Soccer Pick: Uruguay (-142) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)
Soccer Pick: Brazil -3½ (-115) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
No domestic soccer on our televisions this weekend? No problem! We’re diving deep into the South American World Cup qualifying betting markets to formulate the best betting picks for this weekend’s fixtures involving Uruguay vs. Chile and Brazil vs. Bolivia.
Continue reading for this weekend’s top soccer betting picks across the South American WC schedule on September 8.
Uruguay vs. Chile
Information
- When: Friday, Sep. 8 - 07:00 PM EDT
- Where: Estadio Centenario
Stats, Odds, & Prediction
- Chile hasn’t defeated Uruguay since 2016.
- Uruguay has defeated Chile in 4 of the two teams' previous 6 meetings.
- Chile has lost 4 of their previous 5 WC qualification meetings.
Analysis
Fifth Consecutive WC Appearance
The painstaking CONMEBOL format isn’t a breeze for even the best South American teams. However, qualification into the 2026 World Cup would see Uruguay reach a personal record of five consecutive appearances in the competition.
With seven teams eligible for the 2026 World Cup, on paper, Uruguay should cover without much struggle. Why? Well, because past qualifications into the prestigious tournament (2002-2014) involved a fifth-placed finish, which resulted in an intercontinental playoff game, and they lost just one of those games during said period.
Fans of South American football will understand the importance of home advantages, as the unforgivable CONMEBOL qualifying format makes one mistake incredibly costly, so anything other than victory this weekend would be a huge disappointment for Uruguayans.
Fear not; this squad owns an unblemished record in 2023 with three consecutive wins, and the addition of Marcelo Bielsa brings elite-level knowledge obtained from the EPL to the table.
Chile With a Low Scoville Count
Chile by name, cold by nature. This team is far from hot, and with 4 defeats from their previous 5 World Cup qualification outings, a trip to Uruguay isn’t likely to snap the ugly win/loss record they currently present on this stage.
Most worryingly for this weekend's visitors, they travel to hostile territory, having failed to win 1 of their last 8 away games in all competitions.
CONMEBOL Betting Odds & Predictions
Unsurprisingly, the CONMEBOL odds have made Uruguay the favorite. That said, an excellent price of -142 can be found on the moneyline at Heritage Sports.
Uruguay has never lost a home meeting versus Chile, and considering the visitor's current form, let’s not kid ourselves into thinking this historical trend will be bucked on Friday night. Take the Uruguay moneyline, and don’t think twice.
Score Prediction: Uruguay 2 – Chile 0
Soccer Pick: Uruguay (-142) at Heritage Sports [1.42u wager returns 1u of profit]
Brazil vs. Bolivia
Information
- When: Friday, Sept. 8 - 08:45 PM EDT
- Where: Mangueirão
Stats, Odds, & Prediction
- Bolivia has lost 8 consecutive away games in all competitions.
- Brazil is unbeaten in 33 of their previous 35 games in all competitions.
- Brazil is undefeated in their previous 34 South American World Cup qualifier games.
Analysis
Enough Juice for the Entire Family
The moneyline price to back Brazil over Bolivia isn’t something we see often, but trust me, it’s justified. Bolivia doesn’t stand a chance versus this solid Brazilian unit made up of stars like Neymar, Gabriel Jesus, Raphinha, Joelinton, Bruno Guimarães, and co.
Perhaps I’m biased; I love Brasilia, but most soccer fans over the globe do. The days of Roberto Carlos, Rivaldo, Ronaldo, Cafu, and Kaka are behind us. Still, they’ll never be forgotten, and modern-day Brazilian talents have the idealistic inspiration from those who came before them.
Brazil has never lost a World Cup qualifying game on home soil - let that sink in for a moment… Done? Has it sunk in? Well, turn the tap off; it’s a record older than your Grandparents.
I’ll Walk the Streets Naked if Bolivia Wins
I’m going to be brutally honest here: Bolivia doesn’t stand a chance. Well, there’s a minute chance because what would sports be without an underdog story? But sorry, that book isn’t being drafted on Friday.
Bolivia hasn’t won an away game in WCQ since Tupac was still alive, Coca-Cola tasted great, and Sharon Stone was smoking hot – that would be 1993. And for contrast, they’ve competed in 64 WCQ games on the road since then, with 55 losses.
CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifying Betting Odds & Predictions
The offshore sportsbooks have attached a -5000 moneyline price tag on Brazil. You may discover less juice with the likes of Heritage Sports, who’re currently showing -2500, but either way, let’s not ponder such an idiotic wager.
Don’t get me wrong; a 98% chance of victory for Brazil isn’t as absurd as it sounds. Bolivia has defeated Brazil on just four occasions since 1930, and the aggregate score from the two sides' previous three meetings is 12-0 in favor of the Selecao.
In their seven trips to Brazil since 1993, Bolivia has lost to the Selecao with an aggregate score of 33-1. I’ll confidently take the 3 ½ point spread, no questions asked – book it.
Score Prediction: Brazil 4 - Bolivia 0
Soccer Pick: Brazil -3½ (-115) at BetOnline [1.15u wager returns 1u of profit]
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
Calculators
