JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[KVB]

Picked up TCU ml @ .31 cents.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Already won that.

The bet was undefeated for the regular season.

 

[KVB]

TCU +5.5 @ .47 cents.

TCU ml @ .31 cents.

Bumping the positions for ease of posting.

 

[KVB]

I have picked up TCU +5.5 @ .47 cents.

I think I took all the 47s out, it's going up.

This is a late game.

One of the reasons there was pressure after my buy is that I was ahead money hitting the market, including the sportsbooks.

A few minutes after I bought, Pinny pulled off the 6 to 5.5.

That's not new, I often beat the market and the line.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

That's not new, I often beat the market and the line.

 

[JDS]

View attachment 88055

KVB is a market rapist.

 

[KVB]

A few minutes after I bought, Pinny pulled off the 6 to 5.5.

That's not new, I often beat the market and the line.

View attachment 88055

KVB is a market rapist.

That line about to 4.5.

 

[jjgold]

KVB let me send you a train ticket to Tahoe

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

https://twitter.com/x/status/2032117524565782566

 

[KVB]

TCU +5.5 @ .47 cents.

TCU ml @ .31 cents.

These are late market plays bought early, and curated through the day.

The Lab and Trader just finished a meeting and the curation wasn't perfect. There is some data that decreases our probabilities here, as far as a sportsbook play.

But the Trader insists that the Lab data shows TCU should still get it's bump.

Point here is that the Trader needs to be on the ball tonight. There are signs, and he must have his eys open to see them.

 

[jjgold]

These are late market plays bought early, and curated through the day.

The Lab and Trader just finished a meeting and the curation wasn't perfect. There is some data that decreases our probabilities here, as far as a sportsbook play.

But the Trader insists that the Lab data shows TCU should still get it's bump.

Point here is that the Trader needs to be on the ball tonight. There are signs, and he must have his eys open to see them.

excellent analaysis

 

[KVB]

We are seeing 4.5s across the board with some houses, like BM, dropping to 4.

I smashed what looks to be the closer and am already up 10% on the moneyline and 6% on the spread. That's enough to get booted or limited at a sportsbook if done as often as I do on the exchanges.

I could sell, and mitigate the risk and guarantee profit today. It would a very tight way to play. While curated plays will often beat the closer, the information coming in can still be adverse.

I have been up pregame many times, and 10% is a decent amount, but I have never sold for profit before the game began.

Might as well just post this pregame...

 

[jjgold]

otal
Total big favorites that cashed: 13

George Washington Colonials vs Fordham Rams — ML -310, Final 66-62
Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina State Wolfpack — ML -285, Final 74-81
St. John's Red Storm vs Providence Friars — ML -1000, Final 72-85
Iowa State Cyclones vs Texas Tech Red Raiders — ML -298, Final 75-53
Wisconsin Badgers vs Washington Huskies — ML -305, Final 82-85
Utah State Aggies vs UNLV Rebels — ML -395, Final 60-80
Arizona Wildcats vs UCF Knights — ML -2000, Final 59-81
Tennessee Volunteers vs Auburn Tigers — ML -245, Final 62-72
Akron Zips vs Buffalo Bulls — ML -1000, Final 70-73
Purdue Boilermakers vs Northwestern Wildcats — ML -1200, Final 68-81
Connecticut Huskies vs Xavier Musketeers — ML -2200, Final 68-93
Houston Cougars vs BYU Cougars — ML -485, Final 66-73
Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Seminoles — ML -2800, Final 79-80


Big Underdogs (+200 or higher) That Won
2026-03-12

Total big dogs that cashed: 3
Massachusetts Minutemen upset Miami (OH) RedHawks — ML +260, Final 87-83
South Carolina State Bulldogs upset Norfolk State Spartans — ML +300, Final 88-82
Ole Miss Rebels upset Georgia Bulldogs — ML +225, Final 76-72



$100 Per-Game Strategy P/L (Final Games Only)
Mar 12, 6:36 PM PT
Strategy Final W-L-P Final Net ($) Pending Bets
Over (Total) 13 - 15 - 0 -324.19 16
Favorite Spread 13 - 15 - 0 -301.77 16
Favorite Moneyline 20 - 8 - 0 -24.99 16

 

[KVB]

excellent analaysis

Yeah, it's been a day of processing incoming information.

That line really dropped, suppose I got some EV there, so I'll hold this fukker and see what happens.

I could already pull more than .25 units out of this, just selling on the BID, and it hasn't even begun.

 

[KVB]

Rutgers was on the radar tonight too, along with Oklahoma.

But to make the Trading Desk, it has to be primo action.

I chose to pass on those.

 

[KVB]

Ole Miss Rebels upset Georgia Bulldogs — ML +225, Final 76-72

Ole miss lost 10 in a row, beat Auburn (a play I lost on), then lost the next two to finish out the regular season.

They were 6 point dogs in both tournament games.

 

[KVB]

along with Oklahoma.

Oklahoma up 14-6

TCU down 0-7.

Did I take the wrong path here?

 

[KVB]

Down 19% on the spread and 29% on the moneyline.

The Trader didn't get his bump, and wants to play this tight, but will give TCU the opportunity to answer here. We must exhibit some patience.

If I get got, I get got.

 

[KVB]

Down 19% on the spread and 29% on the moneyline.

The Trader didn't get his bump, and wants to play this tight, but will give TCU the opportunity to answer here. We must exhibit some patience.

Kansas 0-7 led is now a TCU 12-11 lead.

That's a start.

 

[KVB]

Damn, had an exit point and I fumbled the trade, got out of nothing.