Sports Betting Service Plays - Saturday 12/4/22
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Marc Lawrence
3* Game 457 – Titans (+4.5) – NFL Game of the Week
Edges - Titans: 13-6 SU and 15-5 ATS as a dog of 4 or more points under head coach Mike Vrabel, including 9-0 SUATS versus .666 or greater foes that are not off a win of 20-plus points (that's all 9 wins outright), and Vrabel 15-5 SU against NFC foes, including 2-0 SUATS versus .800 or greater foes; and 4-0 ATS when both team are coming off non-division contests … Eagles: 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in games after rushing for 250-plus yards the previous contest; and NFL favorites with a winning record who rushed the ball for 300-plus yards and scored 35 or more points in their previous game are 2-10 ATS, including 0-6 ATS versus foes who allow fewer than 120 rushing yards per game … With the Titans sporting the league's 3rd ranked rushing defense, we recommend a strong 3* play on Tennessee. Thank you and good luck as always.
3* Game 462 – Giants (+2.5)
Edges - Giants: 11-2 ATS after a Thursday game, including 7-0-1 ATS as a dog, and 2-0 ATS when coming off a Thanksgiving Day game; and 6-1 ATS as a dog under head coach Brian Daboll, 5-0 ATS when New York is seeking revenge … Commanders: 2-10-1 ATS as a division road favorite versus .428 or greater opponents, including 0-5-1 ATS versus .600 or greater opponents … We seal the deal with this from our NFL Perfect System Club as it tells us to: PLAY ON any NFL team in Game Twelve of the season with a .500 or greater win percentage coming off consecutive losses if the are facing an opponent off consecutive wins. That's because these teams are 8-0 ATS in this role since 1985 … With that, we recommend a strong 3* play on the NY Giants. Thank you and good luck as always.
2* Game 473 – Chiefs (-2)
Edges - Chiefs: QB Patrick Mahomes is 26-0 SU in his last 26 starts during November and December, including 4-0-1 ATS as a dog or a favorite of 3 or fewer points; and head coach Andy Reid is 105-65-1 ATS away in his NFL career in regular season games, including 35-10 ATS with revenge when not favored by more than 3 points versus sub .640 opponents … Bengals: 0-4 SUATS at home in non-division games under head coach Zac Taylor "between the 3s" (favored or dog of 3 or fewer points) … With the Chiefs anxious to avenge last year's AFC championship game home playoff loss to the Bengals, we recommend a 2* play on Kansas City. Thank you and good luck as always.
3* Game 457 – Titans (+4.5) – NFL Game of the Week
Edges - Titans: 13-6 SU and 15-5 ATS as a dog of 4 or more points under head coach Mike Vrabel, including 9-0 SUATS versus .666 or greater foes that are not off a win of 20-plus points (that's all 9 wins outright), and Vrabel 15-5 SU against NFC foes, including 2-0 SUATS versus .800 or greater foes; and 4-0 ATS when both team are coming off non-division contests … Eagles: 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in games after rushing for 250-plus yards the previous contest; and NFL favorites with a winning record who rushed the ball for 300-plus yards and scored 35 or more points in their previous game are 2-10 ATS, including 0-6 ATS versus foes who allow fewer than 120 rushing yards per game … With the Titans sporting the league's 3rd ranked rushing defense, we recommend a strong 3* play on Tennessee. Thank you and good luck as always.
3* Game 462 – Giants (+2.5)
Edges - Giants: 11-2 ATS after a Thursday game, including 7-0-1 ATS as a dog, and 2-0 ATS when coming off a Thanksgiving Day game; and 6-1 ATS as a dog under head coach Brian Daboll, 5-0 ATS when New York is seeking revenge … Commanders: 2-10-1 ATS as a division road favorite versus .428 or greater opponents, including 0-5-1 ATS versus .600 or greater opponents … We seal the deal with this from our NFL Perfect System Club as it tells us to: PLAY ON any NFL team in Game Twelve of the season with a .500 or greater win percentage coming off consecutive losses if the are facing an opponent off consecutive wins. That's because these teams are 8-0 ATS in this role since 1985 … With that, we recommend a strong 3* play on the NY Giants. Thank you and good luck as always.
