Top ATP Pick: Daniil Medvedev +4.5 Games (-105) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)
After a fortnight of excellent tennis, the Australian Open concludes with the Men’s Final.
Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev will take the court with hopes of raising the trophy. With all eyes on Rod Laver Arena, who should you back to make the winning tennis pick at top-rated online sportsbooks?
Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner
Sunday, January 28, 2024 – 03:30 AM ET at Rod Laver Arena
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev is currently the world's number three player. Medvedev has won:
- 20 ATP Tour singles titles.
- Grand Slam Championship.
- The US Open in 2021.
- 6 Masters 1000 titles.
This will be Medvedev's third trip to the Australian Open Finals. Will this be the year that he breaks through and finally wins the tournament?
Daniil Medvedev is an excellent player with a fiery temperament. Medvedev is known for his outbursts on the court and is not afraid to be the villain.
In the year in which he won the US Open, Medvedev relished getting booed by the crowd and even encouraged them to continue booing. A hostile attitude on the court will not intimidate or discourage Medvedev. He is a versatile player and his defense is underrated.
Medvedev, known for his powerful play and excellent serve, can also transform into the proverbial "backboard" when needed. He will need all that consistency going against an in-form Jannik Sinner.
Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner currently holds the rank of number four in the world. He has won:
- 10 ATP titles.
- 1 Masters 1000 title.
This is Jannik Sinner’s first appearance in a Grand Slam final. His previous best result in a Grand Slam was making the semifinal of Wimbledon last season.
Jannik Sinner plays aggressively from the baseline and his powerful groundstrokes make him a formidable opponent. He prefers to use a heavy topspin on his two-handed backhand which allows him to win the battle of court depth keeping him in an offensive position. He prefers to be the aggressor.
Jannik Sinner scored the most impressive win of the tournament when he defeated Novak Djokovic. Novak was the defending champion yet Jannik Sinner not only won the match but looked incredibly impressive while doing so.
Djokovic is known for his excellent return game yet he never even forced a break point against Sinner. This was the first time in Djokovic's career that he failed to create a break point in a match at the Australian Open.
After defeating the steely nerved and consistent Novak Djokovic, Jannik Sinner is the favorite going into this matchup.
Matchup
Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev have played nine times. Medvedev has won six of those matchups. However, Sinner has won the last three.
Sinner was 3-2 over Medvedev in the year 2023. The last time these two played was in the Turin ATP Finals, where Sinner was able to win a three-set battle.
Jannik Sinner will aim to be the aggressor, putting Daniil Medvedev's consistency to the test. However, Medvedev will be comfortable counterpunching, and anything less than the performance that Sinner showed against Djokovic will not be enough against Medvedev.
Daniil Medvedev also has the experience advantage. Meanwhile, this will be Jannik Sinner’s first Grand Slam final.
Medvedev has made this final three times and has also hoisted a Grand Slam trophy. He will go into this match knowing what it takes to truly prepare for a Grand Slam final.
This will be a battle of two players who are aggressive from the baseline. Court position will be key. Daniil Medvedev will need to approach the ball early to make sure that Sinner’s topspin does not keep him too far behind the baseline playing with a defensive outlook.
The Pick
After Jannik Sinner’s dominant performance and high-profile win over Novak Djokovic, bettors are going to be rushing to bet on the Italian prodigy. The value, however, is on Daniil Medvedev to keep this match close.
Medvedev is being overlooked because of his tight match with Alexander Zverev, but Medvedev is a fighter. He will be able to replicate the consistency that Djokovic has used to become the Australian Open Champion so many times.
Daniil Medvedev will create nerves in Jannik Sinner and remind him of the bright lights and big stage that he is currently playing on.
Daniil Medvedev’s tenacity and experience will force this match into a deciding set. Our best bet for today's match is Daniil Medvedev +4.5 games.
ATP Pick: Daniil Medvedev +4.5 Games (-105) at Bookmaker
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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