NCAAF Pick: UCLA +3.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)
Last week was an absolute blast (and let’s not forget, pretty darn profitable) thanks to our curated selection of NCAAF picks. We had a sensational 5-1 ATS record, with the sole hiccup missing the mark by just a single point. So, the big question on everyone’s mind at BMR: Can we put together a perfect run with our College Football Week 7 Editor’s Picks?
Well, darn right we’re going to give it our all.
As we step into the second half of the college football season, one thing’s crystal clear – the matchups are heating up and getting trickier. Just take Texas, for instance; they practically waved their CFP hopes goodbye with that loss to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry last Saturday.
This week, several NCAAF futures markets converge right in Seattle, where the Washington Huskies play host to the Oregon Ducks. But don’t you worry; we’ve got that game and a bunch of other electrifying matchups on our radar. So, stick around as we dive into the crevices of NCAAF odds and bring you the best of the best from Bookmakers Review.
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan Wolverines
Saturday, October 14, 2023 – 12:00 PM EDT at Michigan Stadium
Best Ever?
Last week, Minnesota’s head coach, P.J. Fleck, sent shockwaves through the football world by calling Michigan “the best football team I’ve seen in 11 years.” Now, let’s not deny it; the Wolverines have been making quite a statement as the most well-rounded team. But, have they genuinely faced a real test yet?
Michigan is sporting an impressive 6-0 record, no doubt, but they’re also sitting at 2-3-1 ATS and haven’t been able to cover a spread higher than 24 points this season. And to put it in perspective, they struggled to cover against teams like UNLV and East Carolina.
Now, our buddy LT Profits, with his trusty betting model, thinks he’s spotted some late value on Indiana. So, let’s dig into the details and see why he’s putting his money on the line.
The Pick
“The defense has played well enough as Indiana held Ohio State to 23 points and Louisville to 21, but it has been a struggle offensively with the Hoosiers ranking 111th in total offense, resulting in the firing of offensive coordinator Walt Bell after their last game, which is good timing with two full weeks to adapt.
“If Indiana can score just one touchdown with a revamped offense, it may be all that is needed to cover this spread given Michigan’s pace, so bet the Hoosiers on Saturday.” LT Profits
NCAAF Pick: Indiana +33 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Louisville Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
Saturday, October 14, 2023 – 06:30 PM EDT at Acrisure Stadium
Trap Game?
Who would’ve imagined that a Louisville vs. Pittsburgh matchup would stir so much buzz in the betting world? But guess what, it has, and our experts have their sights set on this game. So, naturally, we couldn’t resist discussing it.
Here’s the scoop: The Panthers are playing host to a red-hot Louisville squad that pulled off a stunning upset against Notre Dame last week. However, Pittsburgh had the luxury of a bye week, giving them an extra time to prep for this showdown, while the Cardinals are still riding the high of a very emotional victory.
Now, let’s dive into the nitty-gritty of why our betting whiz, Willie Bee, is pegging Louisville as one of his best bets while some others think this could be a let down spot for them. It’s a game you won’t want to miss, folks and I’m siding with WB.
The Pick
“Pittsburgh had last week off following a fourth consecutive loss to close September, the Panthers unable to get anything going offensively in a 38-21 loss at Virginia Tech as small road chalk.
“There just isn’t enough offense on the Pitt side to depend on the Panthers to keep up with Louisville and stay within the spread. We’ll lay the points with this free pick.” Willie Bee
NCAAF Pick: Louisville -7.5 (-105) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)
Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats
Saturday, October 14, 2023 – 07:30 PM EDT at Kroger Field
Top Cats
Mark Stoops and his Kentucky squad were on cloud nine just two weeks ago when they conquered the Florida Gators in The Swamp. But, hold on, one week later, the mighty #1 ranked Georgia Bulldogs went to Lexington and pretty much put on a dog-walking clinic in a resounding 51-13 victory.
Now, the Wildcats are eager to get back on track against a team that’s had its share of struggles too. Missouri, in a twist of fate, let a lead slip away last week against LSU in the fourth quarter. So, are the Mizzou Tigers going to rebound in this epic feline showdown?
That’s the million-dollar question, and our resident upsets expert, Rainman, is here to break it all down and reveal why the Mizzou Tigers just might emerge as the top cats in this thrilling encounter.
The Pick
“Kentucky isn’t going to keep up with Missouri through the air. Unlike Mizzou’s last opponent, LSU with its high-caliber quarterback, Kentucky quarterback Devin Leary is hardly completing over half his passes.
“The Wildcats will want to run the ball to help Leary sustain drives. When the Tigers upset Kansas State, they held the latter to 3.9 YPC. Last week, though, LSU gashed Mizzou on the ground. We must ask: which version of Missouri’s run defense will we get on Saturday?
