Tanko - 2024 MLB Plays

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
33,347
Finished 2023 MLB season 252-232-2 52% +22 (+2 units) units
Barely squeezed out plus money for the year. Hopefully, we can do better in 2024.



  • Finished CFB season on the plus side as well (barely). 88-84-4.... +294 (~3 units)
  • With the college basketball this season we should break that trend. 289-242-14 54.4% +2982 (~+30 units) ROI: 5.2%
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
37,490
Finished 2023 MLB season 252-232-2 52% +22 (+2 units) units
Barely squeezed out plus money for the year. Hopefully, we can do better in 2024.



  • Finished CFB season on the plus side as well (barely). 88-84-4.... +294 (~3 units)
  • With the college basketball this season we should break that trend. 289-242-14 54.4% +2982 (~+30 units) ROI: 5.2%
Congrats on your winning cbb thread this year as it was one of the better ones BMR offered this forum. :an_clap:
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
33,347
I know Keller struggled last year, but I see him having a solid bounce back year hopefully that won't matter game 1 of the season.
I was looking at how they did in Spring Training. Luzardo had a very good spring training (see below).

The only downside I see is Marlin bats sucked 29th/30 in spring traiing. But, it was only 9 % pts below the Pirates (not a huge delta).

Finally, I know teams roll-over and players change but, the Marlins pen was better than the pirates last year so I felt it was still +EV on the play.



1711567774260.jpeg
 
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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
37,490
I was looking at how they did in Spring Training. Luzardo has a very good spring training (see below).

The only downside I see is Marlin bats sucked 29th/30 in spring traiing. But, it was only 9 % pts below the Pirates (not a huge delta).

Finally, I know teams roll-over and players change but, the Marlins pen was better than the pirates last year so I felt it was still +EV on the play.



View attachment 31185
Ok cool I didn't even consider spring training my bad lol.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
33,347
Ok cool I didn't even consider spring training my bad lol.
My first 7-10 days of MLB season are ~70-80% spring training and 20-30% how well the pitchers did in the last 30 days of 2023.

I was 23-8-3 in the first week and a half last year doing it this way. Hope to repeat. A lot of the plays were F5 bets since bullpens are hard for me to get a good read on in spring training. I have the data but don't always trust it for relievers in spring training.
 
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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
37,490
My first 7-10 days of MLB season are ~70-80% spring training and 20-30% how well the pitchers did in the last 30 days of 2023.

I was 23-8-3 in the first week and a half last year doing it this way. Hope to repeat. A lot of the plays were F5 bets since bullpens are hard for me to get a good read on in spring training. I have the data but don't always trust it for relievers in spring training.
I like your plan and strategy I will be following this thread very closely.
 
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