JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[KVB]

Picked up Iowa St/Zona UNDER 147.5 @ .52 cents.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Iowa St/Zona UNDER 147.5 @ .52 cents.

I wanted the 150.5 but it didn't work out.

I tiered down then actually made a mis calculation. Not sure I want this.

I have the UNDER in the book, but that is at 149.5 and even 151.5.

Pushing it with the 147.5 here. I just might sell this at .60 cents at this timeout here.

 

[jjgold]

KVB ask yourself the 10 gambling questions

 

[KVB]

KVB ask yourself the 10 gambling questions

 

[KVB]

Iowa St/Zona UNDER 147.5 @ .52 cents.

LOL these teams are assing out right now.

LIVE line is like 137.5

I might not only sell, but flip the position.

Thing is, I'm bullish on the UNDER so that's a tough call.

 

[KVB]

Timeout.

So what I'm doing now is watching the LIVE lines in the markets as well as the exchange prices.

I am taking time left and margin into account.

I plan, so I don't get lost in the fog of war.

If I see that LIVE line get into the 142s or 143s, especially after a TV timeout, I may get out in the low 70s or more likely upper 60s. I dont really want to get shaken out there. Who is subbed in is also taken sort of into account. there are effects sometimes depending on the first or second team coming in.

.52 cent position is now .76 but it's in jeapordy, this is a critical time. Like I said, I got the right mind to flip this thing, but I like the UNDER so won't buy the other side.

 

[KVB]

I really think this is looking like an as blunt UNDER as it was a Duke blowout.

Hoopefully this pace stays until halftime.

 

[KVB]

If I see that LIVE line get into the 142s or 143s, especially after a TV timeout, I may get out in the low 70s or more likely upper 60s. I dont really want to get shaken out there.

Instead we're seeing it drop to as low as 135.5. This is healthy for the position, lol.

I am watching closely, and have now eye mid 70's as a potential shakeout, or at least low 70s for sure.

.52 cents is now .83 cents, LIVE line at 132.5

 

[KVB]

If it's too extreme by halftime, I will be more likely to get out. Something like OT could fukk us.

Sounds counterintuitive, that the better off at halftime I am, the more likely I will bail the position.

But that's how the algorithm works.

 

[KVB]

Dude, these guys are assing out.

I might take profit and put a little in on a much better second half, even if the game still falls UNDER.

There is now a lot of room to showcase the talent on the court in the second half without jeapordizing the UNDER.

Think about it.

 

[KVB]

Iowa St/Zona UNDER 147.5 @ .52 cents.

I might take profit and put a little in on a much better second half, even if the game still falls UNDER.

There is now a lot of room to showcase the talent on the court in the second half without jeapordizing the UNDER.

Trying to peel half of this off at about .94, but I was a little late.

They are already picking up the scoring.

It may have bottomed already.

LIVE line was below 129, now it's 136.5

 

[KVB]

Somebody come and buy the OVER 147.5 for .07 cents please.

That way I can sell my UNDER for .93 cents.

I might have already mismanaged this trade. Too much posting, but I wanted to give you an idea of what was happening here, what I was thinking.

Live stream might be a lot easier.

 

[KVB]

Fukk, someone hit the .92, I'm at .93

Fuuuuuuuuuuuuukkk!!!!

 

[KVB]

Fukking spread is buy .92 x Sell .76

Fukking shit

 

[KVB]

I'm losing pennies here because I'm worried about commission.

Fumbling the fukk out of this shit.

 

[KVB]

Iowa St/Zona UNDER 147.5 @ .52 cents

Fukk, someone hit the .92, I'm at .93

Fuuuuuuuuuuuuukkk!!!!

I'm seriously considering the .76 now.

Fuk me

 

[KVB]

Point here is that we knew were deep into the algo here, even talked about flipping the position..

Could have bought the over at .10 sold at .20 for 100% easily here.

 

[KVB]

I might just take that .76 and get out.

I'm in NO condition to trade now. Sitting here predicting what's going to happen in the Forum while my position tanks, as predicted.

I'm a bit emotional, not gonna lie.

Unreal.

 

[KVB]

Iowa St/Zona UNDER 147.5 @ .52 cents

Fukk, someone hit the .92, I'm at .93

Fuuuuuuuuuuuuukkk!!!!

Oh shit, I just went to sell half at .76 and see that 22% of my position actually triggered for .93 cents.

So, I have sold:

22% position for .93 cents @ a 78.8% profit.
28% position for .76 cents @ a 46.2% profit. I just sold this at market at halftime.

I have 50% of the position left.

We'll go over the details of the transactions later. I need to take a halftime break.

 

[KVB]

A little halftime jam...