Nice start to a great weekend of football to wager on and follow with the Chargers and Chiefs and we cover it from our angle.
We have a ton of great betting info for college football betting and the NFL, you have to check it all out. Grab the fork and knife and dig in!
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About Last Night…
The Chargers were looking golden when ahead 17-7 in the third quarter. Kansas City came back to tie the game 17-all but the Chargers were right going into score when Justin Herbert ended up throwing a 99-yard Pick Six.
Upon closer examination, Herbert expected the receiver to come inside and he didn’t and Jaylen Watson ran right into the interception.
This is not an excuse, but the receiver, Gerald Everett had just made a nice catch and run and wanted out of the game because of fatigue and he was waved back in, likely because the Chargers didn’t want K.C. to substitute. Everett was so gassed, that he didn’t make a play on the ball or go after the interceptor.
Chargers bettors got some solace with Herbert’s last TD drive to convert the spread, but they better hope Hebert didn’t injure himself worse by keep playing.
With the White Sox (-144 odds) hitting 5 home runs in a makeup game at Cleveland, they and Minnesota moved to within four games in the loss column of the front-running Guardians. Minnesota has massive five-game series in Cleveland, realistically needing to win four, while Chicago needs to sweep Detroit on the road.
Connecticut destroyed the Las Vegas Aces with a royal flush in their 105-76 beatdown as one-point home favorites. The Sun will attempt to force Game 5 and are a Pick as you read this.
Another tennis legend is hanging up the sneakers as Roger Federer is retiring. His fantastic career was about grace and skill from another era and he was always the gentleman with an assassin’s touch. (On the court)
- Seattle is 15-1 as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
- Atlanta is 31-5 vs. teams whose hitters draw three walks or less in the second half of the season since last year.
- Colorado is 10-0 UNDER after shutting out their last opponent.
- Minnesota is 38-18 OVER vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB’s/start).
- Kyle Bradish and the Orioles are 9-2 (+11.4 Units) as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
- N.Y. Jets are 0-7 ATS in September games since 2020.
- San Francisco is 23-7 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite.
- Indianapolis is 10-1 ATS off a division game.
- Cincinnati is 10-2 ATS off one or more consecutive Unders.
- N.Y. Giants are 34-11 UNDER after a win by three or less points.
- Miami is 32-11 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better.
- L.A. Rams are 16-4 UNDER in home games at SoFi Stadium.
- Arizona is 7-0 UNDER in road games after allowing 30 points or more.
- Louisville is 24-10 UNDER after a two-game road trip. (Friday)
- Air Force is 8-0 ATS after gaining 350 or more rushing yards last game. (Friday)
- Syracuse is 1-13 ATS after two consecutive games committing no turnovers.
- Charlotte is 0-8 ATS off one or more straight Overs.
- Florida Atlantic is 0-8 ATS after a win by 17 or more points.
- Minnesota is 12-1 ATS after allowing 40 or less rushing yards in the last game.
- UCLA is 23-6 ATS at home after scoring 42 points or more.
- Ole Miss is 18-4 UNDER in road games after they forced three or more turnovers in the last contest.
- Iowa St is 8-0 UNDER in non-conference games since 2020.
- Oregon is 30-8 OVER in non-conference home games.
- Syracuse is 14-2 UNDER after two straight wins by 17 or more points.
- Las Vegas is 0-9 ATS after allowing 45 points or more in the first half of the last game. (Sunday)
BMR’s Betting Pulse
For Week 2 we will examine the Packers at the Bears and other key divisional matchups. In addition, we have Best Bets, Last Chance Value Picks, Top Parlay Picks and sharp player props.
Should Washington be a 3.5-point home favorite over Michigan State? Will Texas A&M be able to rebound against the Miami Hurricanes this week? We’ll evaluate those and other matchups along with our Best Bets and Last Chance Value Picks for another exciting week of college football.
The regular season is dwindling, but baseball bettors are still very active and we have top picks for money line, run line, and totals for all weekend long.
Review all our top plays for this weekend and see if you agree.
Note: Review all our popular prop plays in all the sports.
The “JAGUUAARS” (from Dan Patrick SportsCenter days)
Jacksonville is 5-30 SU in their past 35 games and three of those victories have come against division rival Indianapolis when playing in North Florida. Guess where the Colts are playing this week as 3.5-point road favorite?
