JR's 2023-2024 NBA plays

[Jrgum3]

10/30/23
Toronto Raptors -8.5 -110 1.10u to win 1u
Orlando Magic +2 -108 1.08u to win 1u
Orlando Magic ML +110 0.5u to win 0.55u

Toronto faces the Blazers today and while this is a ton of points I think the Raptors blow out the Blazers today at home because the Blazers in my estimation are the worst team in the league so I'm completely fading them to start the season.

I'm on the Magic tonight to beat the Lakers on the road. The Lakers are coming back home after a hard fought loss last night to the Kings where they really played their guys a ton of minutes because the game went to overtime. I think the Magic are absolutely live here so I sprinkled half a unit on the ML along with taking the points for a full unit.

 

[Jrgum3]

Just can't buy one right now after starting the season out so strong. I thought I'd get there with Orlando but they blew it late and lost the cover which would've at least given me a 1-2 night. Back at it tomorrow trying to get back in the win column.

Thread Record: 10-12 -1.40 Units

 

[Wagerallsports]

Get em tonight Jr

 

[Jrgum3]

Just one play for me tonight as it's a light 3 game card on Halloween. I am on the Knicks ML because they play the Cavs tough and knocked them out of the playoffs last year. Throw in the fact that the Cavs are missing some key pieces tonight with Garland and Allen out. I feel the Knicks should win here on the road but I didn't want to lay the 3 points so I just went with the ML.

10/31/23
New York Knicks ML -155 1.55u to win 1u

 

[Jrgum3]

Ok we're back in the win column with an easy winner tonight with the Knicks ML. Hopefully tomorrow brings us some more winners on a typical big Wednesday slate in the NBA.

Thread Record: 11-12 -0.40 Units

 

[Pimike]

I’ll be tailing once the season gets some time in

 

[Jrgum3]

I’ll be tailing once the season gets some time in

To be honest with you guys I probably would wait until the 20-25 game mark or so to start tailing. I had a good year last year but not until later in the season and more so in the Playoffs. It takes some time to figure out these teams which probably lasts until around Christmas to the first week of January before I have a real good feel of all the teams.

 

[Tanko]

To be honest with you guys I probably would wait until the 20-25 game mark or so to start tailing. I had a good year last year but not until later in the season and more so in the Playoffs. It takes some time to figure out these teams which probably lasts until around Christmas to the first week of January before I have a real good feel of all the teams.

Great advice Jrgum.
I hate capping NBA so I usually try to find someone to tail when I do make NBA plays.
Thanks for posting plays.

 

[Jrgum3]

11/1/23
Detroit Pistons -3.5 -109 1.09u to win 1u
Tyler Herro o22.5 points -114 1.14u to win 1u
Utah Jazz -2 -110 1.1u to win 1u

First up for me tonight I went with the Pistons to cover against the Blazers at home. I got burned laying the points against the Blazers last time but I still think they're one of the worst teams in the league and this Pistons team is starting to get better now that they have some experience. I look for them to win here and cover the short number at home.

Next up I took a player prop and went with Tyler Herro o22.5 points against the Brooklyn Nets. He has been on fire to start the season averaging 25 points a game and shooting it a whopping 22 times a game. I expect him to go over this number because Brooklyn has given up 120 points a game this year.

Lastly I went with the Jazz to cover the short number at home against the Grizzlies. The Jazz are tough at home because of that altitude plus Memphis is still extremely shorthanded so I expect the Jazz to wear them down and eventually cover this number.

 

[Jrgum3]

Decent 2-1 day with the Tyler Herro prop cashing easily and the Jazz blowing out Memphis at home. Unfortunately I didn't go 3-0 because Detroit blew a 12 point Halftime lead at home and actually lost outright to Portland. It looks like I can't bet Portland games right now because they keep covering and winning as underdogs but I am almost positive that if I bet on them they would lose and fail to cover because I still don't consider them a very good team even though they've managed to win a couple early. I'm just going to stay away from their games for the time being until maybe later down the road if it's the right spot to bet against them.

Thread record: 13-13 +0.51 Units

 

[Jrgum3]

11/2/23
Tyrese Maxey o35.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists -104
Kevin Durant o28.5 Points -108
Phoenix Suns 1H -4.5 -110

I like Philly tonight to take care of business at home because they are well rested while Toronto might have some tired legs after a busy schedule to start the season. That said I think Maxey gets some heavy usage this year which has been the case without Harden. I thought about playing the Under in this game but it's a little low for my liking at 215.5 but that's because Toronto has trouble scoring and Philly should hold them in check on their home floor.

