stormtrooper8
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Might throw a vid up explaining my
Bengals rationale . We will see how day goes
Bengals rationale . We will see how day goes
Stormtrooper8 NFL 2022
- Thread starter stormtrooper8
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lemartinsports
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doooo itt!!
stormtrooper8
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ATS picks for Week 3. Lines are based on the ones used in the Hilton style contest I'm in
Overall: 16-16
Week 1: 8-8
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3
Overall: 16-16
Week 1: 8-8
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3
lemartinsports
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we're on the same side with a few of these, hell yeah. posting my breakdowns soon
Two i dont like are your buccs and vikings picks, i'm on the other side of those pero good luck friend
still waiting for your bengals vid
Two i dont like are your buccs and vikings picks, i'm on the other side of those pero good luck friend
still waiting for your bengals vid
stormtrooper8
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Packers and Lions yiiiiikeswe're on the same side with a few of these, hell yeah. posting my breakdowns soon
Two i dont like are your buccs and vikings picks, i'm on the other side of those pero good luck friend
still waiting for your bengals vid
haha GL
We'll see about the vid. Might have to be tomorrow. Gotta start getting in the zone for the my bball game soon
lemartinsports
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bro tell me about it. i feel more confident about the packers though. dont all the injuries on the buccs end worry you a bit? they like have only 2 starters starting
and ohh yeah dude its mf thursday!!! good luck at your game, bring home that gold to momma
stormtrooper8
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hahaha thanks we'll get it done
As for Packers/Bucs, yeah that's a game I stayed away from action-wise. I'm not confident either way but I lean Bucs. I think one thing I really like for Tampa is Fournette and their running game against Green Bay's run defense.....Packers have not been good at stopping the run at all. It's been a problem for them for a while, going back to last year. Also think that while Tampa's receivers will struggle, so will Packers against that Bucs defense
Honestly I gave the under a nice look, though 42 is still a bit low for my taste. Think it could be a run-heavy game, which is weird with Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers
stormtrooper8
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Wow that's a good sign for me if you like most of these
Good luck -- I assume you mean MIA or NE
Yeah sorry about the typo.Wow that's a good sign for me if you like most of these
Good luck -- I assume you mean MIA or NE
On BAL instead of NE.
Miami/BUF was a toss up for me.
stormtrooper8
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Forgot my Week 3 tl/dr post:
Bengals -4.5 (2 unit play)
Chiefs/Colts over 50
Bengals TT over 23.5
Patriots +3
Commanders +6.5
Seahawks -1.5
Cowboys ML
Bengals -4.5 (2 unit play)
Chiefs/Colts over 50
Bengals TT over 23.5
Patriots +3
Commanders +6.5
Seahawks -1.5
Cowboys ML
Last edited:
Wagerallsports
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stormtrooper8
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I'm adding one play for tonight
CeeDee Lamb over 60.5 receiving yards -115
CeeDee Lamb over 60.5 receiving yards -115
stormtrooper8
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4-4 +0.65 Week 3
11-13 -1.90 overall
Inching back ever so slowly
stormtrooper8
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And for the third straight week, I go 8-8 ATS. So that's 24-24 overall! Consistency is the key to life
lemartinsports
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attaa boy - consistency is key for everything!!
stormtrooper8
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Overall record: 11-13 -1.90
Week 1: 2-6 -4.35
Week 2: 5-3 +1.80
Week 3: 4-4 +0.65
A couple early plays. It should be noted that I grabbed Bengals -1.5 last week, but given the change in lines I don't think it makes sense to add that to the card. I like them to cover at 4, but not sure I'm gonna play it yet.
Ja'Marr Chase over 71.5 yards -115
I think Chase is going to have a big game against the Dolphins on Thursday night. Miami's defense has been OK in the sense that they can "bend, but not break", but teams have been able to move the ball pretty well on them through the air. I think there are going to be plenty of opportunities for Chase to make some chunk plays, and I believe Burrow will find him pretty often in this one. I like that he is coming off a couple relatively pedestrian games -- he is bound to respond and break out have bounce back game. . I think he's a top 3 receiver in this league, and those types of players can only be bottled up for so long. I think he cruises to over 100 yards, in what I think will be a winning effort for the home team.
Chargers -4.5 -105
I have been about as critical of the Chargers as anyone on this forum and do not buy into the hype at all. That said, I think this is number is too low. This is a very nice bounce back spot for them after a pathetic showing at home against the Jaguars. Herbert doesn't seem his full self, but he made enough throws against Jacksonville. I also think this is the type of game that the Chargers can finally get a run game going. The most disappointing element of their offense has been without question their inability to jumpstart the run game. While their offensive line health is concerning, they are going to be facing a significantly worse run defense this week in Houston. They are the type of run defense that pretty much any run game will gash
Houston has been plucky through 3 games, but it's pretty clear that they are seriously devoid of talent and I think they are due for a true clunker. I have them ranked last in my power rankings for a reason. Offensively, they haven't shown really any inconsistency even though Mills has his bright spots. I think they are going to be confronted by a pissed off Chargers defense that feel like they having something to prove.
It may not be a complete blowout, but I think LA should cover this number
Week 1: 2-6 -4.35
Week 2: 5-3 +1.80
Week 3: 4-4 +0.65
A couple early plays. It should be noted that I grabbed Bengals -1.5 last week, but given the change in lines I don't think it makes sense to add that to the card. I like them to cover at 4, but not sure I'm gonna play it yet.
Ja'Marr Chase over 71.5 yards -115
I think Chase is going to have a big game against the Dolphins on Thursday night. Miami's defense has been OK in the sense that they can "bend, but not break", but teams have been able to move the ball pretty well on them through the air. I think there are going to be plenty of opportunities for Chase to make some chunk plays, and I believe Burrow will find him pretty often in this one. I like that he is coming off a couple relatively pedestrian games -- he is bound to respond and break out have bounce back game. . I think he's a top 3 receiver in this league, and those types of players can only be bottled up for so long. I think he cruises to over 100 yards, in what I think will be a winning effort for the home team.
Chargers -4.5 -105
I have been about as critical of the Chargers as anyone on this forum and do not buy into the hype at all. That said, I think this is number is too low. This is a very nice bounce back spot for them after a pathetic showing at home against the Jaguars. Herbert doesn't seem his full self, but he made enough throws against Jacksonville. I also think this is the type of game that the Chargers can finally get a run game going. The most disappointing element of their offense has been without question their inability to jumpstart the run game. While their offensive line health is concerning, they are going to be facing a significantly worse run defense this week in Houston. They are the type of run defense that pretty much any run game will gash
Houston has been plucky through 3 games, but it's pretty clear that they are seriously devoid of talent and I think they are due for a true clunker. I have them ranked last in my power rankings for a reason. Offensively, they haven't shown really any inconsistency even though Mills has his bright spots. I think they are going to be confronted by a pissed off Chargers defense that feel like they having something to prove.
It may not be a complete blowout, but I think LA should cover this number
stormtrooper8
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Alright, I'm gonna pull the trigger
Bengals -4 -105
As I mentioned, I got in at -1.5 last week but not going to count that towards myofficial plays. So hopefully this is a successful double dip. I was hesitant to pull the trigger only because I have been off with the TNF games so far and again -- I don't love having much action on my team. But the more I looked at this match-up, the more confident I feel in Cincinnati covering.
This is not a good match-up for the Dolphins, regardless of where the game is played or the fact that this is a short week. The main challenge that they will have to overcome is whether or not they can get the ground game going against a pretty stout Bengals run defense. This unit has been pretty awesome stopping the run, even with a good player like Reader missing. If the Dolphins want to win this game, they are going to have to create better opportunities for their backs. This just doesn't seem like the type of game where they will be able to. Maybe a back cuts loose for a run or two to skew the numbers, but I just don't see them sustaining those 5-6 yard carries that would make a huge difference for them.
The Bengals have done a very nice job in recent history of limiting explosive receivers. Tyreek Hill should know this very well, which is why he is squawking this week about getting "revenge" for the Bengals owning him back in January. I feel like the Dolphins are going to have to rely heavily on their perimeter weapons to win this game, assuming that the running game plays out about as should be.
The hope for Miami is that their defensive line can get home on Burrow, taking advantage of Cincinnati's glaring weakness on the O-Line. I do think the Dolphins can create some pressure on Burrow, but I also think the offense for Cincinnati is starting to figure out some things/some ways to combat their line issues. If Burrow gets any sort of clean looks this game, I can't see Miami containing the Bengals skill position players. I think they are going to struggle with Chase, and I also think Mixon could make some plays this game as well -- perhaps catching screens if the Dolphins are aggressive blitzing.
If you line these two teams up on a neutral field, I think Cincinnati would have an edge. They are just a better team in my opinion, though Miami deserves all the credit in the world for the hot start.
Bengals -4 -105
As I mentioned, I got in at -1.5 last week but not going to count that towards myofficial plays. So hopefully this is a successful double dip. I was hesitant to pull the trigger only because I have been off with the TNF games so far and again -- I don't love having much action on my team. But the more I looked at this match-up, the more confident I feel in Cincinnati covering.
This is not a good match-up for the Dolphins, regardless of where the game is played or the fact that this is a short week. The main challenge that they will have to overcome is whether or not they can get the ground game going against a pretty stout Bengals run defense. This unit has been pretty awesome stopping the run, even with a good player like Reader missing. If the Dolphins want to win this game, they are going to have to create better opportunities for their backs. This just doesn't seem like the type of game where they will be able to. Maybe a back cuts loose for a run or two to skew the numbers, but I just don't see them sustaining those 5-6 yard carries that would make a huge difference for them.
The Bengals have done a very nice job in recent history of limiting explosive receivers. Tyreek Hill should know this very well, which is why he is squawking this week about getting "revenge" for the Bengals owning him back in January. I feel like the Dolphins are going to have to rely heavily on their perimeter weapons to win this game, assuming that the running game plays out about as should be.
The hope for Miami is that their defensive line can get home on Burrow, taking advantage of Cincinnati's glaring weakness on the O-Line. I do think the Dolphins can create some pressure on Burrow, but I also think the offense for Cincinnati is starting to figure out some things/some ways to combat their line issues. If Burrow gets any sort of clean looks this game, I can't see Miami containing the Bengals skill position players. I think they are going to struggle with Chase, and I also think Mixon could make some plays this game as well -- perhaps catching screens if the Dolphins are aggressive blitzing.
If you line these two teams up on a neutral field, I think Cincinnati would have an edge. They are just a better team in my opinion, though Miami deserves all the credit in the world for the hot start.
stormtrooper8
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ATS picks for Week 4. Lines are based on the ones used in the Hilton style contest I'm in
Overall: 24-24
Week 1: 8-8
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 8-8
Overall: 24-24
Week 1: 8-8
Week 2: 8-8
Week 3: 8-8
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