Tips by Bet Hunter

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Single

1. NAPOLI - LAZIO 2 AH + 0.5 1.72
Coppa Italia
Bet victor
04/08/15 20:45
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,72j
The Kelly 1j Possible win: 1,72j
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Bet Hunter said:
<p>Single</p>
<p>1. NAPOLI - LAZIO 2 AH + 0.5 1.72 V<br />
Coppa Italia<br />
Bet victor<br />
04/08/15 20:45<br />
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,72j<br />
The Kelly 1j Possible win: 1,72j</p>

Single

1. WEST BROMWICH - LEICESTER 1 GNI 1.63
Premier League
Winlinebet
04/11/15 16:00
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,63j
The Kelly 1,5j Possible win: 2,44j

Double

2. NOTTINGHAM - HUDDERSFIELD 1x 1.30
Championship 16:00
MALAGA - ATLETICO MADRID 2 AH + 0.25 1.32
Primera Division
04/11/15 16:00

1.71
Bet365

Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,71j
The Kelly 1,2j Possible win: 2,05j
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Bet Hunter said:
<p>Single</p>
<p>1. WEST BROMWICH - LEICESTER 1 DNB 1.63 X<br />
Premier League<br />
Winlinebet<br />
04/11/15 16:00<br />
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,63j<br />
The Kelly 1,5j Possible win: 2,44j</p>
<p>Double</p>
<p>2. NOTTINGHAM - HUDDERSFIELD 1x 1.30 X<br />
Championship 16:00<br />
MALAGA - ATLETICO MADRID 2 AH + 0.25 1.32 (1,16) V<br />
Primera Division<br />
04/11/15 16:00</p>
<p>1.71 X<br />
Bet365</p>
<p>Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,71j<br />
The Kelly 1,2j Possible win: 2,05j</p>


Single

1. NORRKOPING - ELFSBORG 1 D n B 2.20
Alsvenskan
Bet365
13/04/15 19:00
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 2,20j
The Kelly 1j Possible win: 2,20j


Double

2. NORRKOPING - ELFSBORG 1 AH + 1 1.30
Alsvenskan 19:00
JONG AJAX - EMMEN 1 AH + 1.5 1.27
Erste Division
13/04/15 20:00

1.65
Bet365

Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,65j
The Kelly 1,8j Possible win: 2,97j
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Bet Hunter said:
<p>Single</p>
<p>1. NORRKOPING - ELFSBORG 1 D n B 2.20 X<br />
Alsvenskan<br />
Bet365<br />
13/04/15 19:00<br />
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 2,20j<br />
The Kelly 1j Possible win: 2,20j</p>
<p>Double</p>
<p>2. NORRKOPING - ELFSBORG 1 AH + 1 1.30 X<br />
Alsvenskan 19:00<br />
JONG AJAX - EMMEN 1 AH + 1.5 1.27 X<br />
Erste Division<br />
13/04/15 20:00</p>
<p>1.65 X<br />
Bet365</p>
<p>Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,65j<br />
The Kelly 1,8j Possible win: 2,97j</p>

Single

1. LIVORNO - FROSINONE 1 D n B 1.50
Serie B
Betway
04/19/15 15:00
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,50j
The Kelly 1j Possible win: 1,50j


Single

2. SANTOS - SAO PAULO 1 AH + 0 1.69
Paulista
Marathonbet
04/19/15 23:30
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,69j
The Kelly 1,5j Possible win: 2,53j

Single

3. aldosivi - SAN LORENZO 2 AH + 0 1.81
Primera Division
Marathonbet
04/19/15 22:10
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,81j
The Kelly 1,3j Possible win: 2,35j

Double

4. OSC LILLE - BORDEAUX 2 AH + 1 1.34
Ligue 1 14:00
Aldosivi - SAN LORENZO 2 AH + 1 1.20
Primera Division
04/19/15 22:10

1.60
Marathonbet

Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,60j
The Kelly 1,3j Possible win: 2,08j
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Single

