The Predators play host to Calgary tonight after suffering an 8-3 loss to the St. Louis Blues on Sunday, whilst the Flames come into this game having covered the -1.5 spread in 6 of their previous 7 wins. Let’s check out our NHL pick and a score prediction for this matchup.
Calgary Flames vs. Nashville Predators
Tuesday, April 19, 2022 – 08:00 PM EDT at Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators Need to Win
The Predators are level on points with the Dallas Stars, both teams are in a battle for the 4th spot in the Central division. In the conference, they have the likes of the Los Angeles Kings and Vegas Golden Knights right on their tail and their 5-4-1 run across their previous 10 games has not helped.
They hold a 24-10 record on home ice this season and with their final few games of the season being very tough with the likes of Tampa Bay, Minnesota, Colorado, and a second game against the Flames all in the pipeline, we really believe if they want to secure a playoff spot this is a must-win game tonight.
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Juuse Saros is likely to be the starting goaltender in tonight’s NHL game, he has played well this season allowing 2.58 goals per game. More importantly, he has +28 goals saved above expected.
Calgary on Back to Back
Despite winning 7 of their previous 10 games, the Flames did play a lot of weak teams who will not be featuring in the playoffs and the previous three games against playoff teams or playoff-bound teams have resulted in a 0-3 record.
Their overall play has not been as good in recent weeks despite winning a good chunk of games, they could be easily found out by better teams in the playoffs.
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The Flames come into tonight’s game on a back-to-back, where they beat the Chicago Blackhawks by 5 goals to 2 last night. They have managed a record of 3-4-1 on back-to-backs this season against playoff teams.
The Flames will most likely see their backup goaltender start in the crease tonight as they have the Pacific Division wrapped up, holding an 11-point lead over 2nd place Edmonton. Their backup goaltender has an 11-5 win to loss record this season with 2.78 average goals against.
Team Trends
*Trends should never be your main source of information when it comes to making your betting picks, they are merely guidelines and mostly irrelevant information but nonetheless can be interesting to read.
Nashville Predators
- The total has gone 'over' in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games against Calgary.
- The Predators are 2-8 in their last 10 games when playing at home against Calgary.
- The total has gone 'under' in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games.
Calgary Flames
- The Flames are 6-0 in their last 6 games on the road.
- The total has gone over in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games against an opponent in the Western Conference.
Betting Odds and Current Lines
Moneyline: Despite being on the road the Flames have been juiced to –130, they hold a 17-9 record as favorites against Western Conference teams. The Predators are currently best priced at +118 in some of the top-rated sportsbooks.
Total: Tonight’s total has been set at 6.0 with the overcoming in of -113 and the 'under' best priced of +102 available at the NHL odds board.
Puck Line: If you wish to take the Predators to cover the +1.5 PK line, they are available to bet at -200, whilst the Flames to cover the -1.5 spread is best priced at +185 with BetOnline.
Betting Predictions
With the Flames not needing the win and the Predators needing a win, plus being on home ice and being made underdog, we just have to take the Predators at plus money in this spot.
It’s as simple as this, we would not like to be betting the Flames at -130, there is no value in this, we would be looking at least +100 to even consider the Flames in this spot, give us the Predators to take the win in this game tonight.
We could make this a lot of complicated jargon about why we like the Predators here but it's as simple as needing the win and being overpriced in our eyes.
Predicted Score: Nashville Predators 4 - Calgary Flames 2
NHL Pick: Nashville Predators ML (+118) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