I have two plays in the Phoenix/San Antonio rematch tonight. The first is Kevin Durant o28.5 points scored. He has been scoring a ton without Booker and Beal because the offense completely runs through him so I don't see that changing tonight even though there is a chance that Booker suits up.

My other play is on the Suns to start the game strong like they did in the first matchup two nights ago and lead going into half. I'm not comfortable laying 8.5 so I went with the first half spread which is more manageable especially since Phoenix dominated the 1st Half in the last game against San Antonio.

 

[Jrgum3]

Well 0-3 day on tonights very small card with Maxey not coming close to hitting his P+R+A and Durant barely missing going over his point prop by the hook. Phoenix was never in the game until the fourth Quarter so I also lost the 1H play with them against the Spurs. Just got to shake it off and come back tomorrow.

Thread record: 13-16 -2.71 Units

 

[Wagerallsports]

Bounce back tonight jr

 

[Jrgum3]

11/3/23
Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u
Denver Nuggets 1Q -2 -110 1.10u to win 1u
Denver/Dallas o225.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u

My first play tonight is on the Bucks to cover the 5.5 at home against the visiting Knicks. The Bucks got embarrassed the other night by the Raptors and I think they're going to be motivated here to bounce back against the Knicks especially at home so I went with them to cover 5.5.

Denver is in a similar spot tonight coming off a loss to Minnesota two nights ago where they were flat and never really in the game. I expect them to come out a little more motivated at home against a hot Dallas team and have the lead by more than 2 after the first Quarter. I like this better than laying the full game 7 points because I think if Kyrie plays tonight Dallas will make this a close game throughout.

I also took the over in the Dallas game because whether Kyrie plays or not I think there will be a lot of scoring in this one between two of the best teams in the Western Conference. It's going to be a highly competitive game and I see it going back and forth so Over 225.5 is the play.

 

[BMR Genie]

Thank you for sharing your NBA pick, JR.

Good luck this season. Just take it easy and enjoy the capping.

I'm also looking forward to the Dallas/Denver game tonight. Good luck!

 

[Jrgum3]

Thank you for sharing your NBA pick, JR.

Good luck this season. Just take it easy and enjoy the capping.

I'm also looking forward to the Dallas/Denver game tonight. Good luck!

Thanks Genie I appreciate it!

 

[Tanko]

11/3/23
Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u
Denver Nuggets 1Q -2 -110 1.10u to win 1u
Denver/Dallas o225.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u

My first play tonight is on the Bucks to cover the 5.5 at home against the visiting Knicks. The Bucks got embarrassed the other night by the Raptors and I think they're going to be motivated here to bounce back against the Knicks especially at home so I went with them to cover 5.5.

Denver is in a similar spot tonight coming off a loss to Minnesota two nights ago where they were flat and never really in the game. I expect them to come out a little more motivated at home against a hot Dallas team and have the lead by more than 2 after the first Quarter. I like this better than laying the full game 7 points because I think if Kyrie plays tonight Dallas will make this a close game throughout.

I also took the over in the Dallas game because whether Kyrie plays or not I think there will be a lot of scoring in this one between two of the best teams in the Western Conference. It's going to be a highly competitive game and I see it going back and forth so Over 225.5 is the play.

I know you said to wait until closer to X-mas to tail but I kind of like Bucks -5.5 tonight as well.
GL to us.

 

[Jrgum3]

I know you said to wait until closer to X-mas to tail but I kind of like Bucks -5.5 tonight as well.
GL to us.

What you end up doing with your money is your choice but I just know from tracking my plays last year that I didn't start crushing until January up until the end of the Finals. As for the Bucks I think this a prime bounce back spot for them. They're at home and they got spanked last time out. The NBA a lot of times is about spot betting and finding the right spots is key to winning bets.

 

[Jrgum3]

Nice 2-1 night tonight that very easily could've been 3-0 except Milwaukee missed some free throws late that cost them the cover by the hook. Denver came out and blitzed Dallas who still doesn't appear to be very good defensively so both the 1Q ATS play and the full game over cashed. Nice big card tomorrow so I'll try to come back and have another winning day tomorrow.

Thread record: 15-17 -1.79 Units

 

[Wagerallsports]

Winning night is always good Jr