NHL Picks and Props January 4: Panthers Value on Road in Stanley Cup

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Brandon Montour #62 of the Florida Panthers warms up before a game against the against the Vegas Golden Knights in Game Five of the 2023 NHL Stanley Cup Final at T-Mobile Arena on June 13, 2023 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Christian Petersen/Getty Images/AFP

Top NHL Pick: Winnipeg Jets -1.5 PK Line (+100) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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We are looking to lay some juice for our opening bet within tonight’s NHL odds, as we expect plenty of goals to be scored between the Tampa Bay Lighting and Minnesota Wild.

Other games that caught our eye tonight include a matchup between the Stanley Cup finalist last season, as Florida take on Las Vegas in Sin City and the Winnipeg Jets travel to the worst team in the NHL this season in California. Let’s dive into our analysis to see which are tonight’s best plays at our main offshore sportsbooks.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota Wild

Thursday, January 04, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Xcel Energy Center

Lay the Juice on the Over

Both these teams have been averaging at least three goals per game and have been allowing over three goals per game. Combined, the Tampa Bay Lightning and Minnesota Wild have scored on average 6.23 goals per game and allowed a combined 6.6 goals per game.

70% of their previous 10 meetings have seen the over 5.5 goal line hit. We believe (although laying juice) there is significant value on the over for this matchup. We were expecting the odds to be slightly lower than they currently are on this 5.5 line.

The Pick

Before checking the line, we expected to see over 5.5 goals to be coming in at around -140 for the over 5.5 goal line. We believe there to be a currently available value at -120 and would happily bet it down to as low as -135.

Although the Wild have seen just 50% of their home games go over five goals this season, the Lightning lead the Eastern Conference for 6+ goal games on the road having gone 14-6 to the over.

NHL Pick: Over 5.5 Goals (-120) at BetOnline

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Over 5.5 Goals (-120)
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Florida Panthers vs. Las Vegas Golden Knights

Thursday, January 04, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at T-Mobile Arena

Florida Panthers Value to Win in Sin City

The Las Vegas Golden Knights might be the reigning Stanley Cup champions, but Florida are currently one of the hottest teams in the NHL, having won their previous five games.

Meanwhile, Las Vegas are on a cold streak in recent games with a 1-6 record across their previous seven matchups in the NHL.

It doesn’t help Las Vegas’s cause that they are missing some key players from their starting lineup, including both their number 1 and number 2 goaltenders.

The Pick

With Las Vegas likely to start their 3rd string goaltender, who allows 3.98 goals per game, it’s hard to oppose the red-hot Florida, who are not only on their winning streak but have only allowed 2/2/3/1/1 goals against in each of their previous five games.

For us, this matchup should slightly favour Florida. Even though they are the road team, they have had a winning record on the road this season sitting at 11-7-2.

This game is at the very least a 50/50 matchup. Considering Florida are marked as the underdogs, we will take their side in this contest.

NHL Pick: Florida Panthers ML (+100) at BetOnline

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Florida Panthers ML (+100)
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Winnipeg Jets vs. San Jose Sharks

Thursday, January 4, 2024 – 10:30 PM ET at SAP Center

Take The Plus Money on the Jets PK Line

We have said it before and said it again and yes, we are going to say it again: oppose San Jose whenever possible this season on the -1.5 PK line when the odds are plus money. That is currently what we are getting, as the Winnipeg Jets are +100 to cover the spread on the road in this matchup.

Winnipeg have a 23-9-8 overall record and sit 3rd in the Western Conference. A win tonight could see them go top of the conference. The Jets have also won 7 of their previous 9 games and have failed to lose in regulation during that nine-game stretch.

San Jose, on the other hand, have the worst record in the NHL and the 3rd worst ATS record in the league (13-25). On the other hand, Winnipeg have the 3rd best ATS record (24-12).

The Pick

This is as easy as pie. Take the Jets to cover the -1.5 spread here at +100. The Jets are on the cusp of taking control of the division and will want to avenge their 1-4 run at the SAP Center having now lost their previous four games on the road to San Jose.

We were surprised to be getting plus money here and would bet this down to as low as -115 on the Jets to cover the -1.5 spread. If you’re feeling bold, we also like the -2.5 line at +170.

NHL Pick: Winnipeg Jets -1.5 PK Line (+100) at BetOnline

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.