The Purdue Boilermakers will look to win the Big Ten Championship when they face the Iowa Hawkeyes later today. This is a college basketball game between the two best offenses in the nation.
The Purdue Boilermakers will look to defeat the Iowa Hawkeyes for a third time this season in the Big Ten Championship game. Can the Boilermakers rise to the occasion? Keep reading for a full breakdown of the NCAAB odds and a winning pick!
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Sunday, March 13, 2022 – 03:30 PM EDT at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
The Iowa Hawkeyes have been red hot offensively, shooting a 53.7% effective field goal percentage. Opponents are hitting 37.1% from deep and 52.5% from inside the arc. At the foul line, Iowa is also consistent, scoring 75.2% of foul shots.
The Hawkeyes will limit turnovers to 13.1% and should have no problems with holding onto the ball against Purdue. Iowa is also used to having lots of success on the offensive glass, earning 32.5% of rebounds. However, Purdue is elite on the defensive end when it comes to rebounding.
Purdue is allowing just 23.6% offensive rebounds on the season and fouling at a very low rate throughout the year. Teams are still shooting 33.6% from three and 49.1% from inside the arc, but overall, Purdue is able to keep teams off the line and limit second chances.
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That keeps Purdue honest on the defensive end. On the offensive end, the Boilermakers are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 57.3% while knocking down 39.5% from deep and 56.1% from inside the arc.
It's hard to outdo Iowa on the offensive end, but Purdue is doing just that. Purdue dominates the offensive glass, earning 34.8% of offensive rebounds. Plus, Purdue gets to the line at a higher rate, despite hitting just 70.4% from the foul line.
Purdue won't protect the ball like Iowa but still only loses the ball 17.1% of the time. The turnovers will still be limited on that end. Meanwhile, Iowa is allowing teams to earn nearly 30% offensive rebounds this season. Therefore, Purdue should be able to win more second chances in this college basketball game while already shooting a higher percentage from the field.
Prediction
Purdue already beat Iowa twice this season. The first game was back on December 3rd, where Purdue won 77-70. In the second game, Purdue won on the road, beating Iowa 83-73. Both games were multiple possession wins.
Iowa's defense allowed Purdue to shoot 59.1% from three and 63% from inside the arc in their own home building in that second game. The Boilermakers ultimately scored 1.26 points per possession in that game.
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And while Iowa has been better than earlier this season, Purdue hasn't missed a beat with two straight wins against Penn State and Michigan State. I’m not sure I believe either one of these teams will win the NCAA Tournament but one has to win the Big Ten Tournament! Therefore, I'm siding with Purdue on the moneyline for the best NCAAB pick of the day.
NCAAB Pick: Purdue (-130) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
