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TODAYS INFORMATION

sunshine11

sunshine11

Joined
Jan 3, 2022
Messages
12,219
Knicks ML

Celtics -6

Road favorites in game 6 are 34-15-1 ATS (69%) L20 seasons

Road favorites off a loss in game 6 are on a 29-11 ATS (72%) run.

76ers 3-11 ATS L14 as a home dog.

NBA playoff teams that lose SU as a favorite of ten or more are 21-15 ATS since 1992 including 11-2 ATS since 2018
 

sunshine11

sunshine11

Joined
Jan 3, 2022
Messages
12,219
Commandment wins with a clean stalking trip
Puma is the most likely runner-up/upside horse
Renegade is talented but trip-risk (rail)
Incredibolt = chaos payoff lever


$100 DERBY TICKET (PRO STRUCTURE)

WIN BETS — $30 TOTAL

$20 Commandment
$10 The Puma
You’re pressing value, not the favorite.


EXACTA — $36 TOTAL

Main Punch ($24)

$12 Commandment → Puma
$6 Commandment → Renegade
$6 Commandment → Incredibolt
Saver / Reverse ($12)

$6 Puma → Commandment
$3 Renegade → Commandment
$3 Incredibolt → Commandment
 
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