Our UFC Paris Best Prop Bets
UFC Pick: Namajunas/Fiorot Fight Goes the Distance/Yes (-180) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
UFC Pick: Gane/Spivac Under 2½ Rounds (-162) at BetOnline
Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac and Rose Namajunas vs. Manon Fiorot are scheduled for the main and co-main events as French fight fans are in for a treat with the UFC’s return to Paris this weekend.
We’ve singled out our best UFC prop betting picks as we dive into the betting analysis for the UFC Paris fight night event; continue reading for our perfect proposition wagers at our offshore sportsbooks.
UFC Paris Information
- Date & Time: Saturday, Sept. 02, 2023 – 12:00 PM EDT
- Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France
- Scheduled Fights: 11
- Main Event: Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac (UFC Heavyweight Bout)
Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas Betting Preview
- UFC Paris Women’s Flyweight Bout
Manon Fiorot
Flying the flag for French women’s MMA in the co-main event this weekend is Manon Fiorot (10-1-0), a former karate, muay thai, and kickboxing prodigy that burst onto the pro-MMA scene in 2018 and has looked impressive with an almost unblemished record.
Fiorot is 5-0 as a UFC competitor and is one significant victory away from staking her claim at flyweight gold. There’s no better opportunity to position herself as a title contender than by facing a former strawweight queen, “Thug Rose,” and handing her a rough welcome to the 125-pound weight class on home soil.
Rose Namajunas
Following one of the UFC’s most highly criticized performances in a title-losing bout to Carla Esparza, Rose Namajunas (11-5-0 pro-MMA) returns to the octagon after a 10-month layoff.
Sportsbooks and UFC handicappers alike are already doubting the potential success of Namajunas moving forward, but are they too quick to underestimate a well-experienced veteran who’s thrived as an underdog her entire career?
UFC Paris Fiorot vs. Namajunas: Breakdown
There are countless variables heading into this weekend’s co-main event. Can Namajunas match the strength and power at 125 lbs? Is she still passionate about professional competition?
Questions are also unanswered on Fiorot’s behalf, as she’s yet to face a caliber of opponent with Rose’s experience and in-cage success. For this reason, ignoring the moneyline for a shot on this fight going all three rounds feels like a safer betting position to be in. Not only has Fiorot gone the distance in three consecutive UFC bouts, but she’s never been stopped inside the distance.
Furthermore, Rose has been a five-round fighter and has gone the distance on multiple occasions, including in 4 of her last 6 UFC bouts. And this Saturday in Paris will be her first three-round bout since 2020.
Fight Goes the Distance/Yes: Reasoning
The UFC odds favor Fiorot to get the job done. Still, as I previously stated, we’re looking at too many unanswered questions from both parties to find confidence in either side.
Toughness and durability can be accredited to Namajunas’ and Fiorot’s skillset; neither fighter has been stopped via strikes, and we can expect a patient, technical bout with minimal defensive failures to play out.
UFC Pick: Fight Goes the Distance/Yes (-180) at BetOnline
Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac Betting Preview
- UFC Paris Heavyweight Main Event Bout
Ciryl Gane
Former interim heavyweight champ Ciryl Gane (11-2-0) has lost 2 of his last 3 UFC bouts, but we shouldn’t pay attention to the undeserving hatred his name is attached to.
Sure, there was much hype around the French MMA star, but losing to arguably the two best heavyweight martial artists on the planet right now, Jon Jones and Francis Ngannou, holds no shame whatsoever.
Serghei Spivac
In my opinion, Serghei Spivac (16-3-0) is the perfect bounce-back opponent for Gane. He’s an up-and-coming prospect within the top 15 rankings but has yet to win over one of the division’s top-tier contenders.
UFC Paris Gane vs. Spivac: Breakdown
Like our co-main event prop bet prediction, I’ve noticed interesting value outside the moneyline odds. As Gane’s moneyline continues trending away from value, why not bank on this fight ending before the end of round three?
Spivac has finished 72% of his successful UFC bouts and lost 67% inside the distance, and Gane has gone the distance in just 4 of his 13 pro-MMA bouts to date. With a talented striker with ground-finishing ability versus a talented grappler with fight-ending power going to war for 25 minutes, it’s a no-brainer.
The odds favor Gane, and I completely agree. The Frenchman holds too much technical offense knowledge for Spivac to be the deserving favorite, but the under 2.5 rounds is an intriguing prop at a reasonable price of -162.
UFC Pick: Under 2½ Rounds (-162) at BetOnline
UFC Paris Main Card & Odds
- Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac [UFC heavyweight main event bout]
- Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas [UFC co-main women’s flyweight bout]
- Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Thiago Moises [UFC lightweight bout]
- William Gomis vs. Yanis Ghemmouri (UFC featherweight bout)
- Volkan Oezdemir vs. Bogdan Guskov [UFC light heavyweight bout]
- Morgan Charriere vs. Manolo Zecchini [UFC featherweight bout]
UFC Paris Preliminary Card & Odds
- Nora Cornolle vs. Joselyne Edwards [UFC women’s bantamweight bout]
- Ange Loosa vs. Rhys McKee [UFC welterweight bout]
- Farid Basharat vs. Kleydson Rodrigues [UFC bantamweight bout]
- Taylor Lapilus vs. Caolan Loughran (UFC bantamweight bout)
- Zarah Fairn dos Santos vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti [UFC women’s bantamweight bout]
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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