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UFC Nashville First Look: Sandhagen vs. Font Betting Picks, Odds, and Predictions

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Our Top Betting Pick for UFC Nashville

Over 4½ Rounds -125 at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 4½ Rounds -125
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In their return to the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, top contending bantamweight competitors will blow the roof off in the evening’s main event, and we’re covering all your betting needs.

Kickboxing standout Cory Sandhagen looks to put himself back into title contention, but first, he must get over the boxing prowess of Rob Font.

Read on for our complete betting guide with an early preview of the UFC Nashville main event clash between Sandhagen and Font, including updated UFC odds and our free expert UFC first look betting picks, predictions, and analysis.


Sandhagen vs. Font Key Facts

  • Font has gone the distance in 6 of his previous 8 UFC bouts.
  • Sandhagen has gone the distance in 3 of his previous 4 UFC bouts.
  • Over 4.5 rounds have landed in 3 of Font’s previous 4 bouts.

UFC Nashville Information

  • When: Saturday, August 5, 2023 – 06:00 PM EDT
  • Where: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee
  • Scheduled Bouts: 12
  • Main Event: Cory Sandhagen vs. Rob Font
  • Moneyline Probability: Sandhagen – 75.6% (-310) Font – 26.7% (+275)

UFC Nashville Sandhagen vs. Font: Tale of the Tape


Cory Sandhagen

He’s spent the previous four years fighting the top-10-ranked fighters of the UFC bantamweight division. However, championship gold still alludes the Colorado native who’s currently the No. 4-ranked 135 lb competitor in the world, and could potentially be a handful of significant victories away from obtaining the career achievement of winning the title.

Cory Sandhagen has displayed an elite level of kickboxing to date, and he boasts a highlight reel containing a flying knee and wheel kick stoppage over Marlon Moraes and Frankie Edgar, respectively.

However, despite his striking accolades, a noteworthy BJJ skillset and an offensive grappling skillset have always been present within his MMA toolbox, and these may become extremely useful this weekend.

Sandhagen's Combat Sports Accomplishments

  • UFC Fight of the Night (Two times)
  • UFC Performance of the Night (Two times)

Cory Sandhagen Best Moneyline Odds: -310 at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)


Rob Font

Despite competing as a professional mixed martial artist, Rob Font has built a reputation on the offensive boxing approach he favors inside the octagon. Not only does he possess the most knockouts in the UFC bantamweight division, but after wars with the likes of Marlon Vera, Jose Aldo, and Cody Garbrandt, he’s landed more significant strikes than any other 135 lb-competitor in the company's history.

Back-to-back losses against Vera and Aldo recently stunted Font’s quest to become a top-3-ranked competitor. Still, he reminded fight fans of his elite skills when delivering a round one TKO victory over Adrian Yanez last time out.

Font's Combat Sports Accomplishments

  • UFC Performance of the Night (Four times)
  • UFC Fight of the Night (Two times)
  • Tied for most knockouts in UFC Bantamweight division history (6)
  • Most significant strikes landed in UFC Bantamweight division history (1151)
  • CES MMA Featherweight Champion (One time; former)

Rob Font Best Moneyline Odds: +275 at BetOnline


UFC Nashville Skillset Analysis: Styles Make Fights

We’re looking at such a lopsided moneyline price due to the hole in Font’s defensive grappling game – an area that Sandhagen can undoubtedly take advantage of.

That said, I don’t believe the -310 odds represent Font’s chance of victory. Should this fight remain standing, it’ll give him a significantly greater chance of success, but we can’t guarantee that he won’t surrender to Sandhagen’s grappling and falter in returning to his feet.

The UFC Nashville Best Bet Formula

The available odds at the top sportsbooks for US bettors show an interesting price on this fight going the distance. Both fighters are proven finishers but have equally displayed robust durability throughout their UFC tenures.

As I expect a lot of grappling in this contest, this scenario would drain the clock in our favor. In addition, and despite being the lesser threatening grappler of the two, Font has been submitted in just 1 of his 15 UFC bouts to date and has gone the distance in 6 of his last 8 contests.

UFC Pick: Over 4½ Rounds -125 at BetOnline [1.25u to win 1u]


UFC Nashville Main Card & Odds

UFC Nashville Preliminary Card & Odds

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.