JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[KVB]

You gotta learn to close quicker when you’re making money

Also trying to force plays here, don't just need liquidity, but really need more opportunity.

 

[subaru80]

Just take the Spurs tonight

 

[KVB]

That Total got back up there during the 3rd after I was shaken out.

The Lab is not happy I didn't ride the momentum.

 

[Wagerallsports]

No read on the NBA game tonight?

 

[KVB]

No read on the NBA game tonight?

Not to trade. I got nothing.

SA could just maintain this lead with not much movement in the market.

Might be getting time to get back to those games.

 

[jjgold]

Clark had 6 points after 1st qtr

 

[KVB]

Here's the Summer Fund with links.

Yesterday I had my 9th losing trade in a row, with all 9 of them up before I sold for loss.

Yesterday there were 2 trades with 2 losers for -.6024 units or -$60.24 per $100 risked. This puts the Summer Fund down -5.7721 units for June and below the +5 unit mark overall.

There have been 7 total losses this month as the Summer Fund looks less and less like a Trading Fund.

The Lab continues to do good work in both the sport book and the Trading Desk but the Trader remains loose given the unit size and low liquidity.

Date Issue Bought Sold % Profit Per $100 1-Jun Sea/Dal OVER 162.5 0.38 0 -1.00 -100 . Sea/Dal OVER 162.5 0.12 0 -1.00 -100 . Min/Pho OVER 167.5 0.47 1 1.13 112.77 2-Jun Con/Atl UNDER 160.5 0.41 0.13 -0.68 -68.29 . Con/Atl UNDER 160.5 0.23 0.13 -0.43 -43.48 . Con/Atl UNDER 160.5 0.12 0.265 1.21 120.83 . Las Vegas ML 0.72 1 0.39 38.89 3-Jun Toronto +9.5 0.51 0 -1.00 -100.00 . Toronto +9.5 0.33 0 -1.00 -100.00 . Seattle +7.5 0.51 1 0.96 96.08 . Seattle +7.5 0.47 1 1.13 112.77 4-Jun Golden St +2.5 0.49 0.39 -0.20 -20.41 . Golden St ML 0.43 0.16 -0.63 -62.79 5-Jun Los Angeles ML 0.45 0.35 -0.22 -22.22 . Los Angeles +3.5 0.23 0.48 1.09 108.70 . Los Angeles +7.5 0.76 0.82 0.08 7.89 6-Jun Seattle +15.5 0.57 0.36 -0.37 -36.84 . Golden St ML 0.36 0.2 -0.44 -44.44 . Washington +8.5 0.48 0.36 -0.25 -25.00 . Washington ML 0.2 0.13 -0.35 -35.00 7-Jun Indiana ML 0.42 0 -1.00 -100.00 . Indiana +5.5 0.6 0 -1.00 -100.00 . Chicago ML 0.39 0.17 -0.56 -56.41 . Portland 0.28 0 -1.00 -100.00 8-Jun NY/Con OVER 160.5 0.54 0.31 -0.43 -42.59 . Connecticut ML 0.17 0.14 -0.18 -17.65 . June Total . . . -577.21 . April . . . 752.81 . May . . . 298.93 . Total [td] 474.53​

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[/td]

 

[KVB]

There are a couple of Trading plans today.

The Lab thinks Chicago makes a push early but the Trader demand more patience. I have been trading nearly every game for a while now, that is not patience.

Even if it is true that the Lab has been right every time.

For now, I will pass on Chicago +8.5

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

the Trader remains loose

 

[jjgold]

That’s unreal
9 days in a row

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

For now, I will pass on Chicago +8.5

 

[KVB]

That’s unreal
9 days in a row

Not 9 days, 9 trades, all up before going down

What's unreal about it is the frequency. I've traded nearly every game.

That's not supposed to happen and obviously I'm trying to force opportunity where there isn't much.

Might start putting the whole Fund on each trade, that way whatever % I am up is the % growth of the Fund.

Problem is liquidity so I may just go back to multiple strikes on patient plays.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

That’s unreal
9 days in a row

That would be crazy if it was nine days in a row. But it’s not nine days in a row.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Not 9 days, 9 trades

Well ok then…

BRB…

 

[KVB]

That’s unreal
9 days in a row

What's even more unreal is that the Lab liked all thre dogs yesterday on the spread, plays sent to the books but not teh Trading Desk.

Instead I took a Total that went to 1.00 after I was shaken out.

I picked the wrong time to stop trading every game.

 

[KVB]

That would be crazy if it was nine days in a row. But it’s not nine days in a row.

View attachment 94151

Feels like 9 days in a row, or even longer.

 

[jjgold]

KVB are you weakening as a trader??

Are the sharks too smart at Kalshi?

 

[KVB]

KVB are you weakening as a trader??

Are the sharks too smart at Kalshi?

No and No

I obviously strayed from the get green and get out mode as I'm trying to get more out of the WNBA than might be possible.

I tried too many times to squeeze blood out of a turnip.

All behaviors, trades, Lab work and Trading Desk calculations have been analyzed and over analyzed. The Lab is fine, the Trader just needs to tighten up.

This last week has been a great lesson for anyone reading the thread and anyone who has the ability to predict the moves like the Lab does.

Get Green and Get Out!

 

[KVB]

The Lab thinks Chicago makes a push early...

...For now, I will pass on Chicago +8.5

This dropped to .41 cents, I thought about the entry but passed.

Now looking at .53 cents.

Chicago making the push

 

[KVB]

Hopefully Chicago doesn't win this game. That would be a missed opportunity and alter my Trading Plan for the next game.