JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[KVB]

So in the end there is the need for discipline here, but what this post is really about is patience.

Do I have it or will I hit UCLA +5.5?

UCLA ml @ .30 cents.

Well, I didn't hit the +5.5.

 

[KVB]

UCLA ml @ .30 cents.

Staring at .52 cents as I type this.

Leggoo UCLA!!!

 

[KVB]

UCLA ml @ .30 cents.

I have sold 1/2 of this position for .53 cents @ a 76.7% profit.

Still holding 1/2 position.

I could buy again to fill it.

 

[KVB]

I like where I stand risk wise, now I wish I had that +5.5 and even the +8.5 on the exchanges. Those would have been nice additions.

They might be good in the sportsbook but selling while up on the exchanges mitigates the risk if Mih St decided to open up a can of whoop ass in the second half.


Pretty bullish on UCLA, at least for now.

 

[KVB]

UCLA ml @ .30 cents.

I have sold 1/2 of this position for .53 cents @ a 76.7% profit.

If my win loss record were closer to 50-50, I would have to consider that I am taking profit too early. But my win loss record is ridiculously high, so I have the luxury of just banking whenever.

It's so high some posters are rooting for me to lose, lol.

Anyway, it's halftime, UCLA up 44-33, and the BID is .66 cents.

I suppose it would have been nice to go for the more than freeroll, but just missed that with that first sale.

It's a pretty big UCLA lead, I actually wish it were smaller.

The probabilites change with the size of the lead, but not like you think it would.

That's because you're in the cave.

Consider this thread me coming back into the cave to tell you about the world. But my eyes haven't adjusted to the cave, so I sound crazy trying to make a living betting LIVE sports, right?

 

[KVB]

UCLA ml @ .30 cents.

I have sold 1/2 of this position for .53 cents @ a 76.7% profit.

Sold 1/4 position @.77 cents.

On phone, go over math later

I still have 1/4 of a position left

 

[KVB]

I couldn’t get filled for the other 1/4 so I’m still holding it.

Maybe by on the dips, LMAO, and build it up to another position.

Would be some aggressive trading.

 

[KVB]

Shit, it ran to the 80s I couldn’t buy anymore

It’s just too high, too much room to fall back on a run.

Probably ride or die with his final quarter. Only reason I sold a quarter was because I wasn’t at the desk and using the phone and I needed to reduce risk just in case I couldn’t get out.

Literally, no other reason than that. I had an order at 80 and I move it down a little and they caught me and took it.

At least it wasn’t the whole half.

But I write these things so you get an idea of what’s happening at the moment of the trade, even if that moment was on the phone.

Seriously thinking about videos here it would be bad ass. I’m inventing something and to share the journey would be cool.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

What did I miss? Is the Internet back on yet?

 

[KVB]

What did I miss? Is the Internet back on yet?

I have 1/4 position of UCLA ml @ .30 cents.

Might sell at .93 or so, not sure, if it starts to fail, I'm out.

 

[KVB]

UCLA ml @ .30 cents.

I have sold 1/2 of this position for .53 cents @ a 76.7% profit.

Sold 1/4 position @.77 cents.

I have 1/4 position of UCLA ml @ .30 cents.

Sold the final 1/4 for .93 cents @ a 210% profit.

 

[KVB]

UCLA ml @ .30 cents.

I have sold 1/2 of this position for .53 cents @ a 76.7% profit.

Sold 1/4 position @.77 cents.

I have 1/4 position of UCLA ml @ .30 cents.

Sold the final 1/4 for .93 cents @ a 210% profit.

Ok, keep it simple:

Bought 100 @ .30 cents = -$30.00
Sold 50 @ .53 cents = +$26.50
Sold 25 @ .77 cents = +$19.25
Sold 25 @ .93 cents = +$23.25

That's $69.00 for a profit of $39.00 and an avg closing price of .69 cents @ 130% profit.

 

[KVB]

Had the +5.5 in the book. I talked about this play all day long, even tried to get in hours early, I mentioned that above too.

Good work in the Lab by the Chief (me) and, yes, the Trader(me) did leave some on the table, in all fairness I tried to buy more before it ran.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Had the +5.5 in the book. I talked about this play all day long, even tried to get in hours early, I mentioned that above too.

Good work in the Lab by the Chief (me) and, yes, the Trader(me) did leave some on the table, in all fairness I tried to buy more before it ran.

 

[jjgold]

KVB your second guessing right now

 

[KVB]

KVB your second guessing right now

Dude I had Kentucky and UCLA, they were strong plays and traded well.

I had 5 trades today, broke even on the first trade, won the next 4. The average win per trade, was .5795 units but take out the breakeven trade and it jumps to .7244.

That's not bad for a grind and it led to +28974 units or +$289.74 per $100 risked each trade.

The goal is to get that to 3 units per day. We're getting there.

Great day in the Lab and a good day at the Trading desk with patience and discipline.

Issue Bought Sold % Profit Per $100 Kentucky +10.5 0.41 0.41 0.00 0.00 Kentucky +10.5 0.21 0.29 0.38 38.10 Kentucky +10.5 0.33 0.37 0.12 12.12 Kentucky +10.5 0.42 0.88 1.10 109.52 UCLA ml 0.3 0.69 1.30 130.00 Total [td] 289.74​

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[/td]

I have broken +30 units since tracking in this thread...

Mar 9 - Mar 15 Mon - Tue 244.23 Wed 195.33 Thur 112.22 Fri 289.74 Sat - Sun - Total 841.52 Feb23 - Mar 1 964.26 Mar 2- Mar 8 1228.17 Total [td] 3033.95​

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[/td]

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

KVB your second guessing right now

JJ, I think he’s been distracted, doing other math.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2032596567803502987

 

[KVB]

I have not had a losing day since March 1st and have only had 2 losing days since tracking began Feb 23rd. I have had 2 no trade days with one of them being on Monday, when there were no games in the major conferences.

 

[KVB]

KVB your second guessing right now

Do not confuse tight play for second guessing. Think of it like poker. You can play tight and sometime you just play a little looser.

Tight play is not second guessing. It's protecting the capital and insuring daily profit.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]