The college football season is months away, but the majority of offseason moves have already been made. Summer workouts will start soon, and the fall will be here before you know it.
Because of that, there is a solid chance to find value for win totals and fire on some NCAAF picks at this point in the offseason. BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) has odds for the best teams in college football, and you can make some money if you predict who will defy the odds in one way or another.
BMR’s Betting Pulse
• Ohio State has a Heisman contender at quarterback. The defensive front will be elite once again, and Jaxson Smith-Njigba is the best receiver in the NCAAF.
• Tennessee needs to go 6-0 against the non-conference opponents. After that, they still need two more wins.
• Oregon’s schedule is harder than you would think for a transfer quarterback and a new head coach.
Who will be this year’s 2019 LSU Tigers? Will anyone crash like the 2021 Clemson Tigers? Which teams are dancing around bowl eligibility? Here are some win totals to bet right now for the upcoming season. We’ll include some with negative and positive values, so you can decide how risky you want to be in June.
Let’s start with a team looking to make it back to the College Football Playoff after a one-year absence.
Ohio State Buckeyes
- Over 10.5 Wins (-200)
Normally, I wouldn’t like to look at a value worse than -150 for a win total. Especially when you could simply take the moneyline for each game and come up with a similar return. However, I don’t think that Ohio State could possibly lose two games in the regular season this year.
Ohio State’s only test outside of the conference is Notre Dame, and they host the Fighting Irish in the first week of the season. Notre Dame won’t be ready to compete against a powerhouse, so this should be an easy win.
After that, Ohio State will be heavily favored in every game on the schedule. Teams like Wisconsin, Michigan State and Michigan provide their usual issues, but the Buckeyes should be on a revenge tour this year.
Ohio State has a Heisman contender at quarterback. The defensive front will be elite once again, and Jaxson Smith-Njigba is the best receiver in college football. This team will be electric, and it will take a lot for them to lose to multiple opponents. To make the schedule easier, they’ll be hosting:
- Notre Dame
The key players all have enough experience to overcome adversity. I like Ohio State to make it to the National Championship with at least an 11-1 record in the regular season.
- Under 7.5 Wins (+140)
Tennessee has a quality quarterback and a good receiver, so the offense will be solid. The defense should take steps forward with how the Vols have recruited, but I still find it too easy to find five losses on the schedule.
Tennessee has to play:
Going 2-2 would be outstanding for the Vols, but 1-3 or 0-4 are more likely. After that, they still have games against Kentucky and South Carolina. Both teams will be on the rise, and you never know what to expect in the SEC East.
The only guaranteed conference win is against Vanderbilt, and you can expect a win against Missouri. After that, everything in the SEC will be a dog fight. The games outside of the conference should be easy, but the Vols could be upset by Pittsburgh early in the year.
To hit the over, Tennessee needs to go 6-0 against the non-conference opponents. After that, they still need two wins, and I find this hard to expect.
- Under 8.5 Wins (+105)
For this one, I simply prefer the value. The Ducks will be somewhere between 7-5 and 10-2, and I find it more likely that they lose close games than they win them.
Bo Nix will be the man under center, and he is known to make mistakes with the ball. Without elite talent around him, he is a red flag. Without a proven offensive mind in charge, this team could be in trouble in the Pac-12.
Oregon will almost certainly lose to Georgia, and they have a low chance of beating Utah. Add in teams like:
- Oregon State
As you can see, this schedule is harder than you would think for a transfer quarterback and a new head coach. Chaos always happens in the Pac-12. It is safe to assume that multiple teams will hit the under due to the parity so keep an eye out for those NCAAF odds.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.