Analytics Capper's Picks of the Day Thread

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Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
KC is a bad team. Bubic is starting for them and they are resting a couple key starters today. If Texas wants to make strides as a team moving forward into the rest of the year, these are the games they need to take care of business of and win. Ace Martin Perez is on the mound and is a relatively short favorite on the road. They have the pitching advantage and hitting advantage today.

Reason: Rangers ML -135 v. Royals
 

Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
Cleveland is in the middle of a long losing streak. These are two teams going in opposite directions, with the Twins taking the last 4 of 5 games. I'm a big fan of Plesac's pitching and I think this is a great contrarian and regressional spot for the Guardians. This more of a value play as Cleveland is a good buy low spot.

Guardians ML -115 v. Twins

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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
37,363
KC is a bad team. Bubic is starting for them and they are resting a couple key starters today. If Texas wants to make strides as a team moving forward into the rest of the year, these are the games they need to take care of business of and win. Ace Martin Perez is on the mound and is a relatively short favorite on the road. They have the pitching advantage and hitting advantage today.

Reason: Rangers ML -135 v. Royals
Solid pick yesterday, easy win for a bankroll build.
 

Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
Always scary to go against the St. Louis Cardinals and that line up. They have great hitters up and down the board that can hit for power, or get on base. With that said, you guys know how much I like Sandy Alcantara, the starting pitcher for the Marlins tonight. I still believe he's getting disrespected by the oddsmakers and there is still great value in his games. He is coming off a subpar outing the last time he pitched so it's a great regressional spot as well. I'm going to trust it and go with Miami tonight.

Pick: Marlins ML -125 v. Cardinals

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Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
Always scary to go against the St. Louis Cardinals and that line up. They have great hitters up and down the board that can hit for power, or get on base. With that said, you guys know how much I like Sandy Alcantara, the starting pitcher for the Marlins tonight. I still believe he's getting disrespected by the oddsmakers and there is still great value in his games. He is coming off a subpar outing the last time he pitched so it's a great regressional spot as well. I'm going to trust it and go with Miami tonight.

Pick: Marlins ML -125 v. Cardinals
Don’t worry AC I don’t expect a response from you ever lol. Just giving you props !
Thank you for the comments man! I'm here. I read everything =)
 
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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
37,363
Always scary to go against the St. Louis Cardinals and that line up. They have great hitters up and down the board that can hit for power, or get on base. With that said, you guys know how much I like Sandy Alcantara, the starting pitcher for the Marlins tonight. I still believe he's getting disrespected by the oddsmakers and there is still great value in his games. He is coming off a subpar outing the last time he pitched so it's a great regressional spot as well. I'm going to trust it and go with Miami tonight.

Pick: Marlins ML -125 v. Cardinals

Thank you for the comments man! I'm here. I read everything =)
Thank you for that unexpected appreciated response 👍.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
37,363
Went with run line though hope we both cash !

MLB Miami Marlins (S Alcantara - R - Must Start) (A Pallante - R - Must Start) Spread -1½ +137 for Game
Risk: $223.30To Win: $305.92
Ticket #206041210-1
 

Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
The Nationals are coming off a loss to the Pirates last night where they actually scored 7 runs. I think their offense is slowly coming around. They've also lost 3 straight head to head to Miami in this series so it's a great regressional spot for Washington. The pitching matchup actually favors Gray and the Nationals tonight -- he's sitting at 6-4 on the year with a sub 4 ERA. Not great, but definitely viable. Rogers on the other side hasn't been great for the Marlins and has lost his last 2 starts seeing his ERA ballooned to close to 6. I think the Nationals should take care of business tonight.

Pick: Nationals ML (-130) v. Marlins

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Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
Gibson is on the mound for the Phillies today. Quality arm. But more importantly their offense has been much better recently even with the injury to Harper. Although they just beat St Louis yesterday, I still see value in backing Philadelphia today.

Phillies ML -130 v. Cardinals

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
33,225
I really like this one too AC.
Baz has been very good his last 3 outings and Stripling is doing just as well.

Have you considered the F5 under 4.5?
I'm worried the bullpens might be a little worn out with the double header yesterday.
 
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