5/19/24
Indiana Pacers +3 -110 1.1u to 1u
Indiana Pacers ML +130 0.5u to win 0.65u
Denver Nuggets 1H -2 -113 1.13u to win 1u
I have three plays today on both game 7's. I took Indiana +3 and sprinkled on the ML. It's bucking the trend here for me that game 7 is going to go to both home teams but I have good reason for it. Indiana is healthier and I think that's going to be a factor in this game as it'll be close imo so thats my reasoning for taking the points today. New York should get back OG Anunoby and possibly Josh Hart will play as well but both those guys are probably less than 100%. Also I think Jalen Brunson has struggled in this series because he's been worn out by Thibs by playing so many minutes. The Pacers have young legs and I think guys like Pascal Siakem and Tyrese Haliburton will step up today and lead them to a huge victory on the road.
In the nightcap I'm on Denver early and the reason I'm not playing this full game is because I think we get a pretty tight game and one that could go either way. I really expect Denver to win but more importantly I expect them to start out fast and lead at halftime because they were embarrassed with how game 6 played out. They got ran out of the gym and it was never close once Minnesota got the lead. I think Jokic comes out and plays like an MVP today leading Denver to a first half lead, I can see Minnesota keeping this close though so I didn't want to lay 4.5 with Denver but gun to my head I'd probably side with Denver full game because I just expect them to win here and if they do I think they can cover but I wasn't willing to bet that.