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JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
I do have Iowa in the sportsbooks so that position be like...

:+anxious-

lol
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Clemson is down to .20 cents and I have to say that is cheap.

This could easily be a tie game in the second half.

But I'm going to hold off.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
KVB you know that Clemson lost one of their best players last week to a torn ACL?

Yeah, but all it takes is couple of baskets to get this back to a close game.

Like I said, I like Iowa but there is a high probability this game gets closer than 10 points.

We're at a point where injured players may not be so much a factor, it's game on.

In fact, pre game, money was hitting clemson, keeping that line off of 2 points.

I liked Iowa, so I'm probably off this game.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Shit, I was trying to get UCF +6.5 at about .53 cents then it went off on us.

Now it's .67 cents.

MIssed that one messing arolund on BMR, lol.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Some of these predeicted micro moves are coming, but it's still a touch market to get much out of if you ask me.

I'm going to take my finger off the trigger here and let these games settle down a bit.

Going outside to get some sun before I get some kind of FOMO and make a bad trade.

8d51ef4378e10d97504b3c865df320dd.gif
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Clemson is down to .20 cents and I have to say that is cheap.

This could easily be a tie game in the second half.

But I'm going to hold off.

Early in the second half they made it a two point game

Those contracts were at .40
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
was trying to get UCF +6.5 at about .53 cents then it went off on us.

This is down to .44 cents

Again, I’m passing. There’s a lot of temptation and this doesn’t feel like a good market to be getting involved like that.

But I will admit this is very tempting.

I’m not going to rule it out.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Just not liking the market here.

4 games left today and I'm running out of trading ideas

Have a Florida future so in that game already.

I could force some kind of Alt spread, but that's really not in line with the ideal Trading Desk behavior. You can see by my posting that I'm trying to work something here, but sometimes it's just not there and while I'm up a bunch this month, it doesn't make it any more practical to just bet into things.

There's a reason I'm up a bunch, so might have to just keep it that way.

Perhaps it's just better to start working on the weekend.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Trying to find a way into the UCF/UCLA game on the side of a UCF spread.

A lot of order book juggling here.

I was looking at UCF +6.5 and +9.5.

Will be interesting to see how this comes down in the end. The Lab thinks UCF can still cover one or both of those late.

Not picking it up though, just feels too forced and the math at this point is getting hazy.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
I was looking at UCF +6.5 and +9.5.

Will be interesting to see how this comes down in the end. The Lab thinks UCF can still cover one or both of those late.

Not picking it up though, just feels too forced and the math at this point is getting hazy.

12 point game is now a 7 point game inside 3 minutes.

The Lab starting to cry " I told you so"

lol
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
UCLA player's tooth just went flying from an elbow, you could see it on the replay.

Another player picked it up.

lol
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
I have to get up.

I literally have my hand on UCF +9.5, but it is moving all around.

A 50-50 shot at this point.

Not waht I should doing at the Trading Desk.

You can see I'm trying, I really want some UCF, but I'm going to walk away, again.

lol this is hard. The psychology here is that I feel like I deserve some UCF, especially since they've made it so close.

It's dangerous to play with this mindset, even if it would win.

But I can't tell you enough how hard this moment is, it's themoment that separates gamblers from traders, lolol.
 
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