“For Kentucky, Leary doesn’t pose such a threat. Therefore, the Wildcats’ rush attack will be simpler for Missouri to limit. This is especially the case in view of Leary’s limitations as a passer.” Rainman
NCAAF Pick: Missouri +2.5 (-105) at BetOnline
Florida Gators vs. South Carolina Gamecocks
Saturday, October 14, 2023 – 03:30 PM EDT at Williams-Brice Stadium
Gamecocks Not Running Wild
South Carolina’s star quarterback, Spencer Rattler, undoubtedly possesses immense talent, but let’s face it, he’s been a tad inconsistent this season. Now, if you’re wondering why, a big part of that puzzle might just be the downright dreadful run attack of the Gamecocks.
On the flip side, the Gators are looking to bounce back after a rather unexpected stumble against Kentucky. However, it’s worth noting that their rebound happened against Vanderbilt, a squad that’s considered a notch below in the SEC hierarchy.
Enter our NCAAF expert, Jason Radowitz, who’s dissected the finest bets from our college football computer predictions. And he’s got a compelling argument for why South Carolina is the pick you should keep an eye on.
The Pick
“Florida didn’t have a bye week. They took on Vanderbilt and earned an easy 38-14 win to go 4-2 on the season. The Gators have also averaged about 400 yards per game this season, including 153 yards on the ground.
“However, despite South Carolina giving up so many yards defensively, the team hasn’t been that bad. They’ve done great tackling and are still solid against the run and in coverage. The Gamecocks have been trading wins for losses throughout the entire season. They lost against Tennessee last time out and had a bye week to prepare for this game.” Jason Radowitz
NCAAF Pick: South Carolina -2 (-110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies
Saturday, October 14, 2023 – 03:30 PM EDT at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium
Game of the Week
Folks, it’s time for the game of the week! I’ve been singing the praises of the Huskies and their quarterback, Michael Penix Jr., since Week 2, and let me tell you, it’s been paying off big time. Now, sure, the line has been doing the cha-cha in the past couple of hours, with Washington even going as high as 3.5 points. But, take it from me, I strongly recommended buying down that hook.
Here’s why this matchup is colossal. Leading the charge for the Oregon Ducks is none other than Bo Nix. Both Bo and Penix Jr. are sitting pretty as two of the top three contenders in the Heisman Trophy race, which means the winner of this game is about to see their Heisman odds skyrocket. And let’s not forget, the College Football Playoff dreams of both the Huskies and the Ducks hang in the balance, depending on the outcome of this epic showdown.
That’s why we’ve brought in the football sage himself, Donnie RightSide, to break down this game of the week on our YouTube channel. Trust me, this is one spectacle you absolutely can’t afford to miss.
The Pick
“This weekend presents a series of intriguing matchups as we approach the countdown to crowning a national champion. One of the marquee games on the docket is the Pac-12 showdown between Oregon and Washington. The line is set at -2.5 points in favor of the Huskies on their home turf, and you can bet that the atmosphere is going to be absolutely electric.
“Now, if we dissect things on paper, it might appear that Oregon holds the edge as the superior football team. Bo Nix leads the Ducks with a potent offense, and their defense seems to have an edge over Washington’s. But then, there’s that intangible factor, Michael Penix Jr. – a player who has the potential for a Heisman-worthy performance this weekend.
“In the end, I’ve got a hunch that Penix Jr. is about to deliver a Heisman-worthy moment, and that’s why I’m taking the Washington Huskies to pull off a victory against the Oregon Ducks. It’s going to be one for the books, folks.” Donnie RightSide
NCAAF Pick: Washington -2.5 (-113) at Heritage Sports
UCLA Bruins vs. Oregon State Beavers
Saturday, October 14, 2023 – 08:00 PM EDT at Reser Stadium
Take a Bow
Let’s give credit where it’s due, folks. Chip Kelly’s most significant accomplishment might just be transforming UCLA’s defense into one of the stoutest units in the nation. A couple of weeks ago, I placed my bet on the under for the UCLA vs. Utah game, and it paid off brilliantly, thanks to the Bruins’ exceptional defense.
Now, let’s talk about why I’m putting my money on UCLA against Oregon State. Sure, it can be nerve-wracking to bet against the Beavers in their home stadium, but here’s the kicker – we’re still getting more than a field goal and the public is all aboard the Beaver train.
The Pick
UCLA’s offense is on fire, putting up an impressive 39.3 points per game. They’re ranked 11th in the nation for points scored, and that’s no small feat. But here’s what really has me excited – they’re not just racking up points; they’re covering the spread with style. In their last six games, they’ve gone 5-1 ATS.
To sweeten the deal, my buddy SJ mentioned that UCLA is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six road games against Oregon State. Now, it’s not just about their offense; their defense is stepping up its game too, allowing only 20.8 points per game, ranking 36th in the nation for points allowed.
This might just be DJ Uiagalelei’s toughest defensive test of the season. So, we’re grabbing that field goal with the extra half-point and rolling with UCLA.
NCAAF Pick: UCLA +3.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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