UFC Vegas 58 Prop Betting Picks: The Perfect Proposition

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Michael Johnson of the United States reacts after being defeated by Thiago Moises of Brazil in their Lightweight bout during UFC Fight Night. Photo by Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images via AFP

The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to Las Vegas for a highly stacked Fight Night event.

The UFC fight odds are now available for us to delve into some perfect prop betting picks for UFC Vegas 58 – headlined by a lightweight contenders’ bout between Rafael Dos Anjos and Rafael Fiziev.

Michael Johnson vs. Jamie Mullarkey

UFC Lightweight Main Card Bout

Saturday, July 09, 2022 – 09:10 PM EDT at UFC Apex

After breaking his three-year 4-fight losing streak just eight weeks ago, Michael Johnson (20-17-0) is wasting no time in returning to the octagon as he welcomes a new generation of fighters into the octagon this weekend.

Johnson is a veteran of the UFC's 155lb weight class, and aged 36; he put the critics to bed last time out when proving his sleek, striking skills aren't finished making statements as he celebrated a round two TKO stoppage over Alan Patrick.

Australia's Jamie Mullarkey (14-5-0) wasn't so fortunate in his previous fight, losing to Jalin Turner via TKO. He'll be hoping to use Johnson as a stepping stone back into the win column, a highly possible outcome as youth and durability will be on his side.

Johnson vs. Mullarkey Fight Breakdown

As I watch a large crowd of the MMA betting community rush to put the Mullarkey Moneyline on their betting, I understand why because the apparent downfall of Johnson and Alan Patrick wasn't exactly a world-beater. However, I can't ignore Johnson's striking offense and put 100% faith into the Aussie.

With that said, speed kills, and Mullarkey will own the advantage in this area. He's well-rounded, and whilst he should be the favorite, the -200 and above price on Mullarkey isn't a betting position I want to be in.

UFC Vegas 58 Odds Analysis and Prediction

The available UFC odds with Bookmaker Review are giving us a reasonable price on the under two and a half rounds. Both fighters have shown to have susceptible chins, and I envision a high pace battle that could easily be over within the first five minutes.

UFC Vegas 58 Prop Pick: Under 2 ½ Rounds (-165) [1.65u returns 1u profit] at BetOnline (Visit our BetOnline Review)


Jared Vanderaa vs. Chase Sherman

UFC Heavyweight Main Card Bout

Saturday, July 09, 2022 – 09:35 PM EDT at UFC Apex

Chase Sherman (15-10-0) was given a second opportunity on the UFC heavyweight roster when the promotion re-signed him in 2020. Unfortunately, he's won just 1 of his last five fights since his return, getting finished by submission in his last two.

To Sherman's credit, his boxing offense is noteworthy, but this is MMA, and his overall skill set isn't good enough to compete with the UFC elite.

Jared Vanderaa (12-8-0) arrived to the UFC from Dana Whites Contender Series, and similar to his opponent, his company record isn't desirable (1-4).

Vanderaa vs. Sherman Fight Breakdown

I believe durability, complete MMA skill set, cardio, and room for improvement are all siding with Vanderaa. With that said, do I trust putting my hard-earned cash on his money? Never.

The loser of this fight will likely lose their job; I expect a high intensity and a strong willingness from both men to finish the fight.

UFC Vegas 58 Odds Analysis Prediction

The available UFC odds with the top-rated Sportsbooks favor Vanderaa but the under two and a half rounds is where I feel comfortable placing my money.

UFC Vegas 58 Prop Pick: Under 2 ½ Rounds (-145) [1.45u returns 1u profit] at BetOnline

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Under 2 ½ Rounds -145
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.