NCAAB Pick: Marcus Carr Under 15.5 Points (-105) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
There’s only one big game on the college basketball slate tonight. It’s a Big 12 matchup between the Texas Longhorns and Kansas Jayhawks. Kansas has struggled recently, but with a home game against Texas, the Jayhawks should get back on track. Here are a few player props to consider for tonight’s epic game.
And don’t forget, Texans can bet our player props at any of the top Texas betting sites.
Texas Longhorns vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Monday, February 6, 2023 – 09:00 PM EST at Allen Fieldhouse
Game Analysis
The Texas Longhorns will take on the Kansas Jayhawks in a primetime, 9 PM slot between two top-ten ranked teams. Texas has won two straight games against Baylor and Kansas State but will now have a road game against Kansas. That’s never easy.
Kansas hasn't played all that well recently. They’re losers of four of their last six games after a loss to Iowa State on Saturday. But the Jayhawks only have one loss at home all year, and it came against TCU, where they just didn’t show up. Other than that, Kansas has been very good at home this season.
Great Texas Offense vs. Great Kansas Defense
The Jayhawks have shot 35.6% from deep and 51.9% from inside the arc this season. Turnovers are low at 17.8%, but Texas is always a threat to force a bunch of turnovers, earning 22.6% on the defensive end. Still, the Jayhawks have earned 30% of offensive rebounds and are hitting 72.4% from the foul line this year.
Kansas doesn’t usually get to the foul line at a high rate. However, they will be the home team against a Longhorns club that is aggressive and fouls a lot. They’ll likely get more calls to go their way on their home floor against a Texas team that fouls at a high rate. Still, the Longhorns allow teams to shoot just 32.7% from deep and 47.8% from inside the arc. Opponents have added 28.3% offensive rebounds against them too.
On the other hand, Texas has been the better offense overall. The Longhorns have shot 33.1% from deep and 56% from inside the arc. Like Kansas, Texas won’t take a ton of threes. The Longhorns aren’t great from downtown, but they’ve been getting to the foul line more consistently and shot nearly 75% from the line this season. Texas has also earned 29.7% of offensive rebounds and has limited turnovers to 17%.
Kansas will get their steals, too, but Texas is usually a bit more aggressive. Kansas has held teams to 31.6% from three and 46.4% from two. So Texas is the better offense, but Kansas has the better defense heading into this game.
Both teams are championship-caliber teams and are in the top 30 in offensive and defensive efficiency. This is the one matchup to watch in college basketball tonight. Here are some NCAAB picks to consider that will help your viewing experience.
Jalen Wilson (Kansas)
- Over/Under 8.5 Rebounds
Jalen Wilson will be talked about as the National Player of the Year. He likely won’t win the award, but with 21.5 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game, he’s in that conversation.
Wilson just had nine rebounds in a loss to Iowa State. That was the 11th time he earned more than eight rebounds in a game. He’s tremendous on the glass and ranks 157th in the nation in defensive rebounding percentage.
His A-game will be needed against Texas. He’ll bring it, especially on the glass, to keep Texas away from second chances. Let's take him at plus NCAAB odds tonight!
NCAAB Pick: Jalen Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds (+100) at BetOnline
Marcus Carr (Texas)
- Over/Under 15.5 Points
Carr has earned 16.4 points per game this season. He’s not a massive volume shooter every game, but he’s usually taking a bunch of threes per game. For example, against Kansas State, last time out, Carr only had 10 points on 0-5 from three.
He’s struggled from downtown recently, going 2-for-14 from three over his last three games. Playing Kansas’ defense on the road won’t be any easier. Carr has scored 11 or fewer points in four of his last six games. On the road against Kansas won’t be any easier.
NCAAB Pick: Marcus Carr Under 15.5 Points (-105) at BetOnline
Dajuan Harris (Kansas)
- Over/Under 5.5 Assists
Harris is averaging 6.2 assists per game this season. That’s good for 6th in the nation. However, he’s missed out on six assists in three of his last four games. He’s not an offensive threat but he had 18 against Kansas State while taking 12 shots. So he wasn’t passing in that game.
Against Texas, I can assure you that Harris won’t be looking for his shot and will get others involved more. He’s got multiple games with no points. Kansas is better when he’s moving the ball around. That’s why they’ve struggled to win games recently. If the Jayhawks make that adjustment, Harris will get his assists.
NCAAB Pick: Dajuan Harris Over 5.5 Assists (-105) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
