Solid seasonal indicator to take the Reds plus money today !

[JDS]

I would call this IMO a +EV type bet don’t care if you disagree I’m not here to debate it with you. We all have our own version of +EV. Ohtani is being priced like he’s a true starter & this not some kind of glorified bullpen game for the Dodgers, besides his performance this year has been “mid” at best.

 

[BMR Genie]

I like the analysis.

 

[samsncharge99]

+9 units in your thread, so clearly knows what he is doing

 

[JDS]

+9 units in your thread, so clearly knows what he is doing

Been very stagnant around that number for more than a week now, but staying hopeful because no bad losing streaks since the 1st week.

 

[sunshine11]

Should I put the $3500 on it. Lol

 

[JDS]

Should I put the $3500 on it. Lol

No fuckin’ way Sunny, normal unit size. I don’t think like that as a gambler. I’m in this for the long haul one 1-2 units at a time MAX. I graduated from that amateur perspective finally, but it cost me 10’s of thousands of dollars last year.

 

[jamesy2422]

i like it. will tail. just feel ohtani has too much juice for only 3-4 innings.

 

[JDS]

i like it. will tail. just feel ohtani has too much juice for only 3-4 innings.

If you want a lower risk bet Jamesy hit the Reds on the RL around -120's.

 

[jjgold]

No thanks

 

[BigJay]

I would call this IMO a +EV type bet don’t care if you disagree I’m not here to debate it with you. We all have our own version of +EV. Ohtani is being priced like he’s a true starter & this not some kind of glorified bullpen game for the Dodgers, besides his performance this year has been “mid” at best.

View attachment 70148

Wow good find

 

[BigJay]

If you want a lower risk bet Jamesy hit the Reds on the RL around -120's.

@JDS sharp

 

[sunshine11]

DATE PLACED:08/27/25 18:01:08
HEADER:
INTERNET : 2 Team Parlay risk 1.08 win 1.06
BET DETAILS:

1. 959 Reds +1½ (-130) LP (Nick Lodolo & Shohei Ohtani) (MLB)
2. 170 Purdue (-850) (NCAA FB)

Thanx bet a big gulp. Coke.

 

[sunshine11]

No thanks

You can’t afford a $1 ?

 

[europro]

DATE PLACED:08/27/25 18:01:08
HEADER:
INTERNET : 2 Team Parlay risk 1.08 win 1.06
BET DETAILS:

1. 959 Reds +1½ (-130) LP (Nick Lodolo & Shohei Ohtani) (MLB)
2. 170 Purdue (-850) (NCAA FB)

Thanx bet a big gulp. Coke.

Sunny put your fuuukin balls on the line.

 

[sunshine11]

I don’t get what you mean.

 

[gauchojake]

What does EV stand for???

 

[JDS]

What does EV stand for???

Positive expected value. I make this bet 100 times and I expect to be plus money Jakery.

 

[Jrgum3]

Positive expected value. I make this bet 100 times and I expect to be plus money Jakery.

Yes you always want to place EV+ wagers. This is the definition of a good bet. It may not always win but in the long run if you're placing EV+ bets you'll come out ahead versus placing negative EV bets which are defined as bad bets that lose you money in the long run.

 

[JDS]

Yes you always want to place EV+ wagers. This is the definition of a good bet. It may not always win but in the long run if you're placing EV+ bets you'll come out ahead versus placing negative EV bets which are defined as bad bets that lose you money in the long run.

@gauchojake was mocking me, but it’s ok though. I’m not confused on the terminology, although I have referenced it in regards to my bottom line as a sports bettor meaning lifetime I’m in the positive, because I make those type of bets.

 

[Jrgum3]

@gauchojake was mocking me, but it’s ok though. I’m not confused on the terminology, although I have referenced it in regards to my bottom line as a sports bettor meaning lifetime I’m in the positive, because I make those type of bets.

Oh well I'm on it too and I made it my best bet today since it's +170 and I feel the line is too wide as well.