The NBA has five games this Thursday evening, including a marquee matchup between the Suns and Nuggets on NBA TV. Here are a few NBA prop picks from Bovada (visit our Bovada Review), a top-rated sportsbook, that should bring you the best value for your buck.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors
Thursday, March 24, 2022 – 07:30 PM EDT at Scotiabank Arena
Darius Garland
The Cleveland Cavaliers are a 3.5-point underdog in Toronto, a team they beat by eight points earlier this month. This is another opportunity for young point guard Darius Garland to shine.
Prop Analysis
Garland is having a March to remember. While his shooting efficiency (.432 FG%) could be better, he is averaging 26.4 points and 11.5 assists per game. Garland has had at least 12 assists in four straight games, including 17 in his last outing. Garland has topped 25 points nine times in his last 14 games.
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While Garland is due for a good game from three-point territory, his assists have been the most consistent part of his game lately. In three games against Toronto this season, Garland always had at least 8 assists. Toronto allows the ninth-most assists per game (25.2) this season.
NBA Prop Pick: Darius Garland to Have +25 Points and +11 Assists (+206) at Bovada
Washington Wizards vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Thursday, March 24, 2022 - 08:00 PM EDT at Fiserv Forum
Jrue Holiday
According to the NBA odds, Milwaukee is a 12-point home favorite against a Washington team they beat by 14 points to start February. The Bucks just beat Chicago by 28 points without Khris Middleton, and his absence could mean more good things for Milwaukee’s other top player not named Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Prop Analysis
While it is tempting to bet on Giannis against one of the four teams he’s had a triple-double against this season, I like the player performance double for Jrue Holiday. He scored a team-high 27 points in Middleton’s absence against Chicago as Holiday and Giannis (25 points) were the only Bucks to score more than 14 points.
Holiday has scored at least 20 points in three of his last four games, and it is something he’s done in almost half of his games this season. In February against Washington, Holiday was 4-of-5 from three and scored 22 points.
Washington’s only win in the last eight games was a 16-point comeback against the Lakers on Saturday. Milwaukee is 22-3 SU as a favorite of at least 8 points this season, so the moneyline part of the prop is not a concern.
NBA Prop Pick: Jrue Holiday to Score +20 Points and Milwaukee to Win (-137) at Bovada
Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets
Thursday, March 24, 2022 - 09:00 PM EDT at Ball Arena
Nikola Jokic
The Denver Nuggets are a 3-point home favorite against the Phoenix Suns. These teams met in the first game of the season, a 12-point Denver win where Nikola Jokic had a season-low two assists. Jokic was absent from the November rematch, a 29-point rout by the Suns. Jokic is back in action and coming off a big night against the Clippers.
Prop Analysis
While the Suns infamously swept the Nuggets out of the Western Conference Semifinals last year, Jokic still had some big numbers against Phoenix. Including the playoffs, Jokic had two games with 20 rebounds last season, and both were against the Suns. On opening night this season, Jokic had 27 points and 13 rebounds.
But he only had two assists, and Jokic has been held to single-digit assists in eight straight games. Jokic only has seven games all season where he was held to single-digit rebounds. Against a solid Phoenix defense, this is why I would focus on the combo of points and rebounds for his prop bet this time.
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The Suns are 59-14 and likely to put up a fight, so this should be a game where Jokic has to play big minutes and fill up the stat sheet. I like him to get to at least 40 in points and rebounds as he has done in three of his last four games.
Jokic has also had at least one block in 10 straight games, so if you’re betting on a top sportsbook that offers blocks such as Bovada, that is another NBA prop pick to consider for a parlay this evening.
NBA Prop Pick: Nikola Jokic Over 39.5 Points/Rebounds (-120) at Bovada
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
