Sunday Service Play Thread 11/20/2022

[Bettor Days]

Erin Dolan:
Browns+8 vs Bills
Jets+3.5 vs Patriots

 

[Bettor Days]

PROFOOTBALLDOC (29-17-4 for season)
SIC Score is our proprietary numerical injury grading system that incorporates the health of every NFL team and individual players to give sports bettors, DFS players and fantasy owners an edge each week during the season. While it purposely doesn’t take into account coaching, schemes or matchups, SIC Scores give an accurate assessment of team/player overall health heading into a game.

Panthers +13
Baltimore has been injured all year and they aren’t fully healthy just yet. Tight End Mark Andrews is questionable and may play and Roquan Smith will help the defense. With Baker Mayfield back and a relatively healthy Panthers squad, it seems they can cover and points should go on the board (maybe in both directions).

Falcons –2.5
Not directly injury but trading your two best defenders is like losing them to injury. Since the Bears started dealing Robert Quinn and Roquan Smith, the defense has given up at least 30 point the last three games averaging over 38 points. With Justin Fields fantastic running and offensive resurgence, the defensive failures have been hidden. Expect the Falcons to take advantage. Atlanta is down top corners but can the Bears take advantage? Lean to the over 49 here too.

Browns/Buffalo Over 49.5
This game is now in a dome. The fast track and defensive injuries should lead to points on both sides. Josh Allen is not 100% with his elbow but healthy enough to move the ball. The Browns strong run game should flourish with MLB Tremaine Edmunds out.

Raiders +3
Hard to take the Raiders who lost to the Colts but they are the healthier side by far. Denver has big time offensive line issues while missing the two WRs and the #1 RB. Defensively the Broncos are without 3/4ths the starting linebackers (Bradley Chubb due to trade). The algorithm leans to the under 41.5 as well. With a loss, here comes the fire Nathaniel Hackett chatter again.

Chiefs –3
The Chiefs are the visitors but they will have the crowd on their side in Los Angeles. KC is also completely healthy on defense against a Chargers offense with key weapons in Keenan Allen, Mike Williams and Gerald Everett hampered. Defensively, the Chargers are extremely thin on the line while still missing Joey Bosa and J.C. Jackson done for the season. The under 52 may be a solid play here with KC being able to run the ball and the Chargers lacking firepower.

 

[Bettor Days]

Clay Travis (35-22-2)
Panthers +13
Colts +6.5
Bears/Falcons Over 48.5
Raiders/Broncos Under 41.5
Cowboys/Vikings Over 48.5
Bengals –3.5