Why is nobody posting these plays??

[carolinakid]

NW 64 -58 final

 

[pete0]

Taking KC ML

 

[jjgold]

Right side Petey

 

[JDS]

umm. how would u know ?

thats just steam.

i regret not going ML instead , even tho small. just +5

Btw my opinion wasn‘t based on the steam of Don Best that Ck shared. If anything I was going against the steam from another source.

 

[pete0]

2/13 - - new day

what about today guys ? Superposition, whats ur position on todays CBB ? lol


i'm eyeing No.9 Tex @ Ttech . Ttech by -4 .
higher ranked/ way better score team on the road to a home unranked/ chitty record...
YET its a fav. by -4.


Although JJ, thinks Texas underrated.... so this has me on the fence.


CBB experts, weigh in .. any edge today ??

 

[pete0]

Btw my opinion wasn‘t based on the steam of Don Best that Ck shared. If anything I was going against the steam from another source.

Pray do tell this source, kind Sir.

or report here.

Thank you.

 

[JDS]

Pray do tell this source, kind Sir.

or report here.

Thank you.

I can’t speak on it, or I could potentially lose it, but sometimes I get the green light to report on it, so no problem. You asked me a specific question so I tried to answer it for you without revealing anything particular. I will say nothing is the holy grail in this industry. So I’m not claiming anything “special” at this point still too early.

 

[Tanko]

2/13 - - new day

what about today guys ? Superposition, whats ur position on todays CBB ? lol


i'm eyeing No.9 Tex @ Ttech . Ttech by -4 .
higher ranked/ way better score team on the road to a home unranked/ chitty record...
YET its a fav. by -4.


Although JJ, thinks Texas underrated.... so this has me on the fence.


CBB experts, weigh in .. any edge today ??

So its Texas -4 and I am on them.
Having watched them play, they are a very good team. Tech is pretty good at home (best HCA in NCAA) but, I don't think they can keep up with Texas.

Texas is 7-3 in last 10 with all 3 losses on the road but, they were to: Kansas, Tennessee, and Iowa State (before ISU started to fade).

Tech is 3-7 in last 10. Their last two home games were wins vs Iowa State (in OT) but that's about the time ISU starting playing average. Tech just beat K-State but that's not enough to convince me they can keep up with Texas.

Texas -pts

 

[JDS]

2/13 - - new day

what about today guys ? Superposition, whats ur position on todays CBB ? lol


i'm eyeing No.9 Tex @ Ttech . Ttech by -4 .
higher ranked/ way better score team on the road to a home unranked/ chitty record...
YET its a fav. by -4.


Although JJ, thinks Texas underrated.... so this has me on the fence.


CBB experts, weigh in .. any edge today ??

Let me look at this game & see if I see anything from my own POV.

 

[pete0]

I can’t speak on it, or I could potentially lose it, but sometimes I get the green light to report on on it, so no problem. You asked me a specific question so I tried to answer it for you without revealing anything particular. I will say nothing is the holy grail in this industry. So I’m not claiming anything “special” at this point still too early.

Totally understand and respect the answer, Good sir.

If u do see the lights... do report them

 

[pete0]

Cmmon, lets work together men!

Much respect to JJ for doing his part.

I want to see those spot plays with comfortable wins.
I want to see an 80%+ winrate on EV+ or better (ML or alt. ml)

Post ur best strategies for the day / in general.

 

[pete0]

somebody pull up certain NBA teams 1Q stats up..

 

[JDS]

2/13 - - new day

what about today guys ? Superposition, whats ur position on todays CBB ? lol


i'm eyeing No.9 Tex @ Ttech . Ttech by -4 .
higher ranked/ way better score team on the road to a home unranked/ chitty record...
YET its a fav. by -4.


Although JJ, thinks Texas underrated.... so this has me on the fence.


CBB experts, weigh in .. any edge today ??

Texas tech is really hard to figure out lately due to injury issues and a wide range of performances good and bad. I think since Mark Adams has taken over for Texas tech they have stayed competitive with Texas in their matchups.

Texas tech last year swept them so there might be some motivation on Texas side, but it’s a no play for me. Also this year Texas only won by two when playing in Austin. I can make a case for both sides to cover, so I can’t bet this game.

 

[JDS]

Computer Model says take Tech, but please don’t change your pick based on what I said. Stick with your guns & lay the 4 with Texas.

 

[Tanko]

@pete0
So I posted this in another thread but I'd like to know if you have other ideas on making plays. I've got a spreadsheet set up that I can modify to test some theories.

I just love this thread. You are giving me all kinds of ideas.
I use KenPom rankings not AP and results are since 1/1/23.

>>> Home teams when favored when facing a top 25 team cover 72% of the time 40-15.

 

[pete0]

Computer Model says take Tech, but please don’t change your pick based on what I said. Stick with your guns & lay the 4 with Texas.

View attachment 9253

dammit, i shouldnt have double doubted my auto play spot.

considering how Texas is underrated + this projection.... oh well.. onto today.

 

[pete0]

somebody pull up certain NBA teams 1Q stats up..

i believe this is streaky.

but i generally take Memphis , Milwaukee 1H. on certain spots.

i prefer 1H plays. its probably correlated with 1Q when certain teams in certain scenarios come out the gate fired up.

 

[JDS]

dammit, i shouldnt have double doubted my auto play spot.

considering how Texas is underrated + this projection.... oh well.. onto today.

Today’s a new day, my best bet is in this thread if you want to read my brief analysis.

PSU +140

PSU has lost 4 straight & has fallen off the March Madness bubble. Having said that overall they are 11-2 @ home and probably should’ve won their last home game vs Wisconsin. They shoot 49% fg & 41% 3pt @ home and they are looking for a regular season sweep against Illinois. On December 10th...

www.bookmakersreview.com

 

[pete0]

Bucks got blown out early in season AT Boston. (Game 1 of 3 series )

Tonite is Game 2.

Boston missing their FULL A Roster on this one.
while no key injuries for bucks. home now.

Bucks 1H for me. or its rigged. lol

 

[carolinakid]

be careful with the bucks the 1st half line is very weak.

08:38:49am

02/14/23 07:30pm

545

Boston Celtics

Milwaukee Bucks

+9½