1. TAMPEREEN - Karhut 1 1.74
Korisliiga Basketball
Betfair
04/25/15 16:00
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,74j
The Kelly 1j Possible win: 1,74j
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Single

1. MALLORCA - TENNERIFE 1 D n B 1.80
Liga Adelante
Bet victor
04/25/15 20:00
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,80j
The Kelly 2,2j Possible win: 3,96j


Single

2. Alavesa - BETIS 2 AH + 0.25 1.62
Liga Adelante
Bet victor
04/25/15 18:15
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,62j
The Kelly 2,5j Possible win: 4,05j

Single

3. Alavesa - BETIS 2 D n B 1.85
Primera Division
Bet victor
04/25/15 18:15
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,85j
The Kelly 3j Possible win: 5,55j
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Bet Hunter said:
<p>Single</p>
<p>1. LIVORNO - FROSINONE 1 D n B 1.50 return<br />
Serie B<br />
Betway<br />
04/19/15 15:00<br />
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,50j<br />
The Kelly 1j Possible win: 1,50j</p>
<p>Single</p>
<p>2. SANTOS - SAO PAULO 1 AH + 0 1.69 V<br />
Paulista<br />
Marathonbet<br />
04/19/15 23:30<br />
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,69j<br />
The Kelly 1,5j Possible win: 2,53j</p>
<p>Single</p>
<p>3. aldosivi - SAN LORENZO 2 AH + 0 1.81 X<br />
Primera Division<br />
Marathonbet<br />
04/19/15 22:10<br />
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,81j<br />
The Kelly 1,3j Possible win: 2,35j</p>
<p>Double</p>
<p>4. OSC LILLE - BORDEAUX 2 AH + 1 1.34 X<br />
Ligue 1 14:00<br />
Aldosivi - SAN LORENZO 2 AH + 1 1.20 return<br />
Primera Division<br />
04/19/15 22:10</p>
<p>1.60 X<br />
Marathonbet</p>
<p>Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,60j<br />
The Kelly 1,3j Possible win: 2,08j</p>
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Bet Hunter said:
<p>Single</p>
<p>1. TAMPEREEN - Karhut 1 1.74 V<br />
Korisliiga Basketball<br />
Betfair<br />
04/25/15 16:00<br />
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,74j<br />
The Kelly 1j Possible win: 1,74j</p>
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Bet Hunter said:
<p>Single</p>
<p>1. MALLORCA - TENNERIFE 1 D n B 1.80 V<br />
Liga Adelante<br />
Bet victor<br />
04/25/15 20:00<br />
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,80j<br />
The Kelly 2,2j Possible win: 3,96j</p>
<p>Single</p>
<p>2. Alavesa - BETIS 2 AH + 0.25 1.62 V<br />
Liga Adelante<br />
Bet victor<br />
04/25/15 18:15<br />
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,62j<br />
The Kelly 2,5j Possible win: 4,05j</p>
<p>Single</p>
<p>3. Alavesa - BETIS 2 D n B 1.85 V<br />
Primera Division<br />
Bet victor<br />
04/25/15 18:15<br />
Flat rate 1j Possible win: 1,85j<br />
The Kelly 3j Possible win: 5,55j</p>

Single

1. A. Montanes - G. MULLER 2 AH + 2.5 games 1.77
ATP Estoril tennis
1Xbet
30/04/15 17:30
The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,77j
The Kelly 1j Possible winnings: 1,77j

Double

2. AA GENT - ANDERLECHT 2 AH + 1 1.30
Jupiler League1 20:30
Rayo Vallecano - VALENCIA 2 D N B 1.41
La Liga
30/04/15 20:00

