UFC 302 Punching Parlay: A Moneyline and a Total Lock for a Bankroll Builder

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UFC 302 Punching Parlay 

  • Andre Lima ML (-260)   
  • Holland/Oleksiejczuk Under 2.5 Rounds (-190)

Top UFC Pick: Two Team Parlay (+111) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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The UFC is bringing octagon wars to the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, this weekend, and a main event lightweight showdown between Islam Makhachev and Dustin Poirier is guaranteed to be violent.

I’m back again to supplement your UFC parlay betting needs. Below, you’ll find two of my favorite picks from the UFC 302 fight card with complete UFC odds provided by the top-rated sportsbooks. I’ve concluded that these betting lines are worth coupling together for this weekend’s event; continue reading to find the best MMA parlay value on Saturday night.

Continue reading for an in-depth analysis, and if you’re intrigued by the main event lightweight title bout featuring Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin Poirier. And, if you’re looking for more UFC picks, be sure to check out our YouTube channel.

UFC 302 Information

  • Date & Time: Saturday, June 01, 2024 – 06:00 PM ET
  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey  
  • Scheduled Fights: 13
  • Main Event: Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin Poirier (UFC Lightweight Title Bout)

Kevin Holland vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk

UFC 302 Middleweight Bout

Holland: The Story So Far

Win or lose, Kevin “Trailblazer” Holland is an entertainer, and while we can often get distracted by the colorful personality he’s brought to the UFC thus far, we mustn’t neglect the in-cage skills that have also contributed to him being a fan favorite. 

Holland returns to the octagon at UFC 302 on Saturday riding a two-fight win streak but said bouts were competitive, and decision losses to Michael Page and Jack Della Madalena hold zero shame.

  • Holland Pro MMA Record: 10-0-0
  • Holland Knockout Wins: 13
  • Holland Submission Wins: 8

Oleksiejczuk: The Story So Far

Like his weekend opponent, Michal Oleksiejczuk has found success in the promotion, but consistency has been a major flaw. The 29-year-old Polish native has never won more than two straight bouts in 13 UFC appearances, and although he’s a knockout artist at heart, he seems to fail whenever the UFC matches him with top-ranked opposition.

  • Oleksiejczuk Pro MMA Record: 10-0-0
  • Oleksiejczuk Knockout Wins: 14
  • Oleksiejczuk Submission Wins: 1

UFC 302 Holland vs. Oleksiejczuk: Skillset Breakdown

The flaws preventing Holland from reaching the upper echelon of the welterweight or middleweight division are no secret. He’s struggled versus wrestlers and experienced opponents who can keep pace for all three rounds. Fortunately for him, Oleksiejczuk doesn’t fall into those categories.

The Polish knockout artist has won seven UFC bouts, and six of those contests ended via first-round knockout. The punching potential he owns is no joke, but a common theme is that he’s never succeeded versus a ranked opponent, while his cardio also seems to take a hit whenever the bouts exceed five minutes.

Under 2.5 Rounds Reasoning

Whether Oleksiejczuk’s early-onslaught game planning can make an impact early on or if Holland can capitalize on his opponent’s aggression, it’s difficult to envision this fight going to the judge’s scorecards. 

I give Holland the edge in this bout strictly because he has multiple paths to victory. I could see Holland using his size advantage and stopping Oleksiejczuk via strikes or even jumping on submission at any point during the fight. The Pole’s path for a stoppage is a clear early KO/TKO, but either way, -190 on under 2.5 rounds is an absolute steal. 

UFC 302 Punching Parlay Leg 1: Under 2.5 Rounds (-190) at Bovada

Andre Lima vs. Mitch Raposo

UFC 302 Flyweight Bout

Lima: The Story So Far

Andre Lima, one of the latest additions to the UFC flyweight roster, made his debut earlier this year during a memorable contest in which his opponent, Igor da Silva, received a DQ for intentionally biting his fellow countryman.

Outside of this unforgettable debut, Lima has been technically sound in all areas, specifically as an offensive striker. He owns a well-deserved 8-0 record and an unblemished record, and aged just 25, he will certainly be one to watch if he can climb through the rankings. 

  • Lima Pro MMA Record: 8-0-0
  • Lima Knockout Wins: 5
  • Lima Submission Wins: 0

Raposo: The Story So Far

Fans of Dana White’s Contender Series and The Ultimate Fighter will be familiar with Mitch Raposo. While his services didn’t previously gift him a position on the roster, the UFC is now calling on him as a late replacement. Although he’s suffered setbacks as a professional, he’ll aim to continue a four-fight streak he’s built on the MMA regional scene over the past two years. 

  • Raposo Pro MMA Record: 9-1-0
  • Raposo Knockout Wins: 4
  • Raposo Submission Wins: 3

UFC 302 Lima vs. Raposo: Skillset Breakdown

In the tape room, you’d believe Raposo owns a lot of potential, but for all of the impressive factors in his skill set – faints, movement, versatility – he doesn’t do enough whenever the cage door closes. Is he a striker, grappler, or wrestler? Who knows? But trusting him versus the UFC elite isn’t something we can do based on what we’ve seen thus far.

Andre Lima, on the other hand, is an aggressive fighter who will thrive facing an opponent like Raposo, who is consistently accepting of fighting off his back foot. The Brazilian has beautiful combinations and can pile on the pressure while also keeping the perfect distance.  

Lima Moneyline Reasoning

Lima’s pinpoint striking offense, alongside his ability to mix up trips and throws, will undoubtedly make him a more well-rounded fighter. Raposo has the potential to avoid being finished, but sadly, that’ll be the best attribute he brings to this fight, and the conservative style he presents will be taken advantage of by a Brazilian determined to make us remember him for more than being bitten.  

UFC 302 Punching Parlay Leg 2: Andre Lima ML (-260) at Bovada

UFC 302 Punching Parlay 

  • Andre Lima ML (-260)   
  • Holland/Oleksiejczuk Under 2.5 Rounds (-190)

UFC Pick: Two Team Parlay (+111) at Bovada

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Two Team Parlay (+111)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.