| Stephen Nover | NBA Sides | Fri, 04/28/23 - 8:00 PM |
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552 GSW -7.0 (-110) William Hill vs 551 SAC
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triple-dime bet
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Analysis:
Great season by the Kings, but it's closeout time now for the Warriors. The defending world champions have won the past three games in the series. They need to win this one at home knowing a loss forces them to go back to Sacramento for Game 7.
The Warriors are 12-32 on the road and 35-8 at home, including 2-0 against the Kings during this series. Needless to say, they play far better at home. Their 40-17-1 (70 percent) ATS record in their last 58 home games is proof of that.
But this huge home/road split didn't stop the Warriors from inflicting a huge defeat on the Kings in Game 5 at Sacramento, 123-116, this past Wednesday.
That loss has to be demoralizing for the upstart Kings and a huge reinforced confidence boost for the Warriors.
Golden State has all hands on deck now with Draymond Green, Andrew Wi~ggins and Gary Payton II aiding superstar Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Jordan Poole. The Kings don't have the defense to keep the Warriors in check ranking 25th in scoring defense and 29th in defensive field goal percentage.
The Kings need to keep pace offensively with the Warriors to stay in the game. That's even more difficult for them now with their star guard De'Aaron Fox hampered by a broken finger. The injury affected his shooting as Fox was just 9-of-25 from the floor in Game 5 in his first game dealing with the injury.
The Warriors have won by eight or more points during 10 of their last 11 home victories.
Pick Made: Apr 27 2023 8:38PM PST
| Stephen Nover | NHL Puck | Fri, 04/28/23 - 7:35 PM |
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1 BOS -1.5 (+145) Bookmaker vs 2 FLA
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triple-dime bet
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Analysis:
I see the Bruins ending their first-round series against the Panthers today - and doing it in convincing style.
The Panthers staved off elimination by upsetting the Bruins, 4-3 in overtime, in Bo€ston during Wednesday's Game 5. The Bruins outshot the Panthers, 47-25, but made some horrendous turnovers that cost them the game. I don't see that happening again.
Perhaps the Bruins were pressing too much playing at home. They should be focused being in Florida where they are 2-0 in the series, outscoring the Panthers by six goals during those two games.
Boston is the best team in the NHL. The Bruins will prove it here. I'm confident enough of that to take a nice plus price on them laying 1 1/2 goals on the puck line.
Pick Made: Apr 28 2023 7:26AM PST
| Stephen Nover | MLB Money Line | Fri, 04/28/23 - 7:10 PM |
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905 ATL (-128) Westgate vs 906 NYM
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double-dime bet
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Analysis:
These two teams each won 101 games last year. But the Braves are the better team through this first month of this season.
The Mets just got through losing a series to the lowly Nationals. New York is 1-4 in its last five games. The Mets are giving up an average of 5.8 runs in their last five games.
The Bra€ves enter the opener of this series disgusted and mad after blowing a 4-run ninth inning leading against the Marlins on Thursday.
The pitching matchup of Max Fried versus David Peterson greatly favors Atlanta.
Fried was the National League Cy Young Award runner-up last season. He is 1-0 with a 0.60 ERA this season. Peterson is 1-3 with a 7.36 ERA. He has a 4.50 career ERA versus the Braves in eight appearances, including seven starts.
The Braves have won eight of their last nine road games.
Pick Made: Apr 28 2023 8:02AM PST
| Stephen Nover | NHL Total | Fri, 04/28/23 - 7:35 PM |
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2 FLA / 1 BOS Over 6.0 William Hill
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Free pick
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Analysis:
There have been nine, eight, six and seven goals scored during the last four games of this series. The Over has cashed seven of the last nine times the Bruins and Panthers have met.
I believe that high scoring trend continues in this Game 6 of the team's first-round series.
The Bruins were the second-highest scoring team in the league this season. They have scored four and six goals, respectively, during the two games played in Florida during this series. The Over has cashed in eight of Boston's last nine road games.
If the Bruins win, the Panthers' season is finished. So Florida won't hesitate to pull its goalie if it trails by one or two goals during the final few minutes.
Patrice Bergeron is back from injury. The Bruins also might get back fellow center David Krejci, who has missed the last three games with an upper body injury.
Florida ranked sixth in goals and were No. 1 in shots on goal. The Bruins have been making uncharacteristic goalie and defensive mistakes. The Panthers took advantage of that to produce four goals in the last game. They will be playing with desperation down 3-2 in the series.
(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is enjoying a huge hockey season. He has won 13 of his la~st 18 NHL premium plays and has his Triple Star Puck Line Game of the Month going today in addition to this free selection.)
Pick Made: Apr 28 2023 9:21AM PST