1.83
Bet365

The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,83j
The Kelly 1j Possible winnings: 1,83j
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Bet Hunter said:
<p>Single</p>
<p>1. A. Montanes - G. MULLER 2 AH + 2.5 games 1.77 V<br />
ATP Estoril tennis<br />
1Xbet<br />
30/04/15 17:30<br />
The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,77j<br />
The Kelly 1j Possible winnings: 1,77j</p>
<p>Double</p>
<p>2. AA GENT - ANDERLECHT 2 AH + 1 1.30 return<br />
Jupiler League1 20:30<br />
Rayo Vallecano - VALENCIA 2 D N B 1.41 return<br />
La Liga<br />
30/04/15 20:00</p>
<p>1.83 return<br />
Bet365</p>
<p>The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,83j<br />
The Kelly 1j Possible winnings: 1,83j</p>

Balance March-April 2015

flat st.

the sum of each game are saved 18 j

sum without conjunction. 15

won 8

returns 3

lost 6

the rate of 15

15.53 payment

0.53 profit

yield 3.53%

53.33% efficacy


kelly


the sum of each game are saved 26.9 j

sum without conjunction. 22.9

won 14.8

returns 4

Lost 8.1

rates of 22.9

25.57 payment

2.67 profit

yield 11.65%

effectiveness 64.62%


The balance of the game after 6 months (from September 27, 2014 to April 30, 2015)


100j capital at 1j as a basic rate for flat rate system game:


flat st.


the sum of each game are saved 177.82

sum without conjunction. 152.21

93.44 winnings

Returns 25.61

lost 58.29

Rates 151.94

payment 154.7

2.76 profit

yield 1.81%

61.38% efficacy


100j capital at the basic rate of 1-5j him for the game system Kelly formula:



kelly


the sum of each game are saved 238.17

sum without conjunction. 205.4

Won 129.8

Returns 32.77

lost 76.56

Rates 205.13

payment 215.73

profit 10.6

yield 5.16%

63.19% efficacy


Conclusions:


- For example in / on the topic plays Kelly formula seems to be more profits although it should be noted that it requires skills accurately estimate the probability of an event that we play. Any considerable deviation in the form of an underestimation OR ANY overestimation of the probability can lead to greater losses than the game flat rate.


- When playing at stake 1j on a single or double and even when playing range 1 to 3j profit from the game is not entirely satisfactory. So she looked my previous game Kelly's formula in practice, but then founded his game range from 1 j-10j, however, have not seen nearly as high probabilities to estimate the game rate greater than 3 anawet 5j Perhaps it was one of the errors affecting the lower profit than himself founded Assuming topic



- Average exchange rate for the game flat rate was about 1.65 at the event, for playing Kelly formula, the average rate was 1.66

This conclusion was arrived I already after the first 3 months of playing to, but try to look for in the offer valuebets of higher rates did not budge at the same time with the efficiency of 60-70% what I've done in the last 3 months of the game (the average rate for both systems in the range of 3 recent months was then an average of 1.72 and the effectiveness fluctuated around 70%)



Note, however, that such a condition influenced the amount given by me type in a given month and the amount is halved. As they say quantity does not always mean quality but certainly Having more time would probably do the trick hunt more valuable types :). On the other hand, the bookmakers armed with the army in May odsmakerów reflexes are not confused so often we would have wished: p



It's enough to start with constructive criticism welcome :) If someone took advantage of a few of my types and were useful I am very pleased, if someone failed ..no what not close the topic so it will be still a chance to redeem themselves :).

I greet forum users
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Single

1. Temperley - LANUS 2 D N B 1.71
Primera Division
Winlinebet
06/06/15 22:15
The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,71j
The Kelly 2j Possible winnings: 3,42j



Double

2. HACKEN - AIK 2 AH + 1 1.27
Allsvenskan 16:00
PHILADELPHIA - NEW YORK 1 D N B 1.52
MLS
06/06/15 1:00

1.93
Winlinebet

The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,93j
The Kelly 1,5j Possible winnings: 2,89j
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Bet Hunter said:
<p>Single</p>
<p>1. Temperley - LANUS 2 D N B 1.71 return<br />
Primera Division<br />
Winlinebet<br />
06/06/15 22:15<br />
The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,71j<br />
The Kelly 2j Possible winnings: 3,42j</p>
<p>Double</p>
<p>2. HACKEN - AIK 2 AH + 1 1.27 V<br />
Allsvenskan 16:00<br />
PHILADELPHIA - NEW YORK 1 D N B 1.52 X<br />
MLS<br />
06/06/15 1:00</p>
<p>1.93 X<br />
Winlinebet</p>
<p>The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,93j<br />
The Kelly 1,5j Possible winnings: 2,89j</p>


