Soccer Pick: Real Madrid ML (-143) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
The first set of UCL quarter-final matches is upon us, and we’re back with another helping of soccer picks and game predictions. The stats have been analyzed, and we’ve studied the current form of each squad to provide you with an informed collection of Champions League predictions for Tuesday and Wednesday’s fixtures.
It’s the Quarterfinals Leg One meetings this week, as the Premier League champions, Manchester City, will clash with the German champions Bayern Munich. However, all isn’t well for English squads, as an out-of-form Chelsea needs to overcome an old Spanish foe in Real Madrid. Continue reading for our top betting picks and free predictions.
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Our Top Betting Picks for UCL Quarterfinals Leg 1
- Manchester City vs. Bayern Munich: Over 2.5 Goals (-154)
- Real Madrid vs. Chelsea: Real Madrid ML (-143)
Manchester City vs. Bayern Munich Information
- When: Tuesday, April 11 – 03:00 PM EDT
- Where: Etihad Stadium
- Moneyline Probability: Manchester City 57.8% (-137) vs. Bayern Munich 22.7% (+340)
- Win/Loss (Last 5, All competitions): Manchester City W/W/W/W/W – Bayern Munich W/L/W/L/W
The Unstoppable Erling Haaland
Extending their win streak to eight in all competitions after a 4-1 dismantling of Southampton this past weekend, Pep Guardiola positioned his star man back in the Manchester City line-up and watched the Premier League’s top goal scorer net his 30th of the season with an emphatic bicycle kick.
Haaland will pose a huge threat to Bayern Munich this Tuesday night as he scored five goals from the seven games he competed against the German giants while at Borussia Dortmund. Furthermore, he’s scored 11 goals from his previous four appearances, making him a prime candidate to assist the Citizens in taking one step closer to the UCL semi-finals.
Germans Can Add to the Goal Tally
Since taking over the Bavarian giants, newly appointed manager Thomas Tuchel has won two and lost one. However, this will be his first Champions League appearance as Bayern’s head coach. And while he wasn’t at the helm, his squad has impressively won 11 of their last 14 away games in all competitions, so the former Chelsea boss will believe his team can cause a riot in Manchester.
At least one goal has been scored by Bayern Munich if their previous 9 Champions League fixtures. So, while they might have a tough challenge of finding victory, putting themselves on the score sheet doesn’t seem as unlikely, especially when Man City has conceded at least one goal in their previous two games versus lesser threatening opposition.
Over 2.5 Goals: The Betting Pick Formula
The Champions League odds have placed Manchester City as the betting favorites, and it’s hard to disagree with this stance when considering their current hot streak.
However, we expect plenty of drama as the home side’s previous four games have delivered 23 goals alone. Bayern Munich fixtures have seen at least three goals in 4 of their last 5, thus making the over 2.5 goals wager an ideal betting position to be in.
Soccer Prediction: Manchester City 3 – Bayern Munich 2
Soccer Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-154) at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)
Best Bet Supporting Trends
- Man. City defeated RB Leipzig 8-1 on aggregate in the previous round.
- Bayern Munich scored 18 goals during the UCL group stage.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in Man City’s last 5 UCL home games.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Bayern’s last five games.
Real Madrid vs. Chelsea Information
- When: Wednesday, April 12 – 03:00 PM EDT
- Where: Santiago Bernabéu
- Moneyline Probability: Real Madrid 58.8% (-143) vs. Chelsea – 19% (+425)
- Win/Loss (Last 5, All competitions): Real Madrid W/D/L/D/W – Chelsea L/W/W/D/L
Two European Foes Do Battle Again
After a tumultuous 5-4 aggregate win over Chelsea in last year’s quarter-finals, Real Madrid found their revenge a year after the Blues defeated them in the UCL semi-finals. And now, it’s Chelsea’s turn to return the favor; however, the London side has severely underperformed this season, and a more lopsided victory for the Spanish giants could be on the cards.
Los Blancos already dismantled an English side in Liverpool to sail past the round of 16 stage, with a 5-2 thrashing over the Reds at Anfield followed by a 1-0 success on home turf.
With that said, domestic form has faltered recently as Carlo Ancelotti’s men lost their second of three most recent La Liga meetings after a 3-2 at Villareal last time out.
Frank Lampard Can’t Solve Chelsea’s Problems
In his return to the Chelsea dugout, Frank Lampard was appointed as caretaker manager of Chelsea following an awful season under the tutelage of Graham Potter. Life with Thomas Tuchel steering the ship doesn’t seem so bad now, as this Chelsea squad looks down the barrel of just 3 wins from their last 13 encounters in all competitions.
History doesn’t bode well for the Blues, either. Not only has Real Madrid won 5 of the last 9 Champions Leagues trophies, but Chelsea has won just 1 of their 7 meetings with Los Blancos throughout recent years.
It’s also worth noting that the previous two clashes between these clubs delivered over 3.5 goals, and 6 of the last 7 have scored at least two goals.
Real Madrid Moneyline (-143): The Betting Pick Formula
Given Real Madrid’s historic success over Chelsea when competing against them in the Champions League and the fact this squad has netted 12 goals from their last four home goals, with two of those games being won to nil, it’s probable that Ancelotti’s men take the first leg advantage on Wednesday.
Chelsea isn’t the same squad from the past season and although Real Madrid has delivered some shaky results of late, their home form remains impeccable, and the moneyline price is too tempting to pass up.
Score Prediction: Real Madrid 2 – Chelsea 0
Soccer Pick: Real Madrid ML (-143) at BetOnline
Best Bet Supporting Trends
- Chelsea has won just 1 of their last 12 away games in all competitions.
- Chelsea has lost 8 of their previous 12 competitive away games.
- Chelsea has won just 1 of their last 7 meetings with Real Madrid.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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