NFL – This Seems Odd
For Week 2 we have four double-digit home favorites which seems like a lot. We are not saying the betting odds are not justified, but that is some heavy lumber this early in the season. Can’t say we would be shocked if two didn’t cover.
And for good measure, five other NFL odds are presently at 2.5 or lower.
NCAAF – Sparty A Live Dog?
The earliest line between Michigan State at Washington had the Spartans favored at -1 to -3 depending on the top-rated sportsbooks. After both teams played one time, the Huskies were -1 and currently, they are -3.5 or -4.
For those interested, the Spartans were 4-0 SU and ATS last year as single-digit dogs.
- Top 3 Bets Placed by Percentage (highest first) (1-2 record) – Bengals, Bills, and Rams
- Top 3 Totals Bets by Percentage (highest first) (2-1 record) – Commanders/Lions Over, Cardinals/Raiders Over, and Vikings/Eagles Over
NFL Biggest Line Moves
- Lions +2 to -1.5 over Commanders – Lions now at -1 and could be a Pick by game time.
- Falcons +13 to +10.5 vs. Rams – One more dip on Rams to -10, despite bets at 75%.
- Raiders -2.5 to -6 over Cardinals – Raiders adjusted to -5.5 with 80% of money backing them.
- Bills -7 to -10 over Titans – Steady, with 80+ percent support both ways.
- Jets/Browns Total – 43.5 to 39.5 – No movement, looks locked in.
- Bears/Packers – Total 45.5 to 41.5 – Has fallen steadily all week to this level, yet Under about 60% backing.
- Texans/Broncos Total – 42 to 45 – Bettors satisfied at adjusted figure.
- Top 5 Bets Placed by Percentage (highest first) (2-8 record) – Rutgers, Memphis, Minnesota, Iowa State and Utah
- Top 5 Bets Placed by Money (highest first) (2-8 record) – Memphis, Washington, Minnesota, Ole Miss and California,
- Top 5 Totals Bets by Percentage (highest first) (5-5 record) – Connecticut/Michigan OVER, Toledo/Ohio State OVER, UTSA/Texas UNDER, SMU/Maryland OVER and Texas State/Baylor OVER
NCAAF Biggest Line Moves
- Syracuse +1 to -1.5 over Purdue – The Cuse is up to -2 with only mid-50s betting support.
- Nebraska +14 to +10 vs. Oklahoma – Not unexpectedly, the Sooners are back to -11.
- Ohio U. +21.5 to +18.5 vs. Iowa State – Unchanged, with bets placed on Cyclones at above 80%.
- Washington -1 to -3.5 over Mich. State – Generally the same, with Spartans in the 60s percent for bets and money.
- Fresno State +14 to +10.5 vs. USC – Do Bulldogs rebound off last play loss?
- Oklahoma/Nebraska Total – 63 to 67 – A buyback to 65, with Under running at 70% on bets.
- North Texas/UNLV Total – 57 to 62.5 – Up another point to 63.5 with 75% of money on the OVER.
- Ole Miss/Georgia Tech Total – 58.5 to 65 – Another buyback, this one to 63.
- SMU/Maryland Total – 69 to 74 – Dipped to 73 despite money and bets in the 80+ percent’s.
- UTSA/Texas Total – 61.5 to 58 – Texas could be flat and has battered QB’s, which leads to 80+ percent on Unders.
Out The Door
NFL – Thinking About Betting the Ravens This Sunday?
Baltimore opened at -4 and is down to -3.5 at home against Miami. The Ravens will face Dolphins WRs Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle with three of their projected cornerbacks injured. Just sayin’.
NCAAF – Excellent Viewing
Though we are lacking in true big-time matchups for Week 3, here is what this handicapper will be following closely.
- Miss. State at LSU – BYU at Oregon – Purdue at Syracuse
- Penn State at Auburn – Mich. State at Washington – Miami-FL at Texas A&M
Who is Right?
Fresno State is off a gut wrenching last play loss to Oregon State and has to travel to L.A. to face USC. The Bulldogs normally play well against the Pac-12 and give opponents fits, yet, one has to at least wonder if that will be the case this week.
The line has moved to Fresno State’s favor from +14 to +10.5. Here is the rub, 80% of bets made support the Men of Troy and almost 80% of the cash is on the Bulldogs.
Where will you be down on this West Coast encounter?
Let’s get some winners! Have a terrific weekend and see you back here Wednesday
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.