Double

1. TROICKI - GROTH 2 AH + 1.5 Set 1.44
ATP Stuttgart 17:15
MULLER - COPIL 1 AH + 1.5 game 1.28
ATP Hertogenbosch
06/12/15 16:45

1.84
1xbet

The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,84j
The Kelly 1j Possible winnings: 1,84j
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Single

1. KOSOVO In - FINLAND In 1 AH + 19.5 1.91
Handball European Championship Women
Marathonbet
01/12/15 18:00
The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,91j
The Kelly 1,5j Possible winnings: 2,86j
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Bet Hunter said:
<blockquote class="quote-msg quote-nest-1 odd"><p><em class="placeholder">Bet Hunter</em> wrote:

<p>Double</p>
<p>1. TROICKI - GROTH 2 AH + 1.5 Set 1.44 X<br />
ATP Stuttgart 17:15<br />
MULLER - COPIL 1 AH + 1.5 game 1.28 V<br />
ATP Hertogenbosch<br />
06/12/15 16:45</p>
<p>1.84 X<br />
1xbet</p>
<p>The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,84j<br />
The Kelly 1j Possible winnings: 1,84j</p>
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Bet Hunter said:
<p>Single</p>
<p>1. KOSOVO In - FINLAND In 1 AH + 19.5 1.91 V<br />
Handball European Championship Women<br />
Marathonbet<br />
01/12/15 18:00<br />
The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,91j<br />
The Kelly 1,5j Possible winnings: 2,86j</p>

Double

1. ATLETICO GO - NAUTICO 1 AH + 0.75 1.42
Serie B 21:30
CHAPECOENSE- SAO PAULO 2 AH + 0.75 1.30
Serie A
13/06/15 21:30

1.84
bet365

The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,84j
The Kelly 1j Possible winnings: 1,84j
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Bet Hunter said:
<blockquote class="quote-msg quote-nest-1 odd"><p><em
<p>Double</p>
<p>1. ATLETICO GO - NAUTICO 1 AH + 0.75 1.42 V<br />
Serie B 21:30<br />
CHAPECOENSE- SAO PAULO 2 AH + 0.75 1.30 V<br />
Serie A<br />
13/06/15 21:30</p>
<p>1.84 V<br />
bet365</p>
<p>The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,84j<br />
The Kelly 1j Possible winnings: 1,84j</p>
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Single

1. Woman SWEDEN - CROATIA Woman 2 AH + 4.5 1.85
WCW handball
Betway
14/06/15 18:15
The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,85j
The Kelly 1j Possible winnings: 1,85j



Double

1. NACIONAL MONT.- Penarol 1 AH + 1 1.27
Primera Division 20:30
Woman SWEDEN - CROATIA Woman 2 AH + 6.5 1.35
WCW Handball
14/06/15 18:15

1.71
mybet

The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,71j
The Kelly 1j Possible winnings: 1,71j
 

Bet Hunter

New member
Joined
Sep 15, 2014
Messages
191
Single

1. ALAMGRO - SIMON 1 AH + 6.5 1.73
ATP Wimbledon
Winlinebet
06/30/15 12:30
The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 1,73j
The Kelly 1j Possible winnings: 1,73j



Double

2. HAASE - FALLA 1 AH + 2.5 Set 1.24
ATP Wimbledon 12:30
ALMAGRO - SIMON 1 AH + 6.5 game 1.73
ATP Wimbledon
06/30/15 12:30

2.14
Winlinebet

The flat rate 1j Possible winnings: 2,14j
The Kelly 1j Possible winnings: 2,14j
 
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