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Who is going all in Detroit tonight

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,998
I got +3.5
Watch the line go up.

Not good to think that way. It's about getting the number you want when you want, under the circumstance (which change constantly) that you want.

You 3.5 moved to 5.5 quickly, but is 5.5 better? After all, at 3.5, you were facing an and goal situation.

At 5.5, not so much.

EV is EV, or at least what we percieve as EV, in the moment.

A Detroit drive and score would be terrible now, but it's all about patience. Could be a long game and our early trades to realize themselves until the last drive. For example, a back door cover for your 3.5 or enough equity and another EV trade to sell out of my +270.

Hopefully you can pick up what I'm putting down, I'm kinda of rushing here.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,998
But yeah, a failure with the Minny and Goal situation leading to a 97 or whatever yard TD drive would suck.

Leggo Minny Defense!!!!!!!!!! need a turnover.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,998
What a turrible display of red zone offense.

Sheesh.

turrible-charles-barkley.gif
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,998
Leggo Minny Defense!!!!!!!!!! need a turnover.

And it happened again.

lol

One would think they would get a little more creative and vary the script, but they did that all season long.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,998
Man what a roller coaster ride for my Minny +270's equity.

It's enough to put even the most seasoned gambler on tilt.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,998
Hi-Powered O’s vs. weak D’s - thought this would’ve been a gunslinging shootout with whoever has the ball last wins…..

Yeah, have to feel for the OVER bettors.

Iine opened at 51 bounced off 57 and 57.5, so you know there are a lot of em.
 
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