2* Game 473 – Chiefs (-2)
Edges - Chiefs: QB Patrick Mahomes is 26-0 SU in his last 26 starts during November and December, including 4-0-1 ATS as a dog or a favorite of 3 or fewer points; and head coach Andy Reid is 105-65-1 ATS away in his NFL career in regular season games, including 35-10 ATS with revenge when not favored by more than 3 points versus sub .640 opponents … Bengals: 0-4 SUATS at home in non-division games under head coach Zac Taylor "between the 3s" (favored or dog of 3 or fewer points) … With the Chiefs anxious to avenge last year's AFC championship game home playoff loss to the Bengals, we recommend a 2* play on Kansas City. Thank you and good luck as always.
GIANNI THE GREEK
4* Titans
4* Jaguars
4* 49ers
4* Cowboys
4*TEASER Ravens/Browns
4*Bengals Over (1st HF)
3*Jets
3*Steelers
3*Lions Over (1st HF)
467) Under 42 Seattle-LAR…(4%)
463) Over 46.5 Cleveland-Houston…(4%)
451) Over 45 NYJ-Minnesota…(4%)
459) Jacksonville +7.5 with 472) Las Vegas +8.5…(4%) 6.5 PT Teaser
457) Tennessee +6 (-120)…(4%) - Buy ½ PT
459) Jacksonville -1…(4%)
470) San Francisco -4…(4%)
476) Dallas -10 (-120)…(4%) - Buy ½ PT Up to -123 (True-Odds)
451) NY Jets +3.5 (-125)…(3%)
455) Pittsburgh +1…(3%)
454) Baltimore -2 with 463) Cleveland -1…(4%) 6-PT Teaser
1473) Over 26 (-115) KC-Cincinnati (1st Half)…(4%)
1459) Over 25.5 Jacksonville-Detroit (1st Half)…(3%)
4* Titans
4* Jaguars
4* 49ers
4* Cowboys
4*TEASER Ravens/Browns
4*Bengals Over (1st HF)
3*Jets
3*Steelers
3*Lions Over (1st HF)
467) Under 42 Seattle-LAR…(4%)
463) Over 46.5 Cleveland-Houston…(4%)
451) Over 45 NYJ-Minnesota…(4%)
459) Jacksonville +7.5 with 472) Las Vegas +8.5…(4%) 6.5 PT Teaser
457) Tennessee +6 (-120)…(4%) - Buy ½ PT
459) Jacksonville -1…(4%)
470) San Francisco -4…(4%)
476) Dallas -10 (-120)…(4%) - Buy ½ PT Up to -123 (True-Odds)
451) NY Jets +3.5 (-125)…(3%)
455) Pittsburgh +1…(3%)
454) Baltimore -2 with 463) Cleveland -1…(4%) 6-PT Teaser
1473) Over 26 (-115) KC-Cincinnati (1st Half)…(4%)
1459) Over 25.5 Jacksonville-Detroit (1st Half)…(3%)
PROFOOTBALLDOC (37-19-4 for season)
SIC Score is our proprietary numerical injury grading system that incorporates the health of every NFL team and individual players to give sports bettors, DFS players and fantasy owners an edge each week during the season. While it purposely doesn’t take into account coaching, schemes or matchups, SIC Scores give an accurate assessment of team/player overall health heading into a game.
DEN @ BAL -9.5
All season we have been fading the Ravens and winning. Finally the tables flip. The Broncos are the more injured side by 23 points. Denver has three of five offensive linemen, two of top three wide receivers and the #1 running back out on an offense that has not produced. Defensively, if you add in the Bradley Chubb trade, there is only one original starting linebacker. Baltimore is on the upswing in health. We are not worried about Lamar Jackson and his quad. It’s a big number, but expect the Ravens to win and cover based on relative health
WAS -2 @ NYG
The Giants have done well this season but they are depleted in both pass catchers and pass coverage. New York’s wide receiver issues are well documented but they will miss three of four secondary starters and have back ups hampered as well. Evan Neal back at right tackle will help but that may not be enough. This sets up as a favorable matchup for the Commanders pass offense and pass defense.
TEN @ PHI over 44
Both offenses are healthier than the opposing defenses. Each side has three key defensive starters out. The Eagles hope to shore up their run defense with Jordan Davis returning but have a tough matchup in Derrick Henry. Offensively, Philly is healthy except for Dallas Goedert. Expect some points to be scored.
SEA -7 @ LAR
The defending Super Bowl champions have eight losses and are all but mathematically eliminated. Los Angeles will be without their starting QB, the RB room is in upheaval, the top two WRs are out and 80% of the starting offensive line has injury issues. Defensively, there’s no Aaron Donald and several other starters are also out. Meanwhile, the Seahawks only miss starters Jamal Adams and Rashaad Penny (Kenneth Walker has stepped in). Even on the road and laying seven, Seattle is almost twenty SIC score points healthier and seems to be the right side.
