Service Plays - Monday 8/16/21

Wagerallsports

Moderator
Staff member
Dr. Chuck

Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Play Rating: 4D units
Play: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-115) J Steele (LHP), W Miley (LHP) Must Start
Ahem….say it with me now…
We don't often bet home teams on the run line, but when we do, we prefer Wade Miley and his perfect 8-0 record at the GAB, and the opponent to be the hapless Cubbies…fresh out of Miami on no rest and here on the road again with Justin Steele on the mound and not much of a lineup, still no Willson…with the Redlegs chasing him early and giving way to the hideous bullpen with a 6.06 FIP over the past 7 days….
A variety of ways to attack this game…this is probably the MOST valuable!….if not the safest….Reds aren't losing!

Game: (955) San Diego Padres at (956) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 8:40 PM EDT
Play Rating: D units
Play: 1H Colorado Rockies -105 R Weathers (LHP), A Senzatela (RHP) Must Start
Not ONLY do we get the single most profitable aspect of MLB this season….Rockies F5 ML…but we get to FADE Ryan Weathers on the mound….who has been so bad of late it won't matter the Padres got the offense going a little bit last night and Tatis is back and playing outfield.
Weathers has an 8.10 FIP overall in the second half….got HAMMERED by this Rockies team in San Diego…where the Rockies do not excel at all….and he has a .469 wOBA against in the 4 starts since the break. His FIP of 5.20 and 5.72 respectively in 2-2 and 3-2 counts particularly is something to focus on when playing against him….
Meanwhile, Senzatela has a mere 2.06 FIP in the second half and an absolutely STUPID .412 BABIP which is as due for regression as any number in the entire sport….much to our benefit!
Also of note….the Dads have lost 4 straight games in Coors and have only led after 5 innings twice on the season facing the Rockies away!

Game: (955) San Diego Padres at (956) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 8:40 PM EDT
Play Rating: D units
Play: Colorado Rockies Total Over 5.5 (-110) R Weathers (LHP) Must Start
Bargain basement prices….and how often are we gonna say that on a 5.5 for a HOME team…but that's what THIS is….with Weathers and the VMI and the home field and the LHP aspect and the way they play the Dads and ALLOFIT

Game: (957) New York Mets at (958) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 9:45 PM EDT
Play Rating: D units
Play: San Francisco Giants -200 R Hill (LHP), K Gausman (RHP) Must Start
Basically everything…that is the analysis here….could go on and on and on….but just flat have it all….the Mets off the Dodgers series and 3000 miles of travel and the starter mismatch and the Mets being 0-6 last 6 all in August hung as a Vegas dog…Gausman stepping it up after looking like he might fade….a 41 year old lefty on the bump for the road team…bullpen prowess aplenty for the Giants of late….oh and that 41 year old's worst situation…. facing righties on the road….of which he should face mostly save Crawford and maybe Belt….the 2 LH hitters that have had the MOST success….each reaching base 11 times in 22 PAs v. Hill!
SUPERFECTA of the day

Game: (957) New York Mets at (958) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 9:45 PM EDT
Play Rating: D units
Play: San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-105) R Hill (LHP), K Gausman (RHP) Must Start
Wish we'd gotten this at + money but we can't be phased….this is RIGHT and only the 8 ABs is keeping it still THIS valuable….Gabe's boys are gonna be ready to put on a hurting on the team that just got reamed 14-4 by HIS divisional rival….on Sunday night baseball to boot!
This is spot of the year type stuff….
 

Wagerallsports

Moderator
Staff member
JM Sports

Game: (965) Houston Astros at (966) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 8:10 PM EDT
Play: Houston Astros -156 J Odorizzi (RHP), C Hernandez (RHP) Must Start
D unit Houston Astros (-156) over Kansas City Royals (Odorizzi/Hernandez) –
Jake Odorizzi on the mound has an ERA of 4.59 but some how continues to win games, including a 2-1 record in the L3 starts with a 6.08 ERA. Although Houston has played well behind him, they have given him the offense that he needs to string together the wins, the Astros are 5-2 in his L7 starts as a F (including 3-1 as AF) and they are 3-1 in his 4 starts in the opening game of a series. The Astros have started off hot in multiple series this year, in the opening game they are 24-14, including 12-7 on the road, 7-1 as an AF in the L8. and 9 straight on the road vs. non-divisional opponents. Houston is also 10-2 as an AF vs. RHP w/ ERA > 4.00 (including 8 straight), 9-2 as an AF vs. RHP w/ WHIP > 1.25 (including 8 straight), but vs. RHP in general they have faired well recently, going 12-2 as an AF vs. RHP w/ line < -115, 6-1 on the road vs a RHP off a L, and 7-1 vs. RHP after a L in which they tied, or out hit the opponent. The Royals on the other hand are starting a pitcher in Hernandez that only has 5 starts on the year, although he has fair well in those starts this is a game that could head to the bullpen early and KC's bullpen ranks #27 TY in earned runs per game out of the bullpen (1.974). The Royals have also struggled to start as hot as the Astros, they are 18-20 in the opening game of their series TY, including 2-8 in the L10 as a D and 2-6 @ H vs. SP w/ WHIP < 1.25. Against right-handed pitching this year, Kansas City has struggled immensely to say the least.. they are 7-19 as a D vs. RHP w/ WHIP < 1.25, 1-7 @ H vs. RHP after a game where they never led, 2-9 vs. RHP after a L w/ 9 or more hits, 4-13 vs. RHP after allowing more then 10 hits (2-11 off a L w/ 10+ hits allowed), 4-17 vs. RHP off a L allowing more then 1 HR, and 3-22 vs. RHP TY w/ a line > -125 (12%)!! Kansas City is now coming off of 4 straight losses, they are 6-15 TY in the 5th game, and 4-9 as a dog, while it doesn't happen to often, KC lost B2B games by 5 or more runs, this year, teams that lost B2B games by 5 or more as a dog vs. RHP are 9-20 this season!
 

Wagerallsports

Moderator
Staff member
MArco

  • 4% MLB MONDAY MASSACRE 12-1 MLB RUN!!
    Game: (969) Oakland Athletics at (970) Chicago White Sox
    Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 8:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: 1H Oakland Athletics -115 F Montas (RHP), D Keuchel (LHP) Must Start

    BONUS OFFER- Purchase Marco's NFL + CFB for the discounted price of $899(Reg. $1019) and get the rest of his MLB season for absolutely FREE!
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    4% (969) OAKLAND 1st 5 Innings -115
    The Oakland A’s are playing well winning 8 of their L10 Games. The White Sox have lost 4 of their L5 games and are coming off that big series with the Yankees that included the “Field of Dreams Game”. White Sox pitching got hit hard in the Yankee Series as they allowed 20 runs in the 3 games. Oakland sends Frankie Montas to the mound who has been dealing it as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 straight games and 12 of his last 13 games. Dallas Keuchel goes for Chicago and he has allowed 4 runs or more in 3 of his L4 starts. We also find the following:

    Key Stat: OAKLAND is 16-4 against the money line against AL Central opponents this season.

    Key Stat: OAKLAND is 16-5 against the money line on the road when the total is 9 or 9.5 this season

    TAKE OAKLAND 1st 5 Innings as my 4% MLB MONDAY MASSACRE
 

Wagerallsports

Moderator
Staff member
Insider Sports Report

D* Oakland (Montas) -115 over Chicago White Sox (Keuchel)
Range: +100 to -140

C* Cleveland (Quantrill)/Minnesota (Jax) UNDER 10
Range: 10.5 to 9.5
 

Wagerallsports

Moderator
Staff member
Top Rank Sports Picks

D★ Cleveland (Quantrill) +110 over Minnesota (Jax)

C★ Chicago Cubs (Steele)/Cincinnati (Miley) UNDER 9
 

Wagerallsports

Moderator
Staff member
Primetime Sports Picks

D Unit --> Oakland (Montas) -115 over Chicago White Sox (Keuchel)

C Unit --> Chicago Cubs (Steele)/Cincinnati (Miley) OVER 9
 

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