Our Top Betting Pick for UFC Paris
Ciryl Gane -175 at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
In their return to Paris, France, the UFC host’s top contending heavyweight competitors in this weekend’s main event, and we’re covering all your betting needs.
Former interim heavyweight champion Ciryl Gane looks to heighten his claim for another shot at gold on home soil, but he’ll have to overcome the three-fight win streak and a rising contender in Serghei Spivac.
Read on for our complete betting guide with an early preview of the UFC Paris main event clash between Gane and Spivac, including updated UFC odds and our free expert UFC first look betting picks, predictions, and analysis.
Gane vs. Spivac Key Facts
- Gane is 8-2 in the UFC with his only losses coming against top-2 ranked opponents
- Gane boasts a 65% finish as a UFC competitor
- Spivac has never defeated a top-5-ranked opponent
- 2 of Spivac’s 3 UFC defeats were via KO/TKO
UFC Paris Information
- When: Saturday, September 2, 2023 – 12:00 PM ET
- Where: Accor Arena, Paris, France
- Scheduled Bouts: 11
- Main Event: Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac
- Moneyline Probability: Gane – 63.3% (-175) Spivac – 39.4% (+154)
UFC Paris Gane vs. Spivac: Tale of the Tape
Ciryl Gane
Despite owning just a 2-0 pro-MMA record at the time, Ciryl Gane’s arrival to the UFC was attached with a significant amount of hype. The French striking specialist was inexperienced in the cage, but his championship level of Muay Thai was instantly put on display as he tore through the UFC heavyweight rankings.
Gane’s debut year for the UFC (2019) saw him rapidly collect the valuable experience he needed with three consecutive wins. And by 2021, he’d reached the top-five rankings, had won seven contests with four stoppages, and was holding the interim heavyweight strap.
It was a fast rise for Gane, perhaps too fast. Francis Ngannou was able to expose the wrestling deficiencies the Frenchman had, and this was further replicated by the current champion and legend of the sport, Jon Jones.
Losses to Ngannou and Jones hold zero shame, however, and there hasn’t been an opponent outside of the #1 and #2 heavyweight rankings that’s come close to defeating Gane. With incredible athleticism, speed, and conditioning for the heaviest weight class, he’s a serious problem for up-and-coming contenders looking to use his name as a stepping stool to title glory.
Gane Combat Sports Accomplishments
- UFC Interim Heavyweight Champion (One time)
- UFC Performance of the Night (Two times)
- UFC Fight of the Night (One time)
- TKO World Heavyweight Champion (One time, two defenses)
- Academie Francaise de Muay Thai National Champion
Gane Best Moneyline Odds: -175 with BetOnline
Serghei Spivac
Aged just 24, Spivac arrived in the elite surroundings of UFC’s heavyweight division as one of the youngest in his weight class. Alternating wins and losses during the first handful of years was undoubtedly a learning experience because now he’s riding a 3-fight win streak with three consecutive stoppages (2 KO/TKOs, 1 submission).
Ciryl Gane will be one of the toughest tests, next to Tom Aspinall, in Spivac’s career. Still, after showing up with a round one arm-triangle choke in his first-ever main event versus Derrick Lewis earlier this year, confidence will be brimming for the youngest who’s looking to shock the Paris crowd and send the national MMA hero down the rankings.
Spivac Combat Sports Accomplishments
- UFC Performance of the Night (One time)
- WWFC Heavyweight Champion (One time, two defenses)
Spivac Best Moneyline Odds: +154 at BetOnline
UFC Paris Skillset Analysis: Styles Make Fights
Watching the evolution of both Gane and Spivac has been a pleasure, but I still don’t believe the latter has gathered enough skill and expertise to compete with the heavyweight division's finest.
Spivac is an excellent grappler with a fight-ending submission, which is rare in this weight class. However, as a technical striker, he’s presented many flaws that could cost him dearly against Gane.
Lateral movement, footwork, and offensive striking are the bread and butter of Gane. Long before his pro-MMA career, he was an active Muay Thai kickboxer, and this experience has undoubtedly translated into the cage.
Spivac leaves one-two many openings during striking exchanges for my liking, and this is a huge red flag when faced with a precise and clinical striker. Spivac’s wrestling isn’t elite enough to break the space and ground Gane, and I also believe he’ll lack the strength to keep the Frenchman on the mat even if it hits the floor.
Gane will dictate the pace in striking exchanges and will outland Spivac in every round, and with defensive issues for the Moldovan present, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him on the wrong end of a KO/TKO stoppage.
The UFC Paris Best Bet Formula
The available UFC odds at the top betting sites have placed Gane as the betting favorite, and I expect this -175 moneyline to finish in the 200s by fight night.
Spivac’s greatest path to victory is through an offensive grappling gameplan. Still, Gane has defensively proved himself in this area versus a lower level of competition on many occasions and will be the superior striker of the two to have his hand raised on home soil.
UFC Paris Best Bet: Ciryl Gane -175 at BetOnline [1.75u to win 1u]
UFC Paris Main Card & Odds
- Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac [UFC heavyweight main event bout]
- Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas [UFC co-main women’s flyweight bout]
- Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Thiago Moises [UFC lightweight bout]
- Yanis Ghemmouri vs. William Gomis [UFC featherweight bout]
- Volkan Oezdemir vs. Bogdan Guskov [UFC light heavyweight bout]
- Morgan Charriere vs. Manolo Zecchini [UFC featherweight bout]
UFC Paris Preliminary Card & Odds
- Nora Cornolle vs. Joselyne Edwards [UFC women’s bantamweight bout]
- Taylor Lapilus vs. Caolan Loughran (UFC bantamweight bout)
- Ange Loosa vs. Rhys McKee [UFC welterweight bout]
- Farid Basharat vs. Kleydson Rodrigues [UFC bantamweight bout]
- Zarah Fairn dos Santos vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti [UFC women’s bantamweight bout]
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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