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piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
1,058
32-24 Saturday/1276-1016 YTD

Fun, winning Saturday hitting 4 of the top 5 plays and 10 total, to more than recover from friday's bump in the road and walk away happy with some good profit. Hope Sunday is good to us all!

Creighton -2
FAU ML-122
Iona ML-110
Rutgers-2
Southern Illinois-2
South Florida+2
Nebraska-6

UAB+3-115
Oakland-4
Cleveland State ML-115
VCU-5
Marist+3-115

SMU/USF Over 147
Rhode Island/LaSalle Over 153

Top plays: Creighton, FAU, Iona, Rutgers, Southern Illinois, USF, Nebraska
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
1,058
The 2 big writeup plays yesterday cashed easy-COC and Kentucky. These seem to hit very frequently, just wish I had time to do them on more games

Was asked why FAU so here we go: Both teams have explosive high-octane offenses but FAU edges Memphis in every way as they have the more explosive offensive unit, and also edge out Memphis in Rebounding and Turnovers. For starters, FAU has won 3 of the last 4, avg 80 points per in each and by Ken Pom is ranked 34th (Memphis is 81stt), 33rd in Net rankings, and on the year avgs 83.3 pts per contest. FAU leads the AAC in FG% at 48%, and 3 point % at 36.5% while Memphis avgs 35.5%, and on the charity stripe they shoot 71.5% and grab 12.1 boards per game. The aforementioned turnover advantage will loom over this game as Memphis turns the ball over a league worst 13.7 times per contest, good for the league's Worst which limits Memphi's offensive prowess in most contest and has been seem against teams like SMU.

Defensively, The FAUL Owls hold their opponents to 72.7 points per game, and hold a +3.7 rebounding advantage over it's foes and +1.1 in turnovers. Meanwhile Memphis gives up 75.6 points per game and allows 18.9 FT attempts per game (FAU allows 16.7 FT attempts per). All of these cruical stats from offensive output, FT's allowed, shooting and defense with turnover advantage leads me to backing the FAU owls in a game FAU can further use to move up in the NCAA seedings while Memphis is firmly out of discussion as we speak.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
1,058
Just saw this info about FAU/Memphis:
Memphis will be without Malcolm Dandridge when they take on Florida Atlantic inside FedExForum Sunday afternoon (1 p.m., ESPN). The 6-foot-9 center is averaging 8 points and 5 rebounds per game this season.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
1,058
Not the best start to sunday like yesterday but hanging in thanks so Southern Illinois, South Florida and Rider. A bump in the road doesnt end the journey.
Creighton and FAU couldnt hit the backside of a barn today.

FYI-Added a few more units to Nebraska tonight, already a top play but it's now bigger than my Creighton bet, had planned on adding more regardless if they lost so hope it works out as I like them even more tonight after looking over stats again today.
Only bet I added more to a few times today as I really like them to break Minnesota's ATS hot streak tonight.

Results with updated Order

Nebraska-6
Creighton -2-L
FAU ML-122-L
Iona ML-110-L
Rutgers-2-L
Southern Illinois-2-W
South Florida+2-W

Marquette-10
UAB+3-115
Oakland-4
Cleveland State ML-115-W
VCU-5
Marist+3-115

Rider/Quinnipiac Over 153-W
Temple/Wichita State Over 142-118
SMU/USF Over 147-Push
Rhode Island/LaSalle Over 153-L
Michigan/Purdue Over 151-120-W
Ohio State/Michigan State Over 138

Top plays: Nebraska, Creighton, FAU, Iona, Rutgers, Southern Illinois, USF, Rider/Quinn Over, Temple/Wichita St Over
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
1,058
Why I like Nebraska even more from my notes: Nebraska margin of victory last 3 games, 15 on the road, 19 at home, and 20 at home. they also almost beat Illinois on the road losing by 3, beat a good wisky team by 8 all in February, they are heating up.
 
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