The UFC returns to action this Saturday night at the UFC Apex for another fight night on ESPN+ to fill our content holes with violence.
In the main event, Jessica Andrade returns to the Octagon as a -155 favorite as per our BMR’s UFC odds board as she battles the slight underdog Amanda Lemos as both fights to rise in the rankings in the strawweight division.
Amanda Lemos vs. Jessica Andrade
Saturday, April 23, 2022 – 08:05 PM EDT at UFC Apex
Jessica Andrade
While Jessica Andrade was a killer and one of the fiercest names in Mixed Martial Arts, from the moment she defeated Rose Namajunas on a controversial and sudden TKO in 2019, she’s had a target on her back and has gone 2-3 including two TKO losses to Valentina Shevchenko and Weili Zheng (the latter her first defense of the strawweight championship.
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Moving back to strawweight after dusting Cynthia Calvillo in the first round in her last fight in 2021, Andrade needs to keep that momentum going to ensure she gains some footing in a crowded division.
Amanda Lemos
Meanwhile, Lemos has won her last five fights dating back to 2019, three of which did not go to the scorecards and showcase a fighter with a killer instinct. But her last fight against Angela Hill is a bigger red flag than finding me attractive, as it was a split decision.
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While a split decision against Angela Hill is nothing to sniff at, especially when you’re looking to level up in the UFC, jumping from a contested win over Hill and then jumping immediately to fighting a former UFC champion who has faced the top fighters in the UFC… That’s like Homer Simpson jumping Snake River Canyon on a Skateboard… It ain’t gonna be pretty, kids.
The Pick
Now, am I saying run in there and give Jessica Andrade all of your money? If you’re looking to bet on the main event fight featuring female fighters (which is what you have across the three fight cards this weekend) putting some money on her and taking the under 2 ½ rounds at +120 would not be the worst thing to drop some coin on.
When poised with the question of an unproven challenger and proven former champion, you go with the latter, especially when the challenger’s chin was checked by Leslie Smith in her last professional loss. For the above reasons, invest in the total with your UFC picks.
UFC Pick: Under 2 ½ Rounds (+120) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
