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Kalshi screws betters over on supreme leader death

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
From what I can tell aboiut this, I say:

STFU and read the gotdayam rules next time you enter a contract.

Period.

Kalshi even paid them back, and even said they were vague...which they weren't, the law is very clear, the rules clear.

If those idiots keep pushing as if there own ignorance isn't at fault, they're going to ruin the exchanges for everyone.

READ THE FUKKIN' RULES before you enter a contract and understand the laws around those contracts.

Otherwise...

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ktollinche

ktollinche

Joined
Sep 16, 2025
Messages
614
If they paid out on "Maduro being out" on/by a certain date, they should pay out on this one as well

Getting killed wasnt the only way "out". He could have stepped down, or got captured like Maddy.

They allow bets on 'attacks' and 'bombing's... well those come with deaths too
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
If they paid out on "Maduro being out" on/by a certain date, they should pay out on this one as well

Getting killed wasnt the only way "out". He could have stepped down, or got captured like Maddy.

They allow bets on 'attacks' and 'bombing's... well those come with deaths too

No.

This shit is regulated by the CFTC and there are pretty strict regulations about listing contracts related to war, terrorism, assassination, some there illegal activites, etc.

That includes death.

It's not the same as Maduro.

Can't bet on death and it was in the rules. Kalshi bent over backwards to reimburse, thank gawd.

Last thing we want are a bunch of bitches bitching until some bitch in congress bitches enough to fukkin kill my LIVE trading desk and then I'm a bitchy bitch.

 

lekidecincinnati

lekidecincinnati

Joined
Oct 26, 2021
Messages
8,064
No.

This shit is regulated by the CFTC and there are pretty strict regulations about listing contracts related to war, terrorism, assassination, some there illegal activites, etc.

That includes death.

It's not the same as Maduro.

Can't bet on death and it was in the rules. Kalshi bent over backwards to reimburse, thank gawd.

Last thing we want are a bunch of bitches bitching until some bitch in congress bitches enough to fukkin kill my LIVE trading desk and then I'm a bitchy bitch.

so how is it supposed pay out if death yes and no gets refunded
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
so how is it supposed pay out if death yes and no gets refunded

No, there are rules about it reverting to a “fair market” kind of thing upon death.

If you want to bitch about Kalshi, then bitch about that fair market rule. But it was a rule, and everybody who bought contracts should’ve known better than to think death would pay YES

It’s one of the things that keeps me out of a lot of tennis matches, if the players injured before the match, you don’t just get reimbursed, it pays this fair market value.

And if you’re on the wrong side you could get screwed.
 

lekidecincinnati

lekidecincinnati

Joined
Oct 26, 2021
Messages
8,064
No, there are rules about it reverting to a “fair market” kind of thing upon death.

If you want to bitch about Kalshi, then bitch about that fair market rule. But it was a rule, and everybody who bought contracts should’ve known better than to think death would pay YES

It’s one of the things that keeps me out of a lot of tennis matches, if the players injured before the match, you don’t just get reimbursed, it pays this fair market value.

And if you’re on the wrong side you could get screwed.
so as long as u bet on it before he dies u get paid just people trying make money after the fact dont get paid
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
so as long as u bet on it before he dies u get paid just people trying make money after the fact dont get paid

Basically people thought death would count.

If you had contracts for him to be out, heard he died, it went up, then you quickly sold to some sucker that heard he died and thought he could come up, then Kalshi doesn’t settle YES with that sucker, the it really isn’t Kalshi’s fault.

You’re not a Sportsbook, you’re not playing against the house.

As far as I’m concerned, when I make a LIVE sports trade on Kalshi, it’s a sucker buying the other side.

Because if I am getting +EV, then they aren’t.
 
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