- These sides drew 0-0 last term
Impressive Home Form
Manchester United are a far cry from the team they were during February's EFL Cup final when Erik ten Hag ended their six-year trophy drought. However, they lost their grip on the crown to a motivated Newcastle side. Newcastle had their revenge after previous disappointments at Wembley and achieved their best away win at Man United in close to a century.
Currently, Howe's team is considered rank outsiders for Champions League qualification. Tottenham Hotspur, Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, and Aston Villa are engaged in an exciting five-team battle for a spot at Europe's top table. Aston Villa is five points ahead of Newcastle and is in a better position.
Nevertheless, Newcastle has the potential to dent Arsenal's title aspirations while boosting their chances of success. They have won all three of their last Premier League home games without conceding a single goal. This recovery in defensive strength has made them a force to be reckoned with once again, just as they were in the 2022-23 season.
London Derby Comedown
Arsenal have not won another EFL Cup since ‘93, and their long wait for mid-season glory continues due to a poor performance against West Ham at the London Stadium.
Some may argue that an early exit is a blessing in disguise as Mikel Arteta's team focuses on competing for the Premier League and Champions League titles. Their recent 5-0 victory over Sheffield United keeps them unbeaten in the league after ten games, placing them in second position, just behind Spurs.
Additionally, Arsenal's defensive record is impressive, having only conceded two goals on the road, both of which occurred at Stamford Bridge last month. They exceeded expectations by defeating Newcastle 2-0 at St James' Park six months ago, despite the perceived gamesmanship tactics employed by the Magpies at the Emirates, which resulted in a goalless draw.
EPL Matchday 11 Betting Odds & Predictions
The EPL betting odds could be risky to approach if picking a winning team from this matchup. That said, betting value can be found in the draw market.
Both teams will be welcoming back key players to their starting lineup. Newcastle has a strong defense at home, while Arsenal has an impressive defensive record on the road.
As a result, we predict a low-scoring game that ends in a draw, allowing Arsenal to maintain their unbeaten record in the Premier League.
Score Prediction: Newcastle 1 – Arsenal 1
Soccer Pick: Draw (+245) [1u wager returns 2.45u of profit] at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)
Sheffield United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
Match Info
- When: Saturday, November 4, 2023 - 11:00 AM EDT
- Where: Bramall Lane
- Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Sheffield Utd L/L/L/L/L – Wolves D/W/D/W/D
Sheffield vs. Wolves Stats, Odds, & Prediction
- Wolves have won their previous three meetings with Sheffield
- Sheffield has lost 9 of their 10 EPL games this season
- Wolves are undefeated in four straight games
A Miserable Return to the Topflight of English Football
Sheffield United is experiencing its most challenging beginning to a Premier League season to date, having obtained only one point from their first ten matches. The situation is not expected to improve for the Blades as they prepare to face Wolves this Saturday.
Having earned promotion to the Premier League last season, Paul Heckingbottom's team has struggled immensely. Their recent defeat against Arsenal, where they conceded five goals, marked their ninth campaign loss. Additionally, they suffered an embarrassing 8-0 defeat at the hands of Newcastle, adding further insult to injury.
This weekend, it is advisable to oppose them as they have the highest number of goals conceded in the division, a total of 29 goals in ten matches, and they’re facing an in-form Wolves squad that has netted at least one goal in eleven consecutive games in all competitions.
Routine Victory
Wolverhampton most recently secured a 2-1 victory against Bournemouth. This squad has positioned itself comfortably in the middle of the table for this season's Premier League and approaches this match with an impressive four-game undefeated streak.
During this run, they have triumphed over both Bournemouth and Manchester City, in addition to drawing with Newcastle and Aston Villa. This demonstrates their ability to handle challenging fixtures, and now they should collect a routine three points when faced with one of the worst-performing teams in the division.
EPL Matchday 11 Betting Odds & Prediction
The betting odds available at the top offshore sportsbooks have placed a reasonable moneyline price on Wolves; considering Sheffield’s form, it’s a no-brainer betting pick.
After their initial domestic loss to Manchester United, Wolves have only been defeated in one of their last four away games in the Premier League. There’s no need to overthink this one, as we’ll continue fading Sheffield behind endless supporting evidence.
Score Prediction: Sheffield 1 – Wolves 2
Soccer Pick: Wolverhampton (+101) [1u wager returns 1u of profit] at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)
Extra Premier League Bets to Beat the Bookie
Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa FC
Sunday, November 5 - 09:00 AM ET
- Aston Villa (-111) at Heritage Sports
Luton Town vs. Liverpool FC
Sunday, November 5 - 11:30 AM ET
- Liverpool 1st Half Point Spread -0.5 (-152) at Heritage Sports
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.