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JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Texas Tech might open up a can of whoop ass.

They're sneaky good.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Fukk, had an order for a total and fukked up on the input.

Chart shows it went into my range, and I was to far below.

A fukkin typo.

Another gotdayam fumble.

200.gif

I have picked up:

Colo/Utah OVER 144.5 @ .59 cents
Colo/Utah OVER 147.5 @ .53 cents
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Also, MIA (OH) in action tonight.

Need the winner there...

IssueBoughtAsk% ProfitPer $100
Florida Champ0.080.120.5050.00
MIA(OH) Undefeated0.610.630.033.28
Total
[td]
53.28​
[/td]
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Should we go to the Alabama comeback well again?

I scalped a spread there on Saturday and they came back and won. Can they do it again?

Down 38-27 to georgia with 4 min in 1st half left.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Missed a couple of good trade by shorting the elevated level of OKST/UCF and TCU/TTech on the Totals.

I had those on the board, put them up a couple minutes back, but I have enough in the market for now.

@jjgold paper trading the bigmoney scalps, lol.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Missed a couple of good trade by shorting the elevated level of OKST/UCF and TCU/TTech on the Totals.

I had those on the board, put them up a couple minutes back, but I have enough in the market for now.

@jjgold paper trading the bigmoney scalps, lol.

Scalp would have had to have been fast, there already back up there at the elevated levels at what's basically halftime.

An aggressive move that would have likely failed.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Texas Tech might open up a can of whoop ass.

They're sneaky good.

They went down, now up 3 at half, another trade idea on the board that might have worked.

It's ok, there are always opportunities, it's just about focusing on them. Right now I'm curating trades I already bought as information from the LIVE markets come in.

It's a little different than processing the information and then making a decision.

I think what I've done today is a tricker and riskier way to play. I could make a case for just getting in early market and getting out green.

Right now, I have the risk of adverse selection as I know a lot more information will come in before the games I'm in and that information can be market moving and even market deciding. I think I I've figured out the moneyflow already, so I'm there in these positions.

This is a much more advaced form of trading but will also serve limit orders much better. You can place ahead of the movement.

But, adverse selection is a real thing and this is a fast paced market moving environment.

But it's cool, I'm handling it well...

source.gif
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
I hope anyone following this reads that post above.

It illustrates those two different ideas of trading.

Remermber, this whole experiment is a work in progress, but I assure it's far enough along for me to write that post above. I am inventing this and you are watching it happen. A livestream could be the bomb.

Anyway, so I hope it gets read.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
I could reduce exposure, even sell at .55.

The decision, for now, is to declare two positions.

Auburn -8.5 @.54 cents
Auburn -8.5 @.54 cents

I feel this line will be pretty stable, and once more LIVE markets open later it should remain stable until those markets start to mature, then we could see movement.

For now, I believe there is +EV in this position, and there will remain some even after any potential negative movement. This is why I did nothing after finding the original mistake. EV could increase, but if it does decrease, I think we are still ok.

This is now tading at .57 x .56

"I love the smell of adverse selection in the morning."

--KVB

200w.gif
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Colo/Utah OVER 144.5 @ .59 cents
Colo/Utah OVER 147.5 @ .53 cents

These closed at 148 and 148.5 in some spots.

Contracts are up at game start with the LIVE line quickly going to 154.5 and even 155.5

:+anxious-
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
not in action
card too tough

Are you seeing what's happening win or lose?

Gold there is nothing like this in the world, because these posts come from the best LIVE trading desk in the world, even with my mistakes.

Read the thread today, bruh.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Colo/Utah OVER 144.5 @ .59 cents
Colo/Utah OVER 147.5 @ .53 cents
These closed at 148 and 148.5 in some spots.

Contracts are up at game start with the LIVE line quickly going to 154.5 and even 155.5

This right here would have me kicked out of sportsbooks or limited hands down.

LIVE line hit 158.5.

That's an awful fukkin lot an awful fukkin early. That could even be the peak.


:+anxious-
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Yeah, that could be it.

I might have to sell this total, maybe a partial.

This position has me nervous.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
No watching porn and watching Spurs

What you should be doing is watching these bigmoney scalp set ups I'm doign here, lol.

I may not be selling the scalp right away, but I'm getting it a lot.

I will start blending them in more and more.
 
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