LAC @ LVR -2.5
The Raiders have been lackluster but the Chargers up front are lacking due to injury. The best three offensive linemen are out and they are short handed on the defensive line. Their top corner and top edge rusher are also out as well as Mike Williams. The Raiders will miss Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow but still seem to be the healthier side.
SIC Score is our proprietary numerical injury grading system that incorporates the health of every NFL team and individual players to give sports bettors, DFS players and fantasy owners an edge each week during the season. While it purposely doesn’t take into account coaching, schemes or matchups, SIC Scores give an accurate assessment of team/player overall health heading into a game.
DEN @ BAL -9.5
All season we have been fading the Ravens and winning. Finally the tables flip. The Broncos are the more injured side by 23 points. Denver has three of five offensive linemen, two of top three wide receivers and the #1 running back out on an offense that has not produced. Defensively, if you add in the Bradley Chubb trade, there is only one original starting linebacker. Baltimore is on the upswing in health. We are not worried about Lamar Jackson and his quad. It’s a big number, but expect the Ravens to win and cover based on relative health
WAS -2 @ NYG
The Giants have done well this season but they are depleted in both pass catchers and pass coverage. New York’s wide receiver issues are well documented but they will miss three of four secondary starters and have back ups hampered as well. Evan Neal back at right tackle will help but that may not be enough. This sets up as a favorable matchup for the Commanders pass offense and pass defense.
TEN @ PHI over 44
Both offenses are healthier than the opposing defenses. Each side has three key defensive starters out. The Eagles hope to shore up their run defense with Jordan Davis returning but have a tough matchup in Derrick Henry. Offensively, Philly is healthy except for Dallas Goedert. Expect some points to be scored.
SEA -7 @ LAR
The defending Super Bowl champions have eight losses and are all but mathematically eliminated. Los Angeles will be without their starting QB, the RB room is in upheaval, the top two WRs are out and 80% of the starting offensive line has injury issues. Defensively, there’s no Aaron Donald and several other starters are also out. Meanwhile, the Seahawks only miss starters Jamal Adams and Rashaad Penny (Kenneth Walker has stepped in). Even on the road and laying seven, Seattle is almost twenty SIC score points healthier and seems to be the right side.
LAC @ LVR -2.5
The Raiders have been lackluster but the Chargers up front are lacking due to injury. The best three offensive linemen are out and they are short handed on the defensive line. Their top corner and top edge rusher are also out as well as Mike Williams. The Raiders will miss Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow but still seem to be the healthier side.
R&R TOTALS (14-15 CBB and 16-5 NBA this season)
*TOP PLAY* NBA: Take #517 Suns v #518 Spurs UNDER (229½ -110) (4:10 PM EST) at Mirage
TOP NBA Over-Under
*TOP PLAY* NBA: Take #521 Grizzlies v #522 Pistons UNDER (230½ -110) (6:10 PM EST) at Mirage
TOP NBA Over-Under
*TOP PLAY* NBA: Take #527 Celtics v #528 Nets OVER (234 -110) (6:10 PM EST) at SC Consensus
TOP NBA Over-Under
*TOP PLAY* NHL: Take #33 Sharks v #34 Sabres OVER (6½ -105) (7:07 PM EST) at linepros
TOP NHL Over-Under
*TOP PLAY* NCAA-B: Take #745 South Alabama v #746 UAB OVER (149½ -110) (2:00 PM EST) at Mirage
TOP CBB Over-Under
*TOP PLAY* NBA: Take #517 Suns v #518 Spurs UNDER (229½ -110) (4:10 PM EST) at Mirage
TOP NBA Over-Under
*TOP PLAY* NBA: Take #521 Grizzlies v #522 Pistons UNDER (230½ -110) (6:10 PM EST) at Mirage
TOP NBA Over-Under
*TOP PLAY* NBA: Take #527 Celtics v #528 Nets OVER (234 -110) (6:10 PM EST) at SC Consensus
TOP NBA Over-Under
*TOP PLAY* NHL: Take #33 Sharks v #34 Sabres OVER (6½ -105) (7:07 PM EST) at linepros
TOP NHL Over-Under
*TOP PLAY* NCAA-B: Take #745 South Alabama v #746 UAB OVER (149½ -110) (2:00 PM EST) at Mirage
TOP CBB Over-Under
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