NHL Picks & Props March 7: Senators and Kings to Shut Things Down Early in California

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We are loving tonight’s NHL card and, despite laying juice for our first pick, we have found some strong value with our two other NHL picks and props for March 7.

We are hoping the Kings shut things down early in California, whilst we are targeting the league 3rd highest goalscorer to get back on the board in Columbus and anybody can win against Pittsburgh these days so, why not take the underdogs at plus money?

Let’s check the NHL odds at the top-rated sportsbooks.

Top NHL Pick: Senators-Kings First-Period Under 2 (-135) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Senators-Kings First-Period Under 2 (-135)
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Ottawa Senators vs. Los Angeles Kings

Thursday, March 07, 2024 – 10:30 PM ET at Crypto.com Arena


Battle of The Stats

This is a matchup between two complete opposites when it comes to 1st-period totals. At home, the Los Angeles Kings have 12 overs and 61 under (and that’s with a 1.5 line).

Looking at the Ottawa Senators they have seen first-period totals going over 1.5 with a 35-19 record this season and lead the league with the most units picked up for first-period Overs.

NHL Pick

We believe that had this game been in Ottawa, the Over was the play. However, the Kings on home ice are as solid as they come right now, especially in the first period where they have had the least amount of first periods Overs in the entire league.

We are happy to buy the -135 juice on the under 2.0 line, meaning if it ends on two goals we get our stake back and it’s well worth the juice given the matchup. However, we wouldn’t lay any more than this.

NHL Pick: First-Period Under 2 (-135) at BetOnline

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First-Period Under 2 (-135)
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Edmonton Oilers vs. Columbus Blue Jackets

Thursday, March 07, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Nationwide Arena


Zach Hyman Aims For 8 in 10

Coming into tonight’s game Zach Hyman has scored in 7 of his previous 9 games. However, he failed to score last time out during a 2-1 overtime victory over Boston (understandable as it was a low-scoring game).

We are backing Hyman to get back on the scoreboard tonight against a Columbus Blue Jacket team who have allowed the second most amount of goals per game this season with 3.66.

NHL Pick

Although Hyman has faced Columbus already this season and failed to get on the scoreboard, we do like his chances of doing so tonight, especially at +125 odds.

Hyman is currently the league’s third-highest scorer with 42 goals in total, making this his best season to date following his previous best of 36 goals last season.

Eight goals in ten games would be Hyman’s best run of form this season, he will surely be gunning for some goals tonight, especially given the matchup against this weak Columbus defense.

NHL Pick: Zach Hyman Anytime Goalscorer (+125) at BetOnline

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Zach Hyman Anytime Goalscorer (+125)
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Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins

Thursday, March 07, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at PPG Paints Arena


Not as One-Sided as Sportsbooks Think

Both these teams are long past their heyday, and both dipping past their peak. Both teams even have similar records in their recent form with both teams having gone 5-5 in their last 10. Somehow I hope my editor allows that anaphora as it does sound quite poetic.

Anyhow, the Penguins might have gone 3-0 in their previous three home games, but we can also argue the Capitals went 3-0 on the road recently beating strong home teams in the likes of Boston, Tampa Bay and Montreal.

Both the Capitals and Penguins are beside each other in the Eastern Conference table, just one point separates the two teams.

NHL Pick

The odds for this matchup don’t make sense, as oddsmakers are favoring Pittsburgh at -140 to Washington at +125.

Looking at these odds we can see that means the sportsbooks give the Penguins at least a 62% chance of winning, in our eyes we maybe would have said 56/57%, which is the difference between -140 and -120.

At the time of writing, we need to have a slice of Washington at +125 on the moneyline, if we judge them to be good for at least a 44% chance then we would happily bet them down to as low as +110 in this matchup.

NHL Pick: Capitals ML (+125) at BetOnline

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Capitals ML (+125)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.