MLB Parlay for July 5: A Bet That Pays (+246)

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Sandy Alcantara #22 of the Miami Marlins throws a pitch in the first inning against the San Francisco Giants. Eric Espada/Getty Images/AFP.

Top sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in: the Angels vs. Marlins and Rockies vs. Dodgers.

For reasons that I will explain, you should play the money-line for the first game and the total for the second. Feel free to parlay both bets at one of our best sportsbooks in order to maximize your profit.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins

Tuesday, July 05, 2022 – 06:40 PM EDT at loanDepot park

Who Pitches for the Angels Today?

Los Angeles starts Noah Syndergaard, also known as Thor, tonight.

Syndergaard has an extensive career history in Miami because he used to pitch in the same division as Miami when he was a Met. However, this career history creates a misleading impression of Thor because it places exaggerated and unfair emphasis on prior years.

To be specific, Thor has not pitched in Miami since 2019. This is, stated simply, a long time ago.

Noah Syndergaard: 2019 vs. Now

For starters, Miami is different. Whereas it ranked an awful 29th in 2019 in runs per game, this year it ranks a vastly more respectable 15th in the category.

Moreover, Thor is a different pitcher now than he was in 2019. Most notably, he threw way harder back then. He was a veritable power pitcher.

His two favorite pitches back then, which were his sinker and four-seam fastball, both averaged over 97 mph. This year, these two pitches average just over 3 mph fewer than they did in 2019.

Noah Syndergaard's Favorite Pitchers

Moreover, his pitching repertoire has changed. His second favorite pitch is now his change-up. Thus, he has increased his change-up usage.

This change reflects his intent to become a craftier pitcher since he can no longer be the power pitcher that he used to be.

In a similar vein, he also throws his slider more often.

Marlins' Batters Against Noah Syndergaard

I like Marlin batters because they match up well against Thor given the pitches that he throws. They rank 8th in slugging against his favorite pitches combined from righties.

Their ongoing five-game win streak has featured some nice individual hitting performances. Watch out, among others, for ultra-consistent Garrett Cooper. Miami's team BA leader is slugging .538 so far in July.

Who Pitches for the Marlins Today?

When one likes the Marlins' lineup, then it's quite hard not to like Miami as a team when Sandy Alcantara is on the mound.

Alcantara is consistently excellent. He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 11 starts. The one exception came when he had to face the same lineup in consecutive starts. In these 11 starts, he endured at least 7 innings every time.

The Angels, meanwhile, bring dismal hitting form into today's game. They haven't exceeded 4 runs in any of their last nine games.

MLB Pick: Marlins ML (-137) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Tuesday, July 05, 2022 - 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium

Who Pitches for the Rockies Today?

Colorado starts German Marquez. Marquez is facing the Dodgers a second consecutive time. He has experience in this situation, in which he faces the same team consecutive times, multiple times in his career.

His game-by-game history shows that, in terms of FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding), he tends to either perform decently or well in both outings or he tends to perform very well in the first outing and then awfully in the second or awfully in the first and then excellently in the second.

Because he performed terribly in his last outing, history leads us to expect him to perform well tonight.

German Marquez's Performance at Dodger Stadium

Tonight, Marquez deserves even more optimism because of his strong career history in the Dodgers' ballpark.

In his career, he enjoys a 2.09 ERA in 6 starts in Dodger Stadium.

Who Pitches for the Dodgers Today?

L.A. starts Mitch White tonight. White has been a valuable component of both his team's starting rotation and bullpen.

He has proven capable of enduring 5 innings. It is therefore important to know how well he matches up with Rockies' batters.

Rockies' Batters Against Mitch White

Away from their extremely hitters-friendly home ballpark, they rank 30th in slugging against White's favorite pitches from righties.

After White leaves the game, the Dodgers will keep the contest low-scoring with their fifth-ranked bullpen.

MLB Pick: Under 8.5 (+100) at BetOnline

MLB Parlay Verdict 

With your MLB picks in mind, expect a strong win from Miami and a pitcher's duel between the Rockies and Dodgers.

For the above reasons, parlay the Marlins ML and the Rockies/Dodgers Under. Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.

MLB Parlay Picks for Today

  • Marlins ML (-137)
  • Under 8.5 (+100)

MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+246) at BetOnline

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Two-Legged Parlay (+246)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.