Top NCAAF Pick: Arizona -12½ (-110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)
It’s the final week of the regular season! Get those bets in and enjoy Rivalry Weekend with the three best bets from the AI Model! Delve into the fluctuations of betting lines and odds presented by top offshore sportsbooks.
Texas A&M Aggies vs. LSU Tigers
Saturday, November 25, 2023 – 12:00 PM ET at Tiger Stadium
Our AI Model likes the LSU and Texas A&M to combine for 75 points in the final game of the regular season. With the total sitting at 66, the Over is a no-brainer.
Can Daniels Earn Heisman Award In Regular Season Finale?
The LSU Tigers have the best offense in the nation to go along with one of the worst defenses in the Power Five. Of course, the Over is the play.
Jayden Daniels of LSU is looking to win a Heisman. They’ll press and try to earn big plays down the field as many times as possible so Daniels can boost his stats.
On the other hand, Texas A&M fired Jimbo Fisher earlier this month. They bought him out for about $76 million, so he wouldn’t coach anymore.
The Aggies haven’t been terrible this year. But they’ve started multiple quarterbacks, which hasn’t helped the stability of the offense. Right now, it’s Jaylen Henderson at quarterback, who only completed 16 passes against ACU last weekend.
The Pick
Henderson helped interim head coach Elijah Robinson earn his first win. But there’s still plenty of talent on the offensive end for the Aggies to put up points against a young LSU secondary that has struggled throughout the year.
I’m taking the Over in this one.
NCAAF Pick: Over 66 (-110) at Bovada
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Saturday, November 25, 2023 – 03:30 PM ET at Memorial Stadium
Our AI Model believes Northwestern will only lose by three points to Illinois on the road. However, Northwestern is a six-point favorite, proving that there’s value in the Wildcats.
Northwestern’s Underdog Value
The Northwestern Wildcats have done it! They’re going bowling in David Braun’s first season as head coach with the Wildcats.
Braun took over the Wildcats after Pat Fitzgerald was fired for his team’s hazing. He was named the interim head coach to begin the season but will finish the season as the team’s head coach. It’s an awesome story for a very likable coach. But they’ve got more work ahead.
Northwestern has won three of its last four games against Maryland, Wisconsin, and Purdue. They’ve scored at least 23 points in each of those games and haven’t allowed more than 15 points in any of their last three games.
Although Illinois struggled to score against Iowa, behind John Paddock, the Fighting Illini has been better offensively.
Paddock didn’t start the year as the quarterback. But he took over against Indiana in a 48-45 overtime win, where he threw for over 500 yards with four touchdowns. Now he’s got the job.
The Pick
That was fun, but in his next game against Iowa, he completed only 46.8% of passes and had no touchdowns.
Northwestern’s defense isn’t like Iowa’s. But it’s played tremendously lately. Back Northwestern.
NCAAF Pick: Northwestern +6 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Arizona Wildcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
Saturday, November 25, 2023 – 03:30 PM ET at Mountain America Stadium
The AI Model suggests Arizona will earn a 32-17 win over Arizona State. With the Wildcats sitting at -12.5, Arizona should cover the spread according to the Model.
Arizona’s Unstoppable Run
The Arizona Wildcats have become one of the nation’s best teams. While they’ve got three losses on the year, Arizona is currently 8-3 and on a five-game winning streak. They’ve knocked off Washington State, Oregon State, UCLA, Colorado, and Utah in five straight matchups behind freshman quarterback Noah Fifita.
He’s thrown for nearly 2,000 yards and has 18 passing touchdowns with only four interceptions. His QBR of 82.2 is also 11th best in all of college football. Fifita should have a field day against Arizona State. The Sun Devils just allowed 49 points to Oregon and gave up 55 points to Utah in two of the last three weeks.
But while the defense hasn’t been good, the offense has been worse. The Sun Devils don’t have a reliable quarterback. The offensive line has also struggled to make holes and block in pass protection.
The only thing that Arizona State has going for them is Cameron Skattebo, who has rushed for 4.6 yards a carry on 147 attempts. He’s scored eight rushing touchdowns and is truly the only bright spot of the Arizona State offense.
However, defensively, the Wildcats are the best against the run. They’re also great at converting tackles at a high rate and are playing solid coverage in the secondary.
The Pick
This might be a rivalry game. However, Arizona is playing at a much higher level than Arizona State. The Wildcats are playing for a New Year’s Six Bowl, while the Sun Devils will pack things up no matter what happens in this game.
I’m with the AI Model. Take the Wildcats at -12.5.
NCAAF Pick: Arizona -12.5 (-110) at Bovada
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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