How to Bet the Super Bowl Rematch Between Patriots and Seahawks

How to Bet the Super Bowl Rematch Between Patriots and Seahawks

This is the first Super Bowl rematch featured in Week 1 since 2016, when the Denver Broncos hosted the Carolina Panthers following a 24-10 victory in Super Bowl 50. The Broncos doubled down on the win, escaping with a 21-20 advantage. New England would settle for any version of that script. Seattle, for its part, plans to remind a national audience exactly why a fresh banner is going up before kickoff.

The industry leading offshore sportsbooks are open for business, with Seattle favored by 4 and the total sitting at 45. See the latest betting lines below and find out what to expect from this Wednesday-night Super Bowl replay.

Patriots vs. Seahawks Odds for Week 1

NFL Week 1 odds are current as of Thursday, May 14, and provided by BetOnline.

Spread

• Patriots +4 (-105)
• Seahawks -4 (-115)

Total

• Over 45 (-110)
• Under 45 (-110)

Despite winning the Super Bowl rather handily, the Seahawks enter as meager 4-point favorites. For those keeping score at home, Seattle was an NFL-best 15-5 against the spread in 2025, including a 6-4 mark on its home field.

Bettors will likely lean toward the under at 45 points. The Seahawks and Patriots ranked first and fourth on defense this past season, and their Super Bowl matchup went under the projected 45.5-point total at 29-13. Seattle scored all 12 of the points that came before the 30-point fourth quarter.

What’s Changed Since Last Season: Seahawks

If the Seahawks are going to run it back this season, they’ll have to do it without a significant pool of players who made their big win possible.

Most notably, Super Bowl LX MVP Kenneth Walker III is out, landing with the Kansas City Chiefs on a three-year, $45 million deal. And with Zach Charbonnet set to miss a good portion of the season, Seattle will be leaning heavily on rookie first-round pick Jadarian Price early in the year.

Other key players who left in free agency include Boye Mafe, Coby Bryant, and Riq Woolen. Rather than prioritizing their return, the Seahawks opted to re-sign Rashid Shaheed and Josh Jobe. They also committed to standout receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba for the foreseeable future, signing him to a four-year extension worth nearly $170 million.

Otherwise, the core remains largely unchanged. Sam Darnold is still operating under center. Cooper Kupp is lining up in the slot. And the defense, which was so punishing in 2025, can be just as dominant this time around.

What’s Changed Since Last Season: Patriots

To their credit, the Patriots minimized their losses this offseason. K’Lavon Chaisson, who notched 7.5 sacks in 2025, was among the most notable departures. New England also released Stefon Diggs, but the door may still be open for his return. 

Meanwhile, the Patriots added a handful of impact players on offense and defense, including wide receiver Romeo Doubs, guard Alijah Vera-Tucker, defensive end Dre’Mont Jones, and safety Kevin Byard. 

There also might be a big move still to come. The Patriots are widely expected to complete a trade for Eagles star receiver A.J. Brown, who’s recorded at least 1,000 receiving yards in six of his first seven seasons. The exact compensation is still unknown, but Brown will be an instant upgrade to this receiving corps.

A strong rushing game and an improved group of pass catchers are an excellent recipe for success, especially when MVP runner-up Drake Maye is leading the offense. The 23-year-old quarterback was stellar in 2025, throwing for 31 touchdowns and nearly 4,400 yards while rushing for another 450 yards and four scores.

Best Patriots vs. Seahawks Bets to Make Now

I’m not counting on the Seahawks to lose this game, but I do like the Patriots to cover as 4-point road underdogs for a few reasons.

The A.J. Brown trade is a foregone conclusion at this point, but until it happens, there will be value in backing New England against the spread. These lines are bound to shift between now and the start of the regular season, and such a deal will drive a lot of the public to bet on the Patriots. Get in now before it becomes too popular of a choice, and the value disappears.

As much as this game means to Seattle, there’s always a chance that the reigning champions experience a bit of an early-season hangover. And while we can trust that the defense will show up, it’s fair to have more questions about the ground game. Price is set up for success, but he’s far from a sure thing at this stage of his career.

I’m also under 45 points. This is a relatively high total compared to the rest of the Week 1 slate, and while both teams were dominant on both sides of the ball in 2025, their most recent matchup produced 42 points. I figure we’ll see each team experience